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Cincinnati vs Orlando City: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Cincinnati vs Orlando City in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 00:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Cincinnati vs Orlando City
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 00:30 BST
Venue TQL Stadium

Match Prediction: Cincinnati 2-1 Orlando City

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Cincinnati51.23%
Orlando City26.04%
Draw22.72%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes65.93%
No34.07%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes67.30%
No32.70%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 29 Sep 2025 3636Cincinnati vs 204Orlando City 1 – 1 TQL Stadium
Major League Soccer 29 Jun 2025 204Orlando City vs 3636Cincinnati 1 – 2 Spectrum Stadium
Major League Soccer 06 Oct 2024 3636Cincinnati vs 204Orlando City 1 – 3 TQL Stadium
Major League Soccer 05 May 2024 204Orlando City vs 3636Cincinnati 0 – 1 Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer 03 Sep 2023 3636Cincinnati vs 204Orlando City 0 – 1 TQL Stadium

Cincinnati come into this with a run of games that has been open and high-scoring, and their recent home defeat to Inter Miami showed they can be exposed when the match becomes stretched. Orlando City have also been involved in plenty of goals, with both their win over Philadelphia Union and draw with Atlanta United finishing with goals at both ends. With no xG data available, the clearest read is from the results and lineups, and that points towards a competitive game rather than a controlled one.

Cincinnati’s home advantage at TQL Stadium and the presence of Evander in the attacking unit give them a strong route to chances, especially if they can get their wing-backs and midfield runners involved early. Orlando City have enough threat of their own through Justin Ellis and the rest of their front three, so they should not be written off. Match Prediction: Cincinnati 2-1 Orlando City

Form Guide & Team Overview

Cincinnati

Cincinnati’s recent league form has been mixed but productive in attack, with three draws and two wins across their last five. They have scored in every one of those matches, including a 3-3 draw away to San Diego and a 3-5 home loss to Inter Miami, which underlines how open their games have been.

The wins over Chicago Fire and New York RB show they can still put together results, but the goals against column has been a concern. Based on the recent results, Cincinnati look capable of scoring enough to compete, but not always of keeping games under control.

Cincinnati Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 17 May 2026 275650San Diego vs 3636Cincinnati 3 – 3 D Snapdragon Stadium
Major League Soccer 13 May 2026 3636Cincinnati vs 239235Inter Miami 3 – 5 L TQL Stadium
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 260119Charlotte vs 3636Cincinnati 2 – 2 D Bank of America Stadium
Major League Soccer 3 May 2026 75Chicago Fire vs 3636Cincinnati 2 – 3 W Soldier Field
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 3636Cincinnati vs 383New York RB 2 – 0 W TQL Stadium

Orlando City

Orlando City’s recent league results have also been lively, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. They have scored in four of those five matches, including a 4-3 win over Philadelphia Union and a 4-3 away win at Inter Miami.

Their 1-1 draw with Atlanta United suggests they can be more measured when needed, but the 0-2 loss to CF Montréal shows they are not immune to being contained. Overall, the recent results point to a side that carries threat but can also leave space behind.

Orlando City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 16 May 2026 204Orlando City vs 3645Atlanta United 1 – 1 D Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer 13 May 2026 204Orlando City vs 275Philadelphia Union 4 – 3 W Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 204Orlando City 2 – 0 L Stade Saputo
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 204Orlando City 3 – 4 W Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 182DC United vs 204Orlando City 3 – 2 L Audi Field

Team News & Injury Report

Cincinnati

  • A. Chirilă (Concussion)

Orlando City

  • Joran Gerbet (Knee Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Cincinnati vs Orlando City predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Cincinnati (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Roman Celentano (Goalkeeper), Matt Miazga (Defender), Miles Robinson (Defender), Nick Hagglund (Defender), Kenji Mboma Dem (Midfielder), Pavel Bucha (Midfielder), Samuel Gidi (Midfielder), Tah Anunga (Midfielder), Evander (Attacker), Gerardo Valenzuela (Attacker), Kévin Denkey (Attacker)

Cincinnati’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should give them a solid base of three centre-backs while still allowing the wide midfielders to support attacks. Evander operating behind the striker gives them a central link between midfield and the final third, which should help them progress the ball into dangerous areas.

Orlando City (3-4-3)

Predicted lineup: Maxime Crépeau (Goalkeeper), Adrián Marín (Defender), David Brekalo (Defender), Robin Jansson (Defender), Braian Ojeda (Midfielder), Eduard Atuesta (Midfielder), Griffin Dorsey (Midfielder), Iván Angulo (Midfielder), Justin Ellis (Attacker), Marco Pašalić (Attacker), Martín Ojeda (Attacker)

Orlando City’s predicted 3-4-3 gives them width and numbers in the attacking line, which should help them stretch Cincinnati’s back three. With Braian Ojeda and Eduard Atuesta in midfield, they have a platform to feed the front three and keep the game moving forward.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Cincinnati Orlando City Key Battle Overview
Cincinnati Orlando City Evander against Adrián Marín could be decisive if Cincinnati can find him between the lines and turn that into chances.
Cincinnati Orlando City Kenji Mboma Dem against Braian Ojeda looks important in midfield, with both sides needing control in that area.
Cincinnati Orlando City Evander is key for Cincinnati because he links midfield and attack and has been central to their recent scoring output.
Cincinnati Orlando City Justin Ellis is key for Orlando City because he gives them a direct attacking outlet in a front line that has been scoring regularly.

FAQs

How to watch Cincinnati vs Orlando City

Cincinnati vs Orlando City at 00:30 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Cincinnati vs Orlando City?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Cincinnati 2-1 Orlando City in this match.

Can you bet on Cincinnati vs Orlando City?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Cincinnati vs Orlando City.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Cincinnati / Cincinnati 34.43%
Cincinnati / Orlando City 2.65%
Cincinnati / Draw 5.29%
Orlando City / Cincinnati 4.34%
Orlando City / Orlando City 13.21%
Orlando City / Draw 5.36%
Draw / Draw 11.36%
Draw / Cincinnati 14.90%
Draw / Orlando City 8.47%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Cincinnati 73.95%
Draw / Orlando City 48.76%
Cincinnati / Orlando City 77.27%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.73%
No 17.27%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.74%
No 85.26%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.20%
No 67.80%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.64%
No 14.36%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.84%
No 54.16%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.98%
No 70.02%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.76%
No 35.24%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.11%
No 94.89%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Cincinnati 41.34%
Orlando City 23.83%
Draw 34.83%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.68%
No 36.10%
Equal 11.22%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Cincinnati 55.90%
Orlando City 40.48%
Draw 3.62%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.24%
No 5.04%
Equal 4.71%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.36%
No 9.76%
Equal 6.88%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.41%
No 16.64%
Equal 8.95%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.90%
No 25.59%
Equal 10.50%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.66%
No 47.32%
Equal 11.02%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.82%
No 42.18%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.96%
No 2.22%
Equal 2.82%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.63%
No 58.34%
Equal 10.03%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 15.32%
2-1 9.51%
1-1 9.24%
2-2 7.15%
1-2 6.41%
1-0 6.31%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.87%
No 84.13%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.83%
No 64.17%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.66%
No 58.34%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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