Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

Harvey Watkins
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Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 02:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Thursday, 14 May 2026
Kick-off 02:30 BST
Venue Lumen Field

Match Prediction: Seattle Sounders 2-1 SJ Earthquakes

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Seattle Sounders51.28%
SJ Earthquakes24.19%
Draw24.50%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes57.61%
No42.39%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes56.29%
No43.68%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 15 Mar 2026 287SJ Earthquakes vs 2649Seattle Sounders 0 – 1 PayPal Park
Major League Soccer 20 Jul 2025 2649Seattle Sounders vs 287SJ Earthquakes 3 – 2 Lumen Field
Major League Soccer 30 Mar 2025 287SJ Earthquakes vs 2649Seattle Sounders 1 – 1 PayPal Park
Major League Soccer 19 Sep 2024 2649Seattle Sounders vs 287SJ Earthquakes 2 – 2 Lumen Field
Major League Soccer 24 Mar 2024 287SJ Earthquakes vs 2649Seattle Sounders 3 – 2 PayPal Park

Seattle Sounders come into this with a steadier recent league run, having gone five unbeaten and kept things tight in several of those matches. SJ Earthquakes have also been productive, but their last two league games have both finished 1-1, which suggests they are not always turning good spells into wins. With Seattle at Lumen Field and the head-to-head showing a narrow home win for Seattle in March, the edge looks slight but real.

SJ Earthquakes have shown they can score goals away from home, but Seattle’s recent results point to a side that is harder to beat and more controlled in tighter games. The absence of xG data means the case has to rest on results, lineups and the head-to-head, and those all lean towards a close contest rather than a one-sided one. Match Prediction: Seattle Sounders 2-1 SJ Earthquakes

Form Guide & Team Overview

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders are unbeaten in their last five league matches, with two draws and three wins in that run. The most recent results show a pair of 1-1 draws against San Diego and Sporting KC, but before that they beat Dallas 2-1, St. Louis City 4-1 and Houston Dynamo 1-0.

That sequence suggests Seattle have been difficult to beat and capable of both controlling games and finding enough goals to edge them. The fact they have taken points in every one of those five league fixtures is a solid base for a home betting angle.

Seattle Sounders Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 10 May 2026 2649Seattle Sounders vs 275650San Diego 1 – 1 D Lumen Field
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 323Sporting KC vs 2649Seattle Sounders 1 – 1 D Children's Mercy Park
Major League Soccer 26 Apr 2026 2649Seattle Sounders vs 583Dallas 2 – 1 W Lumen Field
Major League Soccer 19 Apr 2026 2649Seattle Sounders vs 267299St. Louis City 4 – 1 W Lumen Field
Major League Soccer 5 Apr 2026 478Houston Dynamo vs 2649Seattle Sounders 0 – 1 W Shell Energy Stadium

SJ Earthquakes

SJ Earthquakes are also unbeaten in their last five league matches, with two draws and three wins. Their latest two games have both ended 1-1, against Vancouver Whitecaps and Toronto, after wins over St. Louis City, Austin and Los Angeles FC.

That run shows they have been competitive and dangerous going forward, especially in the three wins where they scored 12 goals in total. The recent draws, though, indicate they have not always been able to finish matches off, which matters in a tight away fixture.

SJ Earthquakes Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 10 May 2026 287SJ Earthquakes vs 292Vancouver Whitecaps 1 – 1 D PayPal Park
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 111Toronto vs 287SJ Earthquakes 1 – 1 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 26 Apr 2026 267299St. Louis City vs 287SJ Earthquakes 2 – 3 W Energizer Park
Major League Soccer 23 Apr 2026 287SJ Earthquakes vs 254172Austin 5 – 1 W PayPal Park
Major League Soccer 19 Apr 2026 147671Los Angeles FC vs 287SJ Earthquakes 1 – 4 W BMO Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Seattle Sounders

  • Nikola Petković (Cruciate Ligament Tear)

SJ Earthquakes

  • Timo Werner (Muscle Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Seattle Sounders (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Andrew Thomas (Goalkeeper), Jackson Ragen (Defender), Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (Defender), Nouhou (Defender), Álex Roldán (Defender), Cristian Roldán (Midfielder), Jesús Ferreira (Midfielder), Paul Rothrock (Midfielder), Snyder Brunell (Midfielder), Albert Rusnák (Attacker), Jordan Morris (Attacker)

Seattle Sounders’ predicted 4-4-2 should give them a balanced shape, with two forwards staying high and giving them a direct outlet when they win the ball. The midfield four can help them stay compact without the ball while still supporting Albert Rusnák and Jordan Morris in the final third.

SJ Earthquakes (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Daniel (Goalkeeper), Benji Kikanović (Defender), Daniel Munie (Defender), Dave Romney (Defender), Reid Roberts (Defender), Beau Leroux (Midfielder), Jamar Ricketts (Midfielder), Ousseni Bouda (Midfielder), Paul Marie (Midfielder), Ronaldo Vieira (Midfielder), Preston Judd (Attacker)

SJ Earthquakes’ predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a clear central striker with support from three players behind, which should help them link play and attack in waves. The two deeper midfielders can provide cover in front of the defence, but the shape will still rely on the wide and central attackers to create enough chances for Preston Judd.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Seattle Sounders SJ Earthquakes Key Battle Overview
Seattle Sounders SJ Earthquakes Albert Rusnák against Benji Kikanović could be decisive if Rusnák finds space between the lines and forces Kikanović to defend deeper.
Seattle Sounders SJ Earthquakes Cristian Roldán against Beau Leroux looks important because control in midfield may decide which side can build sustained pressure.
Seattle Sounders SJ Earthquakes Albert Rusnák is key for Seattle Sounders because he has been named in the attacking role and can link midfield to the front two.
Seattle Sounders SJ Earthquakes Preston Judd is key for SJ Earthquakes because he is the central attacking reference point and the main player to finish the chances they create.

FAQs

How to watch Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes

Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes at 02:30 BST on Thursday, 14 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Seattle Sounders 2-1 SJ Earthquakes in this match.

Can you bet on Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Seattle Sounders vs SJ Earthquakes.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Seattle Sounders 39.49%
SJ Earthquakes 21.62%
Draw 38.89%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Seattle Sounders 75.78%
Draw / SJ Earthquakes 48.69%
Seattle Sounders / SJ Earthquakes 75.47%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.06%
No 65.94%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.21%
No 89.79%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.12%
No 89.88%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.36%
2-1 10.06%
OTHER 1 9.97%
1-0 9.51%
2-0 7.87%
1-2 6.20%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.93%
No 21.07%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.86%
No 19.14%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.47%
No 70.53%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.17%
No 96.83%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.19%
No 1.97%
Equal 2.84%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Seattle Sounders / Seattle Sounders 32.75%
Seattle Sounders / SJ Earthquakes 2.01%
Seattle Sounders / Draw 5.82%
SJ Earthquakes / Seattle Sounders 3.44%
SJ Earthquakes / SJ Earthquakes 12.68%
SJ Earthquakes / Draw 5.38%
Draw / Draw 13.41%
Draw / Seattle Sounders 16.52%
Draw / SJ Earthquakes 7.99%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Seattle Sounders 58.82%
SJ Earthquakes 35.70%
Draw 5.48%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.43%
No 48.57%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.23%
No 4.81%
Equal 4.96%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.80%
No 9.77%
Equal 7.42%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.14%
No 79.86%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.40%
No 37.60%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.08%
No 17.20%
Equal 9.72%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.28%
No 61.72%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.10%
No 61.72%
Equal 10.19%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.73%
No 26.92%
Equal 11.35%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.78%
No 38.27%
Equal 11.95%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.28%
No 50.22%
Equal 11.50%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.39%
No 74.61%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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