AEK Athens host Real Madrid at the Agia Sophia Stadium (OPAP Arena) on Wednesday 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UK time. It is league phase matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Contrasting league phase positions
Real Madrid are fourth, with three wins from three, nine points and a goal difference of +5. Only PSG are ahead of the group we have positions for: they lead on nine points with a goal difference of +9.
AEK are 29th with one win from three, three points and a goal difference of -5. The top eight go straight through to the last 16, while ninth to 24th enter the knockout play-offs. AEK are currently outside those places. Slovan Bratislava are 36th, with no points and a goal difference of -12.
Form and season numbers
AEK's recent results read W v LASK 1-0, L at Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 and L at Manchester City 5-1. Their win over LASK was also their only clean sheet of the season so far.
Real Madrid have beaten Inter 2-1, Roma 4-3 away and Leipzig 4-1.
The season averages show the gap:
- Goals per game: AEK 1, Real Madrid 3.33
- Conceded per game: AEK 2.67, Real Madrid 1.67
- Points per game: AEK 1, Real Madrid 3
- Clean sheets: AEK 1, Real Madrid 0
- Yellow cards: AEK 5, Real Madrid 3
Real Madrid score freely, but they are not watertight. They have yet to keep a clean sheet and have conceded in each of their three games, including three against Roma. AEK have scored just once in each of their three matches, and they have shipped eight goals in total.
Head-to-head
Our records show no recent meetings between the clubs, so there is no head-to-head tally to draw on. Both sides will be working from current form rather than recent history.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a 2-1 win for Real Madrid. It gives Real Madrid a 58% chance of winning, AEK Athens 23% and a draw 19%. The model expects AEK to find a goal, in keeping with their one-a-game scoring record. It still sees Madrid's attack as the difference.
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