Elche vs Deportivo Alavés: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Elche vs Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 13:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Elche vs Deportivo Alavés
Competition La Liga
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 13:00 BST
Venue Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Match Prediction: Elche 1-1 Deportivo Alavés

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Elche53.18%
Deportivo Alavés22.10%
Draw24.73%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes52.75%
No47.25%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes52.08%
No47.92%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
La Liga 05 Oct 2025 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 1099Elche 3 – 1 Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 05 Feb 2022 1099Elche vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 3 – 1 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
La Liga 26 Oct 2021 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 1099Elche 1 – 0 Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 11 May 2021 1099Elche vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 0 – 2 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
La Liga 18 Oct 2020 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 1099Elche 0 – 2 Estadio de Mendizorroza

Elche come into this with three wins from their last five league matches, and that run suggests they can carry a threat at home even if the recent loss at Celta de Vigo was a reminder that they are not fully secure. Deportivo Alavés have been involved in plenty of goals, with their last five league games producing two draws, two defeats and one win, so there is enough evidence for both sides to find openings. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines are the best guide, and they point towards a competitive game rather than a cautious one. Elche’s home wins over Atlético Madrid and Valencia also give them a decent platform.

Alavés have scored in four of their last five league matches, but they have also conceded in all five, which keeps the door open for Elche to make their pressure count. Elche’s own recent results show they can edge tight games, while Alavés have been less reliable at the back, especially in the 2-4 defeat to Athletic Club. The head-to-head record is mixed, so there is no strong historical edge to lean on either way. Match Prediction: Elche 2-1 Deportivo Alavés

Form Guide & Team Overview

Elche

Elche’s recent league form is encouraging, with three wins from their last five. They beat Real Oviedo 2-1 away, Atlético Madrid 3-2 at home and Valencia 1-0 at home, which shows they have been able to get results in different types of matches.

Their two defeats in that run were both narrow enough to suggest they have stayed competitive, losing 1-3 at Celta de Vigo and 0-1 at Rayo Vallecano. On balance, the recent results point to a side that can be trusted more at home than away.

Elche Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 3 May 2026 36Celta de Vigo vs 1099Elche 3 – 1 L Estadio de Balaídos
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 93Real Oviedo vs 1099Elche 1 – 2 W Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
La Liga 22 Apr 2026 1099Elche vs 7980Atlético Madrid 3 – 2 W Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
La Liga 11 Apr 2026 1099Elche vs 214Valencia 1 – 0 W Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
La Liga 3 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 1099Elche 1 – 0 L Estadio de Vallecas

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés have had a mixed spell, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five league matches. They beat Mallorca 2-1 at home, but they also lost 2-4 to Athletic Club at home and 1-2 away to Real Madrid.

The draws against Real Sociedad and Osasuna show they can stay in games, but the goals against column has been a concern. They have conceded in every one of those five league fixtures, which is a clear warning sign ahead of this trip.

Deportivo Alavés Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 2 May 2026 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 13258Athletic Club 2 – 4 L Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 25 Apr 2026 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 645Mallorca 2 – 1 W Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga 21 Apr 2026 3468Real Madrid vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 2 – 1 L Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga 11 Apr 2026 594Real Sociedad vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 3 – 3 D Anoeta Stadium
La Liga 5 Apr 2026 2975Deportivo Alavés vs 459Osasuna 2 – 2 D Estadio de Mendizorroza

Team News & Injury Report

Elche

  • Albert Niculaesei (Cruciate Ligament Injury)

Deportivo Alavés

  • Carlos Protesoni (Muscle Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Elche vs Deportivo Alavés predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Elche (3-4-1-2)

Predicted lineup: Matías Dituro (Goalkeeper), David Affengruber (Defender), John Donald (Defender), Pedro Bigas (Defender), Adrià Pedrosa (Midfielder), Aleix Febas (Midfielder), Marc Aguado (Midfielder), Tete Morente (Midfielder), André Silva (Attacker), Gonzalo Villar (Attacker), Álvaro Rodríguez (Attacker)

Elche’s predicted 3-4-1-2 should give them a solid base with three centre-backs and enough midfield numbers to compete for second balls. The shape also leaves room for André Silva and Álvaro Rodríguez to work off each other, with Tete Morente likely helping link play from behind.

Deportivo Alavés (5-3-2)

Predicted lineup: Antonio Sivera (Goalkeeper), Abde Rebbach (Defender), Jonny Otto (Defender), Nahuel Tenaglia (Defender), Victor Parada (Defender), Ángel Pérez (Defender), Antonio Blanco (Midfielder), Denis Suárez (Midfielder), Pablo Ibáñez (Midfielder), Ibrahim Diabaté (Attacker), Toni Martínez (Attacker)

Deportivo Alavés’ predicted 5-3-2 should keep them compact and difficult to break down, especially with five across the back. It also gives them a platform to spring forward through Ibrahim Diabaté and Toni Martínez if they can win the ball and move quickly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Elche Deportivo Alavés Text
Elche Deportivo Alavés André Silva against Abde Rebbach could be decisive if Elche can get their main attacker into central areas against a back line that has been conceding regularly.
Elche Deportivo Alavés Adrià Pedrosa against Antonio Blanco looks important because Elche will want Pedrosa to help control the left side and stop Alavés building through midfield.
Elche Deportivo Alavés André Silva is key for Elche because he has been named in the recent and predicted lineups and gives them a clear attacking reference in a side that has been scoring at home.
Elche Deportivo Alavés Ibrahim Diabaté is key for Deportivo Alavés because he offers a direct goal threat in a team that has been finding the net but also needs its forwards to make chances count.

FAQs

How to watch Elche vs Deportivo Alavés

Elche vs Deportivo Alavés at 13:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Elche vs Deportivo Alavés?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Elche 1-1 Deportivo Alavés in this match.

Can you bet on Elche vs Deportivo Alavés?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Elche vs Deportivo Alavés.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.60%
No 97.40%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.03%
No 24.97%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.56%
No 82.44%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.92%
No 50.95%
Equal 11.13%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.61%
No 74.39%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.72%
No 70.28%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.34%
No 19.66%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 50.04%
No 49.96%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.62%
No 76.38%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.30%
No 90.70%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Elche 55.62%
Deportivo Alavés 36.98%
Draw 7.40%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Elche 77.91%
Draw / Deportivo Alavés 46.83%
Elche / Deportivo Alavés 75.28%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Elche / Elche 28.32%
Elche / Deportivo Alavés 2.26%
Elche / Draw 5.65%
Deportivo Alavés / Elche 4.39%
Deportivo Alavés / Deportivo Alavés 11.44%
Deportivo Alavés / Draw 5.43%
Draw / Draw 14.25%
Draw / Elche 18.69%
Draw / Deportivo Alavés 9.56%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.45%
No 2.41%
Equal 3.14%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 11.67%
1-1 10.70%
2-1 10.13%
2-0 9.33%
OTHER 1 8.99%
0-0 7.40%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.40%
No 42.60%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.20%
No 5.55%
Equal 5.25%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.59%
No 10.80%
Equal 7.60%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.98%
No 91.02%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Elche 36.21%
Deportivo Alavés 21.04%
Draw 42.75%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.87%
No 18.41%
Equal 9.73%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.92%
No 62.08%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.08%
No 62.08%
Equal 9.84%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.70%
No 28.13%
Equal 11.17%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.05%
No 39.30%
Equal 11.65%

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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