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New York RB vs New York City: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for New York RB vs New York City in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 00:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture New York RB vs New York City
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 00:30 BST
Venue Red Bull Arena

Match Prediction: New York RB 2-1 New York City

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

New York RB39%
New York City36.36%
Draw24.64%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes60.65%
No39.35%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes58.35%
No41.65%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 28 Sep 2025 383New York RB vs 3627New York City 2 – 3 Red Bull Arena
Major League Soccer 17 May 2025 3627New York City vs 383New York RB 2 – 0 Citi Field
Major League Soccer 23 Nov 2024 3627New York City vs 383New York RB 0 – 2 Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer 29 Sep 2024 383New York RB vs 3627New York City 1 – 5 Sports Illustrated Stadium
Major League Soccer 19 May 2024 3627New York City vs 383New York RB 2 – 1 Citi Field

New York RB come into this derby with a mixed recent record, but their 3-1 win away at Chicago Fire shows they can still produce a result when they get their attacking game going. New York City have also shown they can be dangerous, as seen in their 3-0 home win over Columbus Crew, yet both sides have had defensive issues in recent weeks and that points towards chances at both ends.

With no xG data available, the recent scorelines are the best guide, and they suggest a game that could swing on which side is more efficient in the final third. New York RB’s home advantage at Red Bull Arena and the fact they have scored four in one of their recent league games gives them a slight edge in a tight contest. Match Prediction: New York RB 2-1 New York City

Form Guide & Team Overview

New York RB

New York RB’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. The standout result is the 3-1 away win over Chicago Fire, but that sits alongside losses to Dallas, Cincinnati and CF Montréal, plus a 4-4 draw with DC United.

The goals for and against figures in those results suggest their matches have been open, especially at home where they drew 4-4 with DC United and lost 0-2 to Dallas. That mix of scoring ability and defensive vulnerability is the main pattern in their recent run.

New York RB Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 75Chicago Fire vs 383New York RB 1 – 3 W Soldier Field
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 383New York RB vs 583Dallas 0 – 2 L Red Bull Arena
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 3636Cincinnati vs 383New York RB 2 – 0 L TQL Stadium
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 383New York RB vs 182DC United 4 – 4 D Red Bull Arena
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 383New York RB 4 – 1 L Stade Saputo

New York City

New York City’s recent league form is also uneven, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. Their best result is the 3-0 home win over Columbus Crew, but they have also lost to DC United, CF Montréal and Charlotte, while drawing 4-4 with Cincinnati.

The recent results point to a side that can be productive going forward but has not been able to keep games under control consistently. The 4-4 draw and the narrow defeats show they have been involved in tight, high-scoring matches as well as games where they have struggled to find enough response.

New York City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 10 May 2026 3627New York City vs 577Columbus Crew 3 – 0 W Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer 3 May 2026 3627New York City vs 182DC United 0 – 2 L Citi Field
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 3627New York City 1 – 0 L Stade Saputo
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 3627New York City vs 3636Cincinnati 4 – 4 D Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 3627New York City vs 260119Charlotte 1 – 2 L Citi Field

Team News & Injury Report

New York RB

  • Justin Che (Hamstring Injury)

New York City

  • Drew Baiera (Cruciate Ligament Tear)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

New York RB vs New York City predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

New York RB (4-1-4-1)

Predicted lineup: Ethan Horvath (Goalkeeper), Dylan Nealis (Defender), Matthew Dos Santos (Defender), Robert Voloder (Defender), Tim Parker (Defender), Adri Mehmeti (Midfielder), Cade Cowell (Midfielder), Emil Forsberg (Midfielder), Jorge Ruvalcaba (Midfielder), Ronald Donkor (Midfielder), Julian Hall (Attacker)

New York RB’s predicted 4-1-4-1 shape should give them a solid base with one player screening the defence and a strong line of midfield support ahead of him. That structure can also help them get Julian Hall into advanced areas quickly, with the wide and central midfielders providing the supply.

New York City (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Matt Freese (Goalkeeper), Nico Cavallo (Defender), Raul Gustavo (Defender), Tayvon Gray (Defender), Thiago Martins (Defender), Agustín Ojeda (Midfielder), Hannes Wolf (Midfielder), Kai Trewin (Midfielder), Keaton Parks (Midfielder), Maxi Moralez (Midfielder), Nicolás Fernández Mercau (Attacker)

New York City’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a double pivot to protect the back four and help them build through midfield. It also leaves Nicolás Fernández Mercau as the main attacking reference, with support coming from the three players behind him.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

New York RB New York City Key Battle Overview
New York RB New York City Julian Hall against Nico Cavallo could be important if New York RB look to attack down that side and force New York City’s full-back into repeated defensive work.
New York RB New York City Adri Mehmeti against Agustín Ojeda is a useful midfield duel because both sides need control in central areas to set the tempo.
New York RB New York City Julian Hall is key for New York RB because he is the main attacking outlet in the predicted shape and the recent lineups show him starting up front.
New York RB New York City Nicolás Fernández Mercau is key for New York City because he is the listed attacker in the predicted 4-2-3-1 and the side’s main forward reference.

FAQs

How to watch New York RB vs New York City

New York RB vs New York City at 00:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for New York RB vs New York City?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be New York RB 2-1 New York City in this match.

Can you bet on New York RB vs New York City?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for New York RB vs New York City.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
New York RB 33.89%
New York City 29.03%
Draw 37.08%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.92%
No 37.77%
Equal 12.31%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.23%
No 26.16%
Equal 11.61%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.99%
2-1 8.56%
1-2 8.43%
1-0 7.49%
0-1 7.09%
OTHER 1 6.74%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
New York RB 48.95%
New York City 45.87%
Draw 5.18%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.48%
No 82.52%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.85%
No 64.15%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.83%
No 79.17%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.21%
No 80.79%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.97%
No 93.03%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.04%
No 27.96%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
New York RB / New York RB 24.15%
New York RB / New York City 3.07%
New York RB / Draw 5.97%
New York City / New York RB 3.01%
New York City / New York City 19.90%
New York City / Draw 5.91%
Draw / Draw 13.52%
Draw / New York RB 12.53%
Draw / New York City 11.95%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / New York RB 63.64%
Draw / New York City 61%
New York RB / New York City 75.36%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.23%
No 19.77%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74%
No 26%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.01%
No 56.99%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.03%
No 58.97%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.09%
No 93.91%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.77%
No 1.63%
Equal 2.60%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.84%
No 16.33%
Equal 9.83%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.08%
No 50.08%
Equal 11.85%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.08%
No 61.92%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.02%
No 4.23%
Equal 4.76%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.67%
No 8.98%
Equal 7.35%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.62%
No 61.92%
Equal 10.46%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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