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Austin vs Sporting KC: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Austin vs Sporting KC in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 01:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Austin vs Sporting KC
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 01:30 BST
Venue Q2 Stadium

Match Prediction: Austin 2-0 Sporting KC

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Austin65.87%
Sporting KC14.24%
Draw19.86%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes50.24%
No49.76%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes57.60%
No42.40%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 08 Sep 2025 323Sporting KC vs 254172Austin 1 – 2 Children's Mercy Park
Major League Soccer 23 Feb 2025 254172Austin vs 323Sporting KC 1 – 0 Q2 Stadium
Major League Soccer 30 Jun 2024 323Sporting KC vs 254172Austin 2 – 0 Children's Mercy Park
Major League Soccer 19 May 2024 254172Austin vs 323Sporting KC 3 – 2 Al Saqr Stadium
Major League Soccer 16 Jul 2023 254172Austin vs 323Sporting KC 2 – 1 Al Saqr Stadium

Austin come into this with the stronger recent numbers, having taken seven points from their last three league matches and kept two clean sheets in that run. Sporting KC, by contrast, have lost four of their last five league games and have conceded heavily, including a 0-6 defeat at Portland Timbers and a 0-5 loss at Chicago Fire. With no xG data available, the clearest edge is form, and Austin’s home record in the supplied results points towards a controlled performance.

Sporting KC do have the head-to-head to lean on in the sense that this fixture has produced competitive games, but the current trend is much more one-sided. Austin have already beaten Sporting KC 1-0 and 2-1 in the recent meetings listed, and that fits the pattern of a side that can manage this matchup well. Match Prediction: Austin 2-0 Sporting KC

Form Guide & Team Overview

Austin

Austin’s recent league form is solid, with two wins and a draw from their last three matches. They beat St. Louis City 2-0 and Houston Dynamo 2-0 at home, then followed that with a 2-2 draw away to Minnesota United.

Before that, there was a heavier 1-5 defeat at SJ Earthquakes and a 3-3 draw at Toronto, so the results have not been flawless. Even so, the current run suggests Austin are finding enough balance to stay competitive and, importantly, to keep games under control at Q2 Stadium.

Austin Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 10 May 2026 3639Minnesota United vs 254172Austin 2 – 2 D Allianz Field
Major League Soccer 3 May 2026 254172Austin vs 267299St. Louis City 2 – 0 W Q2 Stadium
Major League Soccer 26 Apr 2026 254172Austin vs 478Houston Dynamo 2 – 0 W Q2 Stadium
Major League Soccer 23 Apr 2026 287SJ Earthquakes vs 254172Austin 5 – 1 L PayPal Park
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 254172Austin 3 – 3 D BMO Field

Sporting KC

Sporting KC’s recent league form is poor, with four defeats and one draw in their last five. The most recent result was a 0-6 loss away to Portland Timbers, which followed a 1-1 home draw with Seattle Sounders.

The wider run also includes a 0-5 defeat at Chicago Fire, a 0-3 loss at Vancouver Whitecaps and a 1-3 home defeat to SJ Earthquakes. That sequence shows a side struggling at both ends, and the goals against column is the main concern heading into this trip.

Sporting KC Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 10 May 2026 607Portland Timbers vs 323Sporting KC 6 – 0 L Providence Park
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 323Sporting KC vs 2649Seattle Sounders 1 – 1 D Children's Mercy Park
Major League Soccer 26 Apr 2026 75Chicago Fire vs 323Sporting KC 5 – 0 L Soldier Field
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 292Vancouver Whitecaps vs 323Sporting KC 3 – 0 L BC Place Stadium
Major League Soccer 12 Apr 2026 323Sporting KC vs 287SJ Earthquakes 1 – 3 L Children's Mercy Park

Team News & Injury Report

Austin

  • No injuries have been reported for the current season.

Sporting KC

  • Andrew Brody (Hamstring Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Austin vs Sporting KC predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Austin (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Brad Stuver (Goalkeeper), Brendan Hines-Ike (Defender), Guilherme Biro (Defender), Mikkel Desler (Defender), Oleksandr Svatok (Defender), Facundo Torres (Midfielder), Ilie Sánchez (Midfielder), J. Rosales (Midfielder), Jon Gallagher (Midfielder), Myrto Uzuni (Midfielder), Christian Ramirez (Attacker)

Austin’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a stable base with two midfielders screening the defence and helping them control transitions. The shape also leaves room for Facundo Torres, Jon Gallagher and Myrto Uzuni to support Christian Ramirez and attack Sporting KC’s back line.

Sporting KC (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Stefan Cleveland (Goalkeeper), Ethan Bartlow (Defender), Jake Davis (Defender), Jayden Reid (Defender), Wyatt Meyer (Defender), Capita (Midfielder), Jacob Bartlett (Midfielder), Lasse Berg Johnsen (Midfielder), Shapi Suleymanov (Midfielder), Dejan Joveljić (Attacker), Manu García (Attacker)

Sporting KC’s predicted 4-4-2 should give them two central forwards and a compact midfield line, which can help them stay connected between the lines. The issue is whether that shape can provide enough protection for the defence while still giving Dejan Joveljić and Manu García enough service.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Austin Sporting KC Key Battle Overview
Austin Sporting KC Christian Ramirez will look to use his movement against Ethan Bartlow, with Austin likely targeting space in behind Sporting KC’s back line.
Austin Sporting KC Facundo Torres against Capita is a key duel because Austin will want Torres to influence the game from midfield and create openings.
Austin Sporting KC Christian Ramirez is key for Austin because he is the central attacking reference in the predicted shape and the main player to finish chances.
Austin Sporting KC Dejan Joveljić is key for Sporting KC because he is one of the two forwards expected to carry their goal threat in a difficult away match.

FAQs

How to watch Austin vs Sporting KC

Austin vs Sporting KC at 01:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Austin vs Sporting KC?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Austin 2-0 Sporting KC in this match.

Can you bet on Austin vs Sporting KC?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Austin vs Sporting KC.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 47.82%
No 52.18%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23%
No 77%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Austin 50.50%
Sporting KC 14.30%
Draw 35.20%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.66%
No 65.34%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Austin 85.73%
Draw / Sporting KC 34.10%
Austin / Sporting KC 80.11%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.09%
No 63.40%
Equal 9.51%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.55%
No 38.45%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.46%
No 64.54%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.96%
No 6.42%
Equal 5.62%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 58.96%
No 29.86%
Equal 11.18%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 47.47%
No 41.04%
Equal 11.50%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.60%
No 52.53%
Equal 10.86%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.60%
No 63.40%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.68%
No 95.32%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.04%
No 98.96%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.05%
No 12.04%
Equal 7.91%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Austin / Austin 45.98%
Austin / Sporting KC 1.44%
Austin / Draw 3.95%
Sporting KC / Austin 4.42%
Sporting KC / Sporting KC 6.67%
Sporting KC / Draw 3.60%
Draw / Draw 11.36%
Draw / Austin 17.82%
Draw / Sporting KC 4.77%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.41%
No 82.59%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 17.26%
2-0 10.80%
1-0 10.56%
2-1 10.01%
1-1 9.17%
3-0 8.02%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.43%
No 20.57%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.51%
No 13.49%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.78%
No 82.22%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.58%
No 2.92%
Equal 3.50%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.14%
No 19.95%
Equal 9.90%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Austin 67.06%
Sporting KC 27.44%
Draw 5.50%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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