Paris Saint Germain vs Brest: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Paris Saint Germain vs Brest in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Paris Saint Germain vs Brest
Competition Ligue 1
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Parc des Princes

Match Prediction: Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Brest

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Paris Saint Germain74.46%
Brest9.41%
Draw16.12%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes48.46%
No51.54%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes63.89%
No36.11%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 25 Oct 2025 266Brest vs 591Paris Saint Germain 0 – 3 Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 01 Feb 2025 266Brest vs 591Paris Saint Germain 2 – 5 Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 14 Sep 2024 591Paris Saint Germain vs 266Brest 3 – 1 Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 28 Jan 2024 591Paris Saint Germain vs 266Brest 2 – 2 Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 29 Oct 2023 266Brest vs 591Paris Saint Germain 2 – 3 Stade Francis-Le Ble

Paris Saint Germain come in with the stronger recent results and the more reliable attacking output, so they should have the edge at Parc des Princes. Brest have been involved in plenty of open games, but their recent defensive record suggests they may struggle to keep this tight for long periods.

The head-to-head data also points towards Paris Saint Germain having the upper hand, with several wins and a clear scoring pattern in recent meetings. Brest can still threaten through Ludovic Ajorque and set-piece moments, but they will likely spend long spells without the ball. Match Prediction: Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Brest

Form Guide & Team Overview

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain’s recent league form is solid, with three wins, one draw and one loss across their last five. They have scored at least two goals in four of those five matches, including back-to-back 3-0 wins over Angers SCO and Nantes.

The draw with Lorient and the loss to Olympique Lyonnais show they are not completely watertight, but the overall trend is still positive. Their all-competitions record is similar, and the 5-4 win over FC Bayern München underlines that they have been finding ways to score regularly.

Paris Saint Germain Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 9257Lorient 2 – 2 D Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 25 Apr 2026 776Angers SCO vs 591Paris Saint Germain 0 – 3 W Stade Raymond Kopa
Ligue 1 22 Apr 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 59Nantes 3 – 0 W Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 79Olympique Lyonnais 1 – 2 L Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 3 Apr 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 289Toulouse 3 – 1 W Parc des Princes

Brest

Brest’s recent league form has been poor, with no wins in their last five and four defeats in that run. They have conceded heavily in several of those games, including 0-4 against Paris and 3-4 against Rennes.

There have been a couple of draws, but even those were high-scoring and did not suggest much control. The 3-3 with Lens and 1-1 at Nantes show they can compete in spells, yet the overall defensive numbers point to a difficult evening here.

Brest Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 3 May 2026 4508Paris vs 266Brest 4 – 0 L Stade Jean Bouin
Ligue 1 24 Apr 2026 266Brest vs 271Lens 3 – 3 D Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 59Nantes vs 266Brest 1 – 1 D Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Ligue 1 4 Apr 2026 266Brest vs 598Rennes 3 – 4 L Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 21 Mar 2026 3682Auxerre vs 266Brest 3 – 0 L Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Team News & Injury Report

Paris Saint Germain

  • Achraf Hakimi (Hamstring Injury)
  • Lucas Chevalier (Hamstring Injury)

Brest

  • Kenny Lala (Yellow Card Suspension)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Paris Saint Germain vs Brest predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Paris Saint Germain (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Renato Marin (Goalkeeper), Lucas Beraldo (Defender), Lucas Hernández (Defender), Senny Mayulu (Defender), Willian Pacho (Defender), Fabián Ruiz (Midfielder), Kang-in Lee (Midfielder), Pedro Fernández (Midfielder), Bradley Barcola (Attacker), Désiré Doué (Attacker), Ibrahim Mbaye (Attacker)

Paris Saint Germain’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them width and plenty of attacking support around Bradley Barcola, with the midfield trio helping them keep pressure on Brest. The shape also looks suited to controlling territory and recycling possession high up the pitch.

Brest (4-1-4-1)

Predicted lineup: Grégoire Coudert (Goalkeeper), Brendan Chardonnet (Defender), TBC (Defender), Luck Zogbé (Defender), R. Le Guen (Defender), Hugo Magnetti (Midfielder), Joris Chotard (Midfielder), Lucas Tousart (Midfielder), Romain Del Castillo (Midfielder), Rémy Labeau Lascary (Midfielder), Ludovic Ajorque (Attacker)

Brest’s predicted 4-1-4-1 should keep Ludovic Ajorque as the main outlet while the midfield line tries to stay compact in front of the defence. If they are to stay in the game, they will need Hugo Magnetti and the central midfielders to slow Paris Saint Germain’s rhythm and protect the back four.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Paris Saint Germain Brest Text
Paris Saint Germain Brest Bradley Barcola against Brendan Chardonnet looks important because Brest will need Chardonnet to deal with direct running and movement in behind.
Paris Saint Germain Brest Fabián Ruiz against Hugo Magnetti could shape midfield control, with both sides needing their central players to set the tempo.
Paris Saint Germain Brest Bradley Barcola is key for Paris Saint Germain because he gives them a direct attacking threat and a likely route to stretching Brest’s back line.
Paris Saint Germain Brest Ludovic Ajorque is key for Brest because he is their main attacking reference and the clearest outlet when they break forward.

FAQs

How to watch Paris Saint Germain vs Brest

Paris Saint Germain vs Brest at 20:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Brest?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Brest in this match.

Can you bet on Paris Saint Germain vs Brest?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Paris Saint Germain vs Brest.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.93%
No 86.07%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.39%
No 9.61%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.67%
No 56.42%
Equal 10.90%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.81%
No 68.19%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.82%
No 13.52%
Equal 8.67%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Paris Saint Germain 59.78%
Brest 10.16%
Draw 30.06%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.65%
No 1.27%
Equal 2.08%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 0.98%
No 99.02%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.39%
No 53.61%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Paris Saint Germain / Paris Saint Germain 56.06%
Paris Saint Germain / Brest 1.08%
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 2.75%
Brest / Paris Saint Germain 4.11%
Brest / Brest 3.98%
Brest / Draw 2.64%
Draw / Draw 7.05%
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 19.37%
Draw / Brest 2.95%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.35%
No 73.65%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.21%
No 29.79%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Paris Saint Germain 74.46%
Brest 20.82%
Draw 4.72%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 90.58%
Draw / Brest 25.53%
Paris Saint Germain / Brest 83.87%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 26.07%
2-0 10.98%
1-0 9.82%
3-0 9.46%
2-1 8.55%
1-1 6.83%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.16%
No 22.18%
Equal 10.65%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.96%
No 61.04%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.40%
No 32.84%
Equal 11.77%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.63%
No 17.37%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.58%
No 56.42%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.66%
No 57.34%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.73%
No 3.35%
Equal 3.92%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.15%
No 95.85%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.48%
No 7.27%
Equal 6.25%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.58%
No 44.60%
Equal 11.82%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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