Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Everton vs Manchester City in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Everton vs Manchester City |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Date | Monday, 04 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:00 BST |
| Venue | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
Match Prediction: Everton 1-2 Manchester City
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
xG Stats & Match Facts
| Everton | Metric | Manchester City | What it suggests |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | Expected Goals (xG) | 1.86 | Everton have the edge on this metric. |
| 2.99 | Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) | 1.89 | Everton have created the better quality shots on target. |
| 1.54 | Expected Points (xPTS) | 1.26 | Everton are rated stronger by expected points. |
| 0.00 | Expected Goals Free Kicks (xGFK) | 0.06 | Manchester City have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.39 | Expected Goals Corners (xGC) | 0.24 | Everton have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 2.10 | Expected Goals Non Penalty Goals (npxG) | 1.86 | Everton have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.61 | Expected Goals Set Play (xGSP) | 0.38 | Everton have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 1.49 | Expected Goals Open Play (xGOP) | 1.47 | Everton carry the bigger open-play threat. |
| 1.86 | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 2.10 | Everton have the stronger defensive xG profile here. |
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 04 May 2026 |  Everton vs  Manchester City |
3 – 3 | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| Premier League | 18 Oct 2025 | Manchester City vs Everton |
2 – 0 | Etihad Stadium |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2025 | Everton vs Manchester City |
0 – 2 | Goodison Park |
| Premier League | 26 Dec 2024 | Manchester City vs Everton |
1 – 1 | Etihad Stadium |
| Premier League | 10 Feb 2024 | Manchester City vs Everton |
2 – 0 | Etihad Stadium |
Everton come into this with a recent 3-3 draw against Manchester City, and the xG numbers suggest they can create chances again, with 2.10 expected goals compared with City’s 1.86. Their issue is that they have also conceded 2.10 expected goals against, so this looks like a game where both sides can find openings. Manchester City’s recent results are stronger overall, with three wins in their last five league matches, and that gives them a slight edge in a tight contest.
The head-to-head record also points to City having the better of this fixture more often than not, even though Everton held them to a draw in the most recent meeting. Everton’s home form in the recent results has been mixed, but they did beat Chelsea 3-0 and drew 3-3 with City, so they are capable of competing at this level. Match Prediction: Everton 1-2 Manchester City
Form Guide & Team Overview
Everton
Everton’s recent league form shows a mixed run, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. The standout result is the 3-0 home win over Chelsea, while the 3-3 draw with Manchester City shows they can stay in the game against stronger opposition.
The other results suggest they have been competitive but not always able to turn that into points, with 1-2 defeats to West Ham United and Liverpool, plus a 2-2 draw at Brentford. On the data provided, Everton look capable of scoring, but their recent results also show they have been vulnerable at the back.
Everton Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 4 May 2026 | Everton vs Manchester City |
3 – 3 | D | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 |  West Ham United vs Everton |
2 – 1 | L | London Stadium |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 | Everton vs  Liverpool |
1 – 2 | L | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| Premier League | 11 Apr 2026 |  Brentford vs Everton |
2 – 2 | D | Gtech Community Stadium |
| Premier League | 21 Mar 2026 | Everton vs  Chelsea |
3 – 0 | W | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
Manchester City
Manchester City’s recent league form is stronger, with three wins and two draws in their last five. They have beaten Burnley 1-0, Arsenal 2-1 and Chelsea 3-0, which points to a side that has been getting results consistently.
Their most recent league match was the 3-3 draw with Everton, and they also drew 1-1 with West Ham United before that. Even so, the overall pattern is positive, and the data suggests they have been harder to beat than Everton in this run.
Manchester City Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 4 May 2026 | Everton vs Manchester City |
3 – 3 | D | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| Premier League | 22 Apr 2026 |  Burnley vs Manchester City |
0 – 1 | W | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 | Manchester City vs  Arsenal |
2 – 1 | W | Etihad Stadium |
| Premier League | 12 Apr 2026 | Chelsea vs Manchester City |
0 – 3 | W | Stamford Bridge |
| Premier League | 14 Mar 2026 | West Ham United vs Manchester City |
1 – 1 | D | London Stadium |
Team News & Injury Report
Everton
- Jarrad Branthwaite (Hamstring Injury)
Manchester City
- Rúben Dias (Hamstring Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Everton (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Jordan Pickford (Goalkeeper), Jake O'Brien (Defender), James Tarkowski (Defender), Michael Keane (Defender), Vitaliy Mykolenko (Defender), Iliman Ndiaye (Midfielder), James Garner (Midfielder), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Midfielder), Merlin Röhl (Midfielder), Tim Iroegbunam (Midfielder), Beto (Attacker)
Everton’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two central midfielders screening the defence and helping them stay compact. It also leaves Beto as the main outlet, with Iliman Ndiaye and the supporting midfielders expected to provide the service around him.
Manchester City (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma (Goalkeeper), Abdukodir Khusanov (Defender), Marc Guéhi (Defender), Matheus Nunes (Defender), Nico O'Reilly (Defender), Antoine Semenyo (Midfielder), Bernardo Silva (Midfielder), Jérémy Doku (Midfielder), Nico González (Midfielder), Rayan Cherki (Midfielder), Erling Haaland (Attacker)
Manchester City’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them control through the middle, with a strong double pivot and plenty of support ahead of it. With Erling Haaland up top and runners around him, they have the shape to stretch Everton and create chances in open play.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Everton | Manchester City | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Everton | Manchester City | Beto will need to battle Abdukodir Khusanov physically if Everton are to hold the ball up and bring others into play. |
| Everton | Manchester City | Iliman Ndiaye against Antoine Semenyo could be important because both sides will want their wide and advanced midfield runners to influence the game. |
| Everton | Manchester City | Beto is key for Everton because he is the main attacking reference point in the predicted shape and the clearest route to turning chances into shots. |
| Everton | Manchester City | Erling Haaland is key for Manchester City because the data shows City have been winning regularly and he gives them the most direct route to finishing chances. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
