Brentford host Nottingham Forest at the Brentford Community Stadium on Saturday 31 October 2026 (3pm) in Gameweek 9 of the Premier League. The hosts are sixth. Forest are 18th.
Form and the table
Brentford have 11 points from eight games, with two wins and a goal difference of +5. Forest have six points, one win and a goal difference of -4.
Brentford are unbeaten in four of their last five: draws at Bournemouth (2-2), Aston Villa (2-2) and Hull City (1-1), plus a 3-0 home win over Chelsea. The exception was a 2-1 home defeat to Liverpool.
Forest's last five read W L L L D. They won 2-1 at Aston Villa most recently, after losses to Coventry City (1-0), Crystal Palace (3-1) and Arsenal (1-0) and a 1-1 draw at Ipswich Town.
The numbers that matter
Brentford average 1.75 goals per game and concede 1.13. Forest score 0.75 per game and concede 1.25. Brentford collect 1.38 points per game to Forest's 0.75. Brentford have two clean sheets, Forest one.
Forest's underlying numbers are kinder. Expected goals (xG), the quality of chances created, is available via Fantasy Premier League. It has Forest at 1.76 xG per game, level with Brentford on 1.74. Forest's xG against is 1.12 per game, against Brentford's 1.49. Forest have scored far fewer goals than their chances suggest.
The same pattern shows in the individuals. Brentford's Igor Thiago has 3.78 xG but one goal. Forest's Elliot Anderson is not listed, but Delap has 2.53 xG for one goal and Gibbs-White 2.41 xG for one. Yoane Wissa is not listed either; Brentford's Schade has gone the other way, with three goals from 2.12 xG.
Team news
Yegor Yarmolyuk is out after a straight red card. On MFF's reading he is banned for this match only if the ban is the three-match one for serious foul play or violent conduct. FPL lists Yarmoliuk as suspended until 8 November.
Vitaly Janelt and Igor Thiago are each one booking from a ban, on four league bookings apiece. FPL lists Henry, Furo, Milambo and Dasilva as injured, each with a 0% chance of playing.
For Forest, FPL lists Savona and Igor Jesus as injured, 0% chance. N.Williams (arm) and Dominguez (muscular) are doubtful at 75%.
Head-to-head and prediction
Forest have the better recent record in this fixture. Of the last six meetings they have won three, Brentford two and one was drawn. Forest won the last two, 2-0 at Brentford in January 2026 and 3-1 at home in August 2025. Brentford failed to score in both of their last two home games against Forest, and also lost 2-0 in December 2024.
Brentford's last win in the series was 2-0 at the City Ground in May 2025.
MFF's match model prediction is a 1-0 Brentford win. It gives Brentford a 47% chance of victory, the draw 26% and Forest 27%.
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