Atl. Madrid host Bayern at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium on Tuesday 3 November 2026 (kick-off 20:00 UK time) in the UEFA Champions League, on league phase matchday 4. Neither side is where it would want to be.
Where they stand
Bayern are 14th in the league-phase table with five points from three games. They have won one, and their goal difference of +5 is the better of the two sides.
Atl. Madrid are 16th with four points from three. They also have one win, and their goal difference is +1.
The top eight go straight through to the last 16. Ninth to 24th head for the knockout play-offs. Both clubs currently sit in that play-off band. PSG lead the table with nine points from nine, and a goal difference of +9.
Form and season numbers
Atl. Madrid's recent results read: a 1-2 defeat at Liverpool, a 2-0 win over Man Utd and a 1-1 draw at Stuttgart. That is a points-per-game average of 1.33.
Bayern have won once and drawn twice: a 5-0 win over Bodø/Glimt, a 3-3 draw at Viking and a 2-2 draw with Arsenal. Their points-per-game figure is 1.67.
The gap in attack is wide. Bayern average 3.33 goals a game this season, against 1.33 for Atl. Madrid. At the other end it is closer, and it favours the home side. Atl. Madrid concede one a game, Bayern 1.67.
- Clean sheets: one each
- Yellow cards: Atl. Madrid 2, Bayern 3
Bayern have drawn their last two matches, both times conceding at least twice. Atl. Madrid's lone defeat came by a single goal.
Head-to-head
The recent record is thin and now a few years old. The two met twice in autumn 2020. Bayern won 4-0 on 21 October, and the return on 1 December finished 1-1. That gives Bayern one win, one draw and no defeats in the pair.
MFF's prediction
MFF's match model has Atl. Madrid winning 2-1. It gives the home side a 42% chance of victory, 22% for a draw and 37% for a Bayern win. The gap between the two outcomes is narrow, and Bayern's scoring record is the reason the model leaves them so close.
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