West Ham United vs Arsenal: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for West Ham United vs Arsenal in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 16:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture West Ham United vs Arsenal
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 16:30 BST
Venue London Stadium

Match Prediction: West Ham United 1-1 Arsenal

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

West Ham United16.77%
Arsenal60.54%
Draw22.72%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes49.80%
No50.20%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes50.99%
No49.01%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 04 Oct 2025 19Arsenal vs 1West Ham United 2 – 0 Emirates Stadium
Premier League 22 Feb 2025 19Arsenal vs 1West Ham United 0 – 1 Emirates Stadium
Premier League 30 Nov 2024 1West Ham United vs 19Arsenal 2 – 5 London Stadium
Premier League 11 Feb 2024 1West Ham United vs 19Arsenal 0 – 6 London Stadium
Premier League 28 Dec 2023 19Arsenal vs 1West Ham United 0 – 2 Emirates Stadium

West Ham United have shown they can be competitive at home, with a 4-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers and a 2-1 win over Everton in their last two home league games. Arsenal arrive with three wins from their last five league matches, including back-to-back home victories over Fulham and Newcastle United, so they look the steadier side overall. The head-to-head record also leans Arsenal’s way, although West Ham United did beat them 1-0 in February 2025, which is a reminder that this fixture can swing either way.

With no xG data available, the best guide is recent results and team shape, and that points to Arsenal having the more reliable balance between defence and attack. West Ham United’s 4-4-1-1 should give them a compact base, but Arsenal’s 4-2-3-1 has enough control and width to test that structure. Match Prediction: West Ham United 1-2 Arsenal

Form Guide & Team Overview

West Ham United

West Ham United’s recent league form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. The standout result is the 4-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers, while the 2-1 home win over Everton also shows they can get results at the London Stadium.

Away from home, though, the picture is less convincing, with a 3-0 loss at Brentford and a 2-0 defeat at Aston Villa. The 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace sits in between those extremes, suggesting West Ham United have been more solid than spectacular but still a little inconsistent.

West Ham United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 2 May 2026 236Brentford vs 1West Ham United 3 – 0 L Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 1West Ham United vs 13Everton 2 – 1 W London Stadium
Premier League 20 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 1West Ham United 0 – 0 D Selhurst Park
Premier League 10 Apr 2026 1West Ham United vs 29Wolverhampton Wanderers 4 – 0 W London Stadium
Premier League 22 Mar 2026 15Aston Villa vs 1West Ham United 2 – 0 L Villa Park

Arsenal

Arsenal’s recent league form reads as three wins and two defeats from their last five. They have won their last two league matches, beating Fulham 3-0 and Newcastle United 1-0, which gives them a stronger feel heading into this one.

The two losses in that run came away at Manchester City and at home to AFC Bournemouth, both by a single goal. Even so, the overall pattern is still positive, and the recent clean-sheet wins suggest they have been managing games well.

Arsenal Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 2 May 2026 19Arsenal vs 11Fulham 3 – 0 W Emirates Stadium
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 19Arsenal vs 20Newcastle United 1 – 0 W Emirates Stadium
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 9Manchester City vs 19Arsenal 2 – 1 L Etihad Stadium
Premier League 11 Apr 2026 19Arsenal vs 52AFC Bournemouth 1 – 2 L Emirates Stadium
Premier League 14 Mar 2026 19Arsenal vs 13Everton 2 – 0 W Emirates Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

West Ham United

  • Lukasz Fabianski  (Back Injury)

Arsenal

  • Eberechi Eze (Muscle Injury)
  • Kai Havertz (Muscle Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

West Ham United vs Arsenal predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

West Ham United (4-4-1-1)

Predicted lineup: Mads Hermansen (Goalkeeper), Axel Disasi (Defender), El Hadji Malick Diouf (Defender), Konstantinos Mavropanos (Defender), Kyle Walker-Peters (Defender), Crysencio Summerville (Midfielder), Jarrod Bowen (Midfielder), Mateus Fernandes (Midfielder), Tomáš Souček (Midfielder), Pablo (Attacker), Taty Castellanos (Attacker)

West Ham United’s predicted 4-4-1-1 should keep Pablo close to Taty Castellanos, giving them a direct outlet when they break forward. The wide work from Crysencio Summerville and Jarrod Bowen will be important if they are to stretch Arsenal and stop the visitors settling into a rhythm.

Arsenal (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: David Raya (Goalkeeper), Ben White (Defender), Gabriel Magalhães (Defender), Riccardo Calafiori (Defender), William Saliba (Defender), Bukayo Saka (Midfielder), Declan Rice (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Leandro Trossard (Midfielder), Myles Lewis-Skelly (Midfielder), Viktor Gyökeres (Attacker)

Arsenal’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a strong platform through the double pivot, with Declan Rice helping to control the middle of the pitch. Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard should provide the width and support for Viktor Gyökeres, which can pin West Ham United back if Arsenal move the ball quickly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

West Ham United Arsenal Text
West Ham United Arsenal Pablo will need to occupy Ben White and make West Ham United’s central attacks count.
West Ham United Arsenal Crysencio Summerville against Bukayo Saka could decide which side controls the wide areas.
West Ham United Arsenal Pablo is key for West Ham United because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape.
West Ham United Arsenal Viktor Gyökeres is key for Arsenal because he is the focal point at the top of their 4-2-3-1.

FAQs

How to watch West Ham United vs Arsenal

Fans in the UK are able to watch West Ham United vs Arsenal on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 16:30 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for West Ham United vs Arsenal?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be West Ham United 1-1 Arsenal in this match.

Can you bet on West Ham United vs Arsenal?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for West Ham United vs Arsenal.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63%
No 25.91%
Equal 11.09%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.28%
No 98.72%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.78%
No 25.22%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.09%
No 16.91%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.54%
No 94.46%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.66%
No 80.34%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.28%
No 45.72%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.27%
No 72.73%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.76%
No 60.24%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.51%
No 9.34%
Equal 7.15%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.09%
No 16.49%
Equal 9.42%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.76%
No 48.79%
Equal 11.45%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.50%
No 60.24%
Equal 10.26%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
West Ham United / West Ham United 9.07%
West Ham United / Arsenal 3.71%
West Ham United / Draw 4.39%
Arsenal / West Ham United 1.64%
Arsenal / Arsenal 38.38%
Arsenal / Draw 5.03%
Draw / Draw 12.49%
Draw / West Ham United 6.78%
Draw / Arsenal 18.50%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.20%
No 82.80%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.42%
No 48.58%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
West Ham United 15.90%
Arsenal 44.44%
Draw 39.66%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.42%
No 1.88%
Equal 2.71%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.66%
No 4.58%
Equal 4.76%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.21%
No 37%
Equal 11.79%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.76%
No 71.24%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
West Ham United 30.03%
Arsenal 62.73%
Draw 7.24%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / West Ham United 39.49%
Draw / Arsenal 83.26%
West Ham United / Arsenal 77.31%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.91%
No 89.09%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
0-1 12.71%
0-2 11.23%
OTHER 2 10.87%
1-2 10.30%
1-1 10.22%
0-0 7.24%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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