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Hibernian vs Motherwell: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Hibernian vs Motherwell in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 12:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Hibernian vs Motherwell
Competition Premiership
Date Saturday, 16 May 2026
Kick-off 12:30 BST
Venue Easter Road Stadium

Match Prediction: Hibernian 2-1 Motherwell

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Hibernian38.76%
Motherwell35.85%
Draw25.39%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes56.33%
No43.67%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes52.76%
No47.20%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 309Motherwell vs 66Hibernian 0 – 0 Fir Park
Premiership 10 Jan 2026 66Hibernian vs 309Motherwell 1 – 1 Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 25 Nov 2025 309Motherwell vs 66Hibernian 2 – 0 Fir Park
Premiership 11 Jan 2025 66Hibernian vs 309Motherwell 3 – 1 Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 30 Nov 2024 309Motherwell vs 66Hibernian 0 – 3 Fir Park

Hibernian come into this with the stronger recent home profile in the data, having beaten Kilmarnock 3-0 and only narrowly lost to Celtic and Hearts at Easter Road. Motherwell’s away results are more mixed, but the 3-2 win at Rangers shows they can still land a result on the road when they get their attacking game going. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines point to a match where both sides can create chances, but Hibernian look the more reliable pick at home.

Motherwell have been involved in a run of tight games, with four of their last five league matches decided by a single goal or ending level. Hibernian have also had a few close defeats, but their 3-1 win at Falkirk and 3-0 home win over Kilmarnock suggest a bit more cutting edge in the final third. Match Prediction: Hibernian 2-1 Motherwell

Form Guide & Team Overview

Hibernian

Hibernian’s recent league form shows two wins and three defeats from their last five, so the results have been mixed rather than consistent. The wins came in a 3-1 away success at Falkirk and a 3-0 home victory over Kilmarnock, while the defeats were all by one or two goals against Celtic, Hearts and Aberdeen.

At Easter Road, the data is still useful for betting purposes because the home losses to Celtic and Hearts were both narrow, which suggests Hibernian have been competitive even when not taking points. The 3-0 win over Kilmarnock stands out as the clearest positive in the run.

Hibernian Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 9 May 2026 770Falkirk vs 66Hibernian 1 – 3 W Falkirk Community Stadium
Premiership 3 May 2026 66Hibernian vs 53Celtic 1 – 2 L Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 66Hibernian vs 314Hearts 1 – 2 L Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 273Aberdeen vs 66Hibernian 2 – 0 L Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 66Hibernian vs 180Kilmarnock 3 – 0 W Easter Road Stadium

Motherwell

Motherwell’s recent league form is also uneven, with one win, one draw and three defeats across the last five. The standout result is the 3-2 away win at Rangers, which shows they are capable of producing a strong performance against higher-profile opposition.

Outside that, the numbers are less convincing, with defeats to Falkirk and Hearts and a 1-1 draw at home to Hearts. Four of the five matches were decided by one goal or finished level, so their recent games have generally been tight.

Motherwell Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 9 May 2026 309Motherwell vs 314Hearts 1 – 1 D Fir Park
Premiership 2 May 2026 770Falkirk vs 309Motherwell 1 – 0 L Falkirk Community Stadium
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 62Rangers vs 309Motherwell 2 – 3 W Ibrox Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 314Hearts vs 309Motherwell 3 – 1 L Tynecastle Park
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 309Motherwell vs 770Falkirk 2 – 3 L Fir Park

Team News & Injury Report

Hibernian

  • Jamie McGrath (Red Card Suspension)

Motherwell

  • Aston Oxborough (Hand Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Hibernian vs Motherwell predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Hibernian (3-4-1-2)

Predicted lineup: Raphael Sallinger (Goalkeeper), Grant Hanley (Defender), Jack Iredale (Defender), Warren O'Hora (Defender), Dan Barlaser (Midfielder), Felix Passlack (Midfielder), Jordan Obita (Midfielder), Miguel Chaiwa (Midfielder), Josh Campbell (Attacker), Martin Boyle (Attacker), Owen Elding (Attacker)

Hibernian’s predicted 3-4-1-2 gives them a solid back three base, with Dan Barlaser and Felix Passlack able to help control the middle and support the wing areas. Josh Campbell operating behind the front two should give Hibernian a link between midfield and attack, especially if they can get Martin Boyle and Owen Elding running beyond him.

Motherwell (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Calum Ward (Goalkeeper), Emmanuel Longelo (Defender), Liam Gordon (Defender), Stephen O'Donnell (Defender), Stephen Welsh (Defender), Callum Slattery (Midfielder), Elliot Watt (Midfielder), Ibrahim Said (Midfielder), Oscar Priestman (Midfielder), Tawanda Maswanhise (Midfielder), Elijah Just (Attacker)

Motherwell’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact shape through the middle, with Callum Slattery and Elliot Watt providing the central platform. Elijah Just is the main forward reference point, so the wide and central support around him will be important if Motherwell are to turn possession into chances.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Hibernian Motherwell Key Battle Overview
Hibernian Motherwell Josh Campbell against Emmanuel Longelo could be important because Campbell’s movement between the lines may test Longelo’s defensive positioning.
Hibernian Motherwell Dan Barlaser against Callum Slattery looks a key midfield duel, with both players likely to influence how much control each side gets.
Hibernian Motherwell Josh Campbell is key for Hibernian because he links midfield and attack and can help turn possession into chances.
Hibernian Motherwell Elijah Just is key for Motherwell because he is the main attacking outlet in the predicted shape and the focal point for their forward play.

FAQs

How to watch Hibernian vs Motherwell

Fans in the UK are able to watch Hibernian vs Motherwell on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 12:30 BST on Saturday, 16 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Hibernian 2-1 Motherwell in this match.

Can you bet on Hibernian vs Motherwell?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Hibernian vs Motherwell.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.03%
No 23.97%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Hibernian 45.71%
Motherwell 47.59%
Draw 6.70%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.74%
1-0 9.42%
1-2 8.41%
2-1 8.36%
0-1 7.85%
0-0 6.70%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.61%
No 69.39%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.18%
No 82.82%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Hibernian / Hibernian 20.62%
Hibernian / Motherwell 3.42%
Hibernian / Draw 5.16%
Motherwell / Hibernian 2.74%
Motherwell / Motherwell 20.20%
Motherwell / Draw 5.61%
Draw / Draw 15.55%
Draw / Hibernian 13.18%
Draw / Motherwell 13.53%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.83%
No 27.17%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.27%
No 60.73%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.67%
No 1.76%
Equal 2.57%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.11%
No 4.33%
Equal 4.56%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.18%
No 8.89%
Equal 6.93%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.02%
No 25.04%
Equal 10.94%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.96%
No 15.82%
Equal 9.22%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Hibernian 28.62%
Motherwell 29.69%
Draw 41.70%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Hibernian 64.15%
Draw / Motherwell 61.24%
Hibernian / Motherwell 74.61%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.25%
No 94.75%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.51%
No 62.49%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.26%
No 94.74%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16%
No 84%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.50%
No 30.50%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.15%
No 83.85%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.78%
No 59.22%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.28%
No 35.98%
Equal 11.74%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.78%
No 47.72%
Equal 11.50%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.40%
No 59.22%
Equal 10.38%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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