Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano
Competition La Liga
Date Saturday, 23 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Estadio de Mendizorroza

Match Prediction: Deportivo Alavés 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Deportivo Alavés37.30%
Rayo Vallecano35.90%
Draw26.80%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.65%
No45.35%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes49.07%
No50.90%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
La Liga 26 Oct 2025 377Rayo Vallecano vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 1 – 0 Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 29 Mar 2025 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 377Rayo Vallecano 0 – 2 Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 26 Oct 2024 377Rayo Vallecano vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 1 – 0 Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 10 Mar 2024 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 377Rayo Vallecano 1 – 0 Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 15 Sep 2023 377Rayo Vallecano vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 2 – 0 Estadio de Vallecas

Deportivo Alavés come into this on the back of three wins in their last five league matches, including clean-sheet victories over Real Oviedo and FC Barcelona, so they have shown they can keep games tight. Rayo Vallecano have also been steady, with two wins and three draws in their last five across all competitions, but their recent league run has featured a few level scores. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is form and the head-to-head trend, which has leaned towards low-scoring Rayo wins in recent meetings.

Alavés have home wins over Mallorca and FC Barcelona in this run, and that suggests they can make Mendizorroza a difficult place to visit. Rayo have been hard to beat, but the absence of Isi Palazón is a notable miss and could reduce their threat between the lines. A narrow home win fits the recent results, while the head-to-head record still suggests a competitive game rather than a one-sided one.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés arrive with three wins from their last five league matches, and all three victories were by a single goal. The standout results are the 1-0 away win at Real Oviedo and the 1-0 home win over FC Barcelona, which show they have been effective in tight games.

Their only defeat in that run was the 4-2 home loss to Athletic Club, while the draw at Elche was another close contest. Overall, the recent pattern points to low-margin matches, with Alavés doing enough in several of them to come out on top.

Deportivo Alavés Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 17 May 2026 93Real Oviedo vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 0 – 1 W Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
La Liga 13 May 2026 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 83FC Barcelona 1 – 0 W Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 9 May 2026 1099Elche vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 1 – 1 D Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
La Liga 2 May 2026 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 13258Athletic Club 2 – 4 L Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 25 Apr 2026 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 645Mallorca 2 – 1 W Estadio de Mendizorroza

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano have taken two wins and three draws from their last five matches across all competitions, so they have been difficult to beat. In league action, they have drawn with Valencia and Girona, and beaten Villarreal and Getafe without conceding in those wins.

The 3-3 draw with Real Sociedad shows they can be involved in open games as well, but the overall run is still fairly controlled. Their recent results suggest a side that stays competitive, though not always with the cutting edge to turn draws into wins.

Rayo Vallecano Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 17 May 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 3477Villarreal 2 – 0 W Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 14 May 2026 214Valencia vs 377Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 D Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga 11 May 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 231Girona 1 – 1 D Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 3 May 2026 106Getafe vs 377Rayo Vallecano 0 – 2 W Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 594Real Sociedad 3 – 3 D Estadio de Vallecas

Team News & Injury Report

Deportivo Alavés

  • Facundo Garcés (Suspension Through Sports Court)

Rayo Vallecano

  • Isi Palazón (Suspension Through Sports Court)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Deportivo Alavés (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Antonio Sivera (Goalkeeper), Nahuel Tenaglia (Defender), Victor Parada (Defender), Ville Koski (Defender), Abde Rebbach (Midfielder), Antonio Blanco (Midfielder), Denis Suárez (Midfielder), Jon Guridi (Midfielder), Ángel Pérez (Midfielder), Ibrahim Diabaté (Attacker), Toni Martínez (Attacker)

Deportivo Alavés’ predicted 3-5-2 gives them a solid base with three centre-backs and wing support from the wide midfield areas. That shape should help them stay compact while still getting Ibrahim Diabaté and Toni Martínez close enough to combine in the final third.

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Augusto Batalla (Goalkeeper), Andrei Rațiu (Defender), Florian Lejeune (Defender), Pathé Ciss (Defender), Pep Chavarría (Defender), Jorge de Frutos (Midfielder), Oscar Trejo (Midfielder), Sergio Camello (Midfielder), Unai López (Midfielder), Óscar Valentín (Midfielder), Alexandre Zurawski (Attacker)

Rayo Vallecano’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them balance, with a double pivot protecting the back four and allowing the attacking midfield line to support Alexandre Zurawski. The shape also gives Jorge de Frutos and the central creators room to link play and feed the striker in transition.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano Key Battle Overview
Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano Ibrahim Diabaté against Andrei Rațiu could be important if Alavés look to attack down that side and force Rayo’s full-back into repeated defensive work.
Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano Abde Rebbach against Jorge de Frutos is a useful midfield-wide duel because both can influence how much territory each side wins.
Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano Ibrahim Diabaté is key for Deportivo Alavés because he has started in their recent 3-5-2 and gives them a direct attacking reference point.
Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano Alexandre Zurawski is key for Rayo Vallecano because he is the central attacking outlet in the predicted 4-2-3-1 and the main player to finish moves.

FAQs

How to watch Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano at 20:00 BST on Saturday, 23 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Deportivo Alavés 2-1 Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Can you bet on Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.70%
No 59.70%
Equal 10.60%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.27%
No 95.73%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.30%
No 47.90%
Equal 11.80%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Deportivo Alavés / Deportivo Alavés 19.62%
Deportivo Alavés / Rayo Vallecano 2.73%
Deportivo Alavés / Draw 5.92%
Rayo Vallecano / Deportivo Alavés 2.48%
Rayo Vallecano / Rayo Vallecano 18.30%
Rayo Vallecano / Draw 5.40%
Draw / Draw 17.72%
Draw / Deportivo Alavés 13.73%
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 14.11%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.77%
No 63.23%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.87%
No 26.13%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.22%
No 85.78%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.89%
No 30.11%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.34%
No 15.30%
Equal 9.35%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.10%
No 35.85%
Equal 12.05%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.15%
No 24.66%
Equal 11.20%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Deportivo Alavés 27.28%
Rayo Vallecano 27.15%
Draw 45.57%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.20%
No 72.80%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Deportivo Alavés 44.44%
Rayo Vallecano 48.21%
Draw 7.35%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Deportivo Alavés 64.10%
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 62.70%
Deportivo Alavés / Rayo Vallecano 73.20%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.28%
No 95.72%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.18%
No 28.82%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.61%
1-0 9.63%
0-1 9.16%
1-2 8.45%
2-1 8.43%
0-0 7.35%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.02%
No 63.98%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.30%
No 59.70%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.61%
No 3.94%
Equal 4.45%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.70%
No 8.39%
Equal 6.92%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.26%
No 85.74%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.06%
No 1.52%
Equal 2.42%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.70%
No 86.30%

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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