Manchester City vs Crystal Palace: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Manchester City vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Manchester City vs Crystal Palace
Competition Premier League
Date Wednesday, 13 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Etihad Stadium

Match Prediction: Manchester City 1-1 Crystal Palace

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Manchester City64.78%
Crystal Palace14.92%
Draw20.29%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes52.55%
No47.45%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes57.53%
No42.47%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 14 Dec 2025 51Crystal Palace vs 9Manchester City 0 – 3 Selhurst Park
Premier League 12 Apr 2025 9Manchester City vs 51Crystal Palace 5 – 2 Etihad Stadium
Premier League 07 Dec 2024 51Crystal Palace vs 9Manchester City 2 – 2 Selhurst Park
Premier League 06 Apr 2024 51Crystal Palace vs 9Manchester City 2 – 4 Selhurst Park
Premier League 16 Dec 2023 9Manchester City vs 51Crystal Palace 2 – 2 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City come into this with the stronger recent league form and the better head-to-head record, so they look the more likely winners at the Etihad. Their last five league games include three wins and two draws, while Crystal Palace have lost two of their last three in the league and have struggled for goals in that spell.

Palace do have enough attacking options to make this awkward if they can break quickly and keep the game tight early on, but City’s recent results suggest they are more reliable over 90 minutes. With no xG data available, the clearest guide is the results trend and the fact City have already beaten Palace 3-0 this season. Match Prediction: Manchester City 2-0 Crystal Palace

Form Guide & Team Overview

Manchester City

Manchester City’s recent league form is solid, with three wins and two draws from their last five. They have scored in every one of those matches, including a 3-3 draw away to Everton and a 3-0 win at Chelsea, which points to a side that is still creating enough to stay on the front foot.

At home, they beat Arsenal 2-1, and that result sits alongside a narrow away win at Burnley and a draw at West Ham United. The pattern is fairly clear: City are not always keeping things completely tight, but they are regularly doing enough to avoid defeat and collect points.

Manchester City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 4 May 2026 13Everton vs 9Manchester City 3 – 3 D Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 27Burnley vs 9Manchester City 0 – 1 W Turf Moor
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 9Manchester City vs 19Arsenal 2 – 1 W Etihad Stadium
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 9Manchester City 0 – 3 W Stamford Bridge
Premier League 14 Mar 2026 1West Ham United vs 9Manchester City 1 – 1 D London Stadium

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace’s league form has dipped, with two defeats in their last three and only one win in their last five. They were beaten 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth and 1-3 at Liverpool, which suggests they have been vulnerable when facing stronger attacking sides away from home.

Their better recent results came at home, where they drew 0-0 with West Ham United, beat Newcastle United 2-1 and drew 0-0 with Leeds United. That mix shows they can be organised, but the lack of goals in those draws is a concern if they need to chase the game at the Etihad.

Crystal Palace Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 3 May 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 51Crystal Palace 3 – 0 L Vitality Stadium
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 8Liverpool vs 51Crystal Palace 3 – 1 L Anfield
Premier League 20 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 1West Ham United 0 – 0 D Selhurst Park
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 20Newcastle United 2 – 1 W Selhurst Park
Premier League 15 Mar 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 71Leeds United 0 – 0 D Selhurst Park

Team News & Injury Report

Manchester City

  • Rúben Dias  (Hamstring Injury)

Crystal Palace

  • Evann Guessand (Knee Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Manchester City (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma (Goalkeeper), Abdukodir Khusanov (Defender), Marc Guéhi (Defender), Matheus Nunes (Defender), Nico O'Reilly (Defender), Antoine Semenyo (Midfielder), Bernardo Silva (Midfielder), Jérémy Doku (Midfielder), Nico González (Midfielder), Rayan Cherki (Midfielder), Erling Haaland (Attacker)

Manchester City’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them control through the middle, with the double pivot helping them keep possession and recycle attacks. The wide midfielders and the central creator can then feed Erling Haaland early, which suits a side expected to spend long spells in Palace’s half.

Crystal Palace (3-4-3)

Predicted lineup: Dean Henderson (Goalkeeper), Chadi Riad (Defender), Jaydee Canvot (Defender), Maxence Lacroix (Defender), Daichi Kamada (Midfielder), Daniel Muñoz (Midfielder), Jefferson Lerma (Midfielder), Justin Devenny (Midfielder), Brennan Johnson (Attacker), Jørgen Strand Larsen (Attacker), Yéremy Pino (Attacker)

Crystal Palace’s predicted 3-4-3 gives them width from the wing-backs and three forwards to threaten on the break. If the midfield four can stay compact, it should help them protect the back three and give Brennan Johnson and the other attackers a platform to run into space.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Manchester City Crystal Palace Text
Manchester City Crystal Palace Erling Haaland against Chadi Riad looks like the key duel, with City likely to target Haaland early and often in the box.
Manchester City Crystal Palace Antoine Semenyo against Daichi Kamada could matter in midfield, especially if Semenyo helps City win territory and second balls.
Manchester City Crystal Palace Erling Haaland is key for Manchester City because their recent results show they are most dangerous when they can turn pressure into goals through him.
Manchester City Crystal Palace Brennan Johnson is key for Crystal Palace because his pace and direct running give them one of their clearest routes to hurting City on the break.

FAQs

How to watch Manchester City vs Crystal Palace

Fans in the UK are able to watch Manchester City vs Crystal Palace on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 20:00 BST on Wednesday, 13 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Manchester City 1-1 Crystal Palace in this match.

Can you bet on Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Manchester City vs Crystal Palace.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.49%
No 62.51%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.61%
No 94.39%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.06%
No 28.78%
Equal 11.15%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.78%
No 62.51%
Equal 9.71%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.35%
No 98.65%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Manchester City 85.07%
Draw / Crystal Palace 35.21%
Manchester City / Crystal Palace 79.70%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.99%
No 11.30%
Equal 7.71%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Manchester City 66.07%
Crystal Palace 28.88%
Draw 5.05%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.53%
No 20.47%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.09%
No 2.62%
Equal 3.29%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.70%
No 5.91%
Equal 5.39%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.50%
No 39.94%
Equal 11.57%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.49%
No 51.50%
Equal 11.01%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 50.51%
No 49.49%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.55%
No 84.45%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Manchester City 52.45%
Crystal Palace 15.42%
Draw 32.13%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.89%
No 13.11%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.60%
No 80.40%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.22%
No 19.01%
Equal 9.78%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Manchester City / Manchester City 46.96%
Manchester City / Crystal Palace 1.72%
Manchester City / Draw 3.86%
Crystal Palace / Manchester City 4.65%
Crystal Palace / Crystal Palace 6.52%
Crystal Palace / Draw 3.70%
Draw / Draw 9.28%
Draw / Manchester City 18.86%
Draw / Crystal Palace 4.45%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 15.37%
1-0 11.09%
2-0 10.73%
2-1 10.44%
1-1 9.35%
3-0 7.26%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.20%
No 77.80%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.90%
No 65.10%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.76%
No 66.24%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.90%
No 39.10%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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