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Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:15 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur
Competition Premier League
Date Tuesday, 19 May 2026
Kick-off 20:15 BST
Venue Stamford Bridge

Match Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Chelsea50.76%
Tottenham Hotspur26.02%
Draw23.15%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes58.44%
No41.56%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes57.78%
No42.22%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 01 Nov 2025 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 18Chelsea 0 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 03 Apr 2025 18Chelsea vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 Stamford Bridge
Premier League 08 Dec 2024 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 18Chelsea 3 – 4 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 02 May 2024 18Chelsea vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 2 – 0 Stamford Bridge
Premier League 06 Nov 2023 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 18Chelsea 1 – 4 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Chelsea come into this at Stamford Bridge with home advantage, but their recent league form has been patchy, so this is not a straightforward call. Tottenham Hotspur have taken seven points from their last four league matches, which suggests they can make this competitive if they stay organised and take their chances. With no xG data available, the clearest guide is the recent results and the head-to-head trend, which has leaned Chelsea’s way in the last five meetings.

That scoreline fits a game where Chelsea have enough quality in the final third to edge it, but Tottenham Hotspur still carry enough threat to score. Chelsea’s recent meetings with Tottenham Hotspur have often been tight, yet the home side have repeatedly found a way to get the result. A narrow Chelsea win looks the most data-backed outcome from the information provided.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Chelsea

Chelsea’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with just one draw and four defeats in their last five Premier League matches. The 1-1 draw away to Liverpool is a better result than the others, but it sits alongside home losses to Nottingham Forest and Manchester United, plus away defeats to Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City.

Across all competitions, the picture is similar, although the FA Cup win over Leeds United does show they can still put together a result. Even so, the overall run remains one of limited momentum, and the recent data points to a side that has struggled to turn performances into points.

Chelsea Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 9 May 2026 8Liverpool vs 18Chelsea 1 – 1 D Anfield
Premier League 4 May 2026 18Chelsea vs 63Nottingham Forest 1 – 3 L Stamford Bridge
Premier League 21 Apr 2026 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 18Chelsea 3 – 0 L The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 14Manchester United 0 – 1 L Stamford Bridge
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 9Manchester City 0 – 3 L Stamford Bridge

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur’s recent league form is more stable than Chelsea’s, with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five. The wins away to Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers stand out, while the draws against Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion show they have been able to stay in games.

Their only defeat in that run was the 1-0 loss away to Sunderland, which suggests they have generally been competitive. Based on the supplied results, Tottenham Hotspur arrive with a stronger recent points return than Chelsea, even if their form is not flawless.

Tottenham Hotspur Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 11 May 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 71Leeds United 1 – 1 D Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 3 May 2026 15Aston Villa vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 W Villa Park
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 29Wolverhampton Wanderers vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 0 – 1 W Molineux Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 2 – 2 D Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 L Stadium of Light

Team News & Injury Report

Chelsea

  • Jesse Derry (Concussion)
  • Robert Sánchez (Head Injury)

Tottenham Hotspur

  • Dominic Solanke (Muscle Injury)
  • Xavi Simons  (Cruciate Ligament Tear)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Filip Jørgensen (Goalkeeper), Jorrel Hato (Defender), Levi Colwill (Defender), Malo Gusto (Defender), Wesley Fofana (Defender), Andrey Santos (Midfielder), Cole Palmer (Midfielder), Enzo Fernández (Midfielder), Marc Cucurella (Midfielder), Moisés Caicedo (Midfielder), João Pedro (Attacker)

Chelsea’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two midfielders screening the defence and helping them control transitions. It also leaves room for João Pedro to lead the line with support from the attacking midfielders, which should help Chelsea build attacks through the middle and wide areas.

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Antonín Kinský (Goalkeeper), Destiny Udogie (Defender), Kevin Danso (Defender), Micky van de Ven (Defender), Pedro Porro (Defender), Conor Gallagher (Midfielder), João Palhinha (Midfielder), Mathys Tel (Midfielder), Randal Kolo Muani (Midfielder), Rodrigo Bentancur (Midfielder), Richarlison (Attacker)

Tottenham Hotspur’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact shape in midfield while still allowing them to break forward quickly. With Richarlison up top and support from the players behind him, they can look to turn defensive stability into direct attacking moments.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur Key Battle Overview
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur João Pedro against Destiny Udogie could be important because Chelsea will want their forward to find space against Tottenham Hotspur’s left side.
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur Andrey Santos against Conor Gallagher may shape midfield control, with both sides relying on their central players to set the tempo.
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur João Pedro is key for Chelsea because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to finish moves.
Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur Richarlison is key for Tottenham Hotspur because he leads the line in the predicted XI and gives them their clearest route to goal.

FAQs

How to watch Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur

Fans in the UK are able to watch Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 20:15 BST on Tuesday, 19 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur in this match.

Can you bet on Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.30%
No 48.70%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.12%
No 89.88%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.53%
No 20.47%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.01%
No 78.99%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Chelsea 59.51%
Tottenham Hotspur 35.29%
Draw 5.20%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.33%
No 68.67%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.21%
No 36.79%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Chelsea 73.91%
Draw / Tottenham Hotspur 49.17%
Chelsea / Tottenham Hotspur 76.78%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.48%
OTHER 1 9.99%
2-1 9.68%
1-0 9.29%
2-0 7.74%
1-2 6.70%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.59%
No 19.41%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.19%
No 3.05%
Equal 3.77%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.10%
No 21.39%
Equal 10.51%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Chelsea / Chelsea 33.77%
Chelsea / Tottenham Hotspur 2.26%
Chelsea / Draw 5.11%
Tottenham Hotspur / Chelsea 3.48%
Tottenham Hotspur / Tottenham Hotspur 12.46%
Tottenham Hotspur / Draw 4.63%
Draw / Draw 13.41%
Draw / Chelsea 16.69%
Draw / Tottenham Hotspur 8.20%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.44%
No 64.56%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.71%
No 74.29%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.54%
No 88.46%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.38%
No 96.62%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.11%
No 6.81%
Equal 6.08%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.61%
No 12.89%
Equal 8.50%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.42%
No 31.90%
Equal 11.67%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.65%
No 43.58%
Equal 11.77%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.77%
No 55.35%
Equal 10.88%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.77%
No 66.23%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.46%
No 66.23%
Equal 9.31%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Chelsea 40.35%
Tottenham Hotspur 20.04%
Draw 39.61%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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