Chicago Fire vs Toronto: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Chicago Fire vs Toronto in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 01:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Chicago Fire vs Toronto
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 01:30 BST
Venue Soldier Field

Match Prediction: Chicago Fire 3-1 Toronto

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Chicago Fire59.01%
Toronto18.62%
Draw22.33%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes53.33%
No46.67%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes55.21%
No44.79%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 05 Oct 2025 75Chicago Fire vs 111Toronto 2 – 2 Soldier Field
Major League Soccer 15 Mar 2025 111Toronto vs 75Chicago Fire 1 – 2 BMO Field
Major League Soccer 29 Sep 2024 75Chicago Fire vs 111Toronto 1 – 1 SeatGeek Stadium
Major League Soccer 16 Jun 2024 111Toronto vs 75Chicago Fire 1 – 4 BMO Field
Major League Soccer 16 Jul 2023 75Chicago Fire vs 111Toronto 1 – 0 Soldier Field

Chicago Fire come into this one with the stronger recent numbers, winning three of their last five league matches and scoring 13 goals across that run. Toronto, by contrast, have gone five league games without a win and have conceded at least twice in four of those matches, which points towards the home side having the clearer attacking edge. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines are the best guide, and they lean towards Chicago Fire controlling the game more often.

That said, Toronto have still shown they can find the net, with goals in four of their last five league fixtures, so they are not likely to be completely shut out. Chicago Fire’s recent home defeats show they can be exposed at the back, but their current form and the head-to-head record both suggest they should create enough to win. A 3-1 home result fits the data best, with Chicago Fire’s attack looking more reliable over the last few weeks.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire have won three of their last five league matches, beating CF Montréal 2-0 away, DC United 3-1 away and Sporting KC 5-0 at home. Their two defeats in that spell came against New York RB and Cincinnati, both by a single goal margin in games where they still scored once or twice.

The overall picture is of a side producing goals regularly, with 13 scored across those five league fixtures. They have also shown they can win away from home, which adds to the sense that their recent form is stronger than Toronto’s.

Chicago Fire Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 16 May 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 75Chicago Fire 0 – 2 W Stade Saputo
Major League Soccer 13 May 2026 182DC United vs 75Chicago Fire 1 – 3 W Audi Field
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 75Chicago Fire vs 383New York RB 1 – 3 L Soldier Field
Major League Soccer 3 May 2026 75Chicago Fire vs 3636Cincinnati 2 – 3 L Soldier Field
Major League Soccer 26 Apr 2026 75Chicago Fire vs 323Sporting KC 5 – 0 W Soldier Field

Toronto

Toronto’s recent league form is poor, with no wins in their last five. They have lost to Charlotte, Inter Miami and Atlanta United, while drawing with SJ Earthquakes and Philadelphia Union.

Defensively, the numbers are a concern because they have conceded 13 goals across those five matches. They have scored in four of the five, so there is some attacking output, but the results show they are struggling to turn that into points.

Toronto Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 16 May 2026 260119Charlotte vs 111Toronto 3 – 1 L Bank of America Stadium
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 111Toronto vs 239235Inter Miami 2 – 4 L BMO Field
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 111Toronto vs 287SJ Earthquakes 1 – 1 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 3645Atlanta United 1 – 2 L BMO Field
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 275Philadelphia Union 3 – 3 D BMO Field

Team News & Injury Report

Chicago Fire

  • Sergio Oregel (Head Injury)

Toronto

  • Lazar Stefanović (Metatarsal Fracture)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Chicago Fire vs Toronto predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Chicago Fire (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Chris Brady (Goalkeeper), Jack Elliott (Defender), Jonathan Dean (Defender), Mbekezeli Mbokazi (Defender), Viktor Radojević (Defender), Joel Waterman (Midfielder), Maren Haile-Selassie (Midfielder), Mauricio Pineda (Midfielder), Philip Zinckernagel (Midfielder), Robin Lod (Midfielder), Hugo Cuypers (Attacker)

Chicago Fire’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base in midfield while still allowing the wide attackers to support Hugo Cuypers quickly in the final third. With Joel Waterman and the other central midfielders screening transitions, they can look to build attacks with enough structure to keep Toronto pinned back.

Toronto (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Luka Gavran (Goalkeeper), Jackson Gilman (Defender), Kobe Franklin (Defender), Raheem Edwards (Defender), Walker Zimmerman (Defender), Alonso Coello (Midfielder), Derrick Etienne Jr. (Midfielder), Dániel Sallói (Midfielder), Jonathan Osorio (Midfielder), Malik Henry (Midfielder), Emilio Aristizábal (Attacker)

Toronto’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a compact midfield platform, which should help them stay organised and feed Emilio Aristizábal in more direct moments. The shape also allows Jonathan Osorio and Dániel Sallói to support from deeper areas, but they will need cleaner defending than their recent results have shown.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Chicago Fire Toronto Key Battle Overview
Chicago Fire Toronto Hugo Cuypers against Jackson Gilman could be decisive if Chicago Fire can get Cuypers into central scoring positions early.
Chicago Fire Toronto Joel Waterman against Alonso Coello matters because the midfield battle may decide which side can control the tempo.
Chicago Fire Toronto Hugo Cuypers is key for Chicago Fire because their recent results show they have been scoring regularly and he is the main attacking reference.
Chicago Fire Toronto Emilio Aristizábal is key for Toronto because he is the listed attacker and Toronto have still been finding goals despite their poor run.

FAQs

How to watch Chicago Fire vs Toronto

Chicago Fire vs Toronto at 01:30 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Chicago Fire vs Toronto?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Chicago Fire 3-1 Toronto in this match.

Can you bet on Chicago Fire vs Toronto?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Chicago Fire vs Toronto.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.34%
No 16.66%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.34%
No 77.66%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Chicago Fire 62%
Toronto 31.97%
Draw 6.03%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.75%
No 79.25%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.24%
No 6.27%
Equal 5.49%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.92%
No 70.08%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Chicago Fire 47.06%
Toronto 17.41%
Draw 35.54%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.41%
No 86.59%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.13%
No 45.87%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.84%
No 93.16%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.77%
No 98.23%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.73%
No 2.86%
Equal 3.41%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.50%
No 51.66%
Equal 10.85%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.50%
No 62.50%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Chicago Fire / Chicago Fire 40.10%
Chicago Fire / Toronto 1.78%
Chicago Fire / Draw 5.30%
Toronto / Chicago Fire 3.86%
Toronto / Toronto 9.54%
Toronto / Draw 4.14%
Draw / Draw 11.80%
Draw / Chicago Fire 16.93%
Draw / Toronto 6.55%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.93%
No 62.50%
Equal 9.56%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 13.23%
1-0 10.60%
1-1 10.15%
2-1 9.94%
2-0 9.85%
3-1 6.17%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.80%
No 22.20%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.31%
No 66.69%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.09%
No 43.91%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.78%
No 19.50%
Equal 9.72%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.50%
No 11.76%
Equal 7.74%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.75%
No 29.22%
Equal 11.03%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.34%
No 40.25%
Equal 11.41%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Chicago Fire 81.34%
Draw / Toronto 40.95%
Chicago Fire / Toronto 77.63%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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