Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 17:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Date | Saturday, 09 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 17:30 BST |
| Venue | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
Match Prediction: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Celta de Vigo
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 05 Oct 2025 |  Celta de Vigo vs  Atlético Madrid |
1 – 1 | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 15 Feb 2025 | Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo |
1 – 1 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 26 Sep 2024 | Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid |
0 – 1 | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 12 May 2024 | Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo |
1 – 0 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 21 Oct 2023 | Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid |
0 – 3 | Estadio de Balaídos |
Atlético Madrid come into this with the stronger recent league form, having won two of their last five and scored five goals across the last two. Celta de Vigo have been more uneven, with three defeats in their last five league matches and only one clean win in that run. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is that Atlético’s home edge and slightly steadier results give them the better platform.
Celta’s recent away results show they can still nick a result, as seen in the win at Valencia, but they have also struggled to keep games tight against Villarreal and Barcelona. Atlético have had a few narrow defeats themselves, so this does not look like a straightforward home banker. Even so, the head-to-head record has leaned Atlético’s way more often than not, which nudges the balance towards the hosts.
Form Guide & Team Overview
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid’s recent league form is mixed but improving, with back-to-back wins over Athletic Club and Valencia after three straight defeats. The 2-0 away win at Valencia stands out as a cleaner result, while the 3-2 home win over Athletic Club shows they can still find goals when the game opens up.
Across their last five league matches, Atlético have scored in four and conceded in four, so there has been some volatility at both ends. That said, the latest two results suggest a bit more control than the losses to Elche, Sevilla and FC Barcelona.
Atlético Madrid Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 2 May 2026 |  Valencia vs Atlético Madrid |
0 – 2 | W | Estadio de Mestalla |
| La Liga | 25 Apr 2026 | Atlético Madrid vs  Athletic Club |
3 – 2 | W | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 |  Elche vs Atlético Madrid |
3 – 2 | L | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| La Liga | 11 Apr 2026 |  Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid |
2 – 1 | L | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 4 Apr 2026 | Atlético Madrid vs  FC Barcelona |
1 – 2 | L | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo’s recent league form has been patchy, with just two wins in their last five and three defeats. The 3-1 home win over Elche is their best recent result, but the losses to Villarreal, FC Barcelona and Real Oviedo show they have struggled for consistency.
Away from home, Celta have at least shown they can compete, as the 3-2 win at Valencia proves. Even so, the overall pattern is one of narrow defeats and limited margin for error, which is a concern heading into a trip to Atlético Madrid.
Celta de Vigo Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 3 May 2026 | Celta de Vigo vs Elche |
3 – 1 | W | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 |  Villarreal vs Celta de Vigo |
2 – 1 | L | Estadio de la Cerámica |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 | FC Barcelona vs Celta de Vigo |
1 – 0 | L | Camp Nou |
| La Liga | 12 Apr 2026 | Celta de Vigo vs  Real Oviedo |
0 – 3 | L | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 5 Apr 2026 | Valencia vs Celta de Vigo |
2 – 3 | W | Estadio de Mestalla |
Team News & Injury Report
Atlético Madrid
- Nico González (Unknown Injury)
Celta de Vigo
- Miguel Román (Metatarsal Fracture)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Atlético Madrid (4-5-1)
Predicted lineup: Juan Musso (Goalkeeper), Clément Lenglet (Defender), Javier Boñar (Defender), Julio Díaz (Defender), Robin Le Normand (Defender), Javi Morcillo (Midfielder), Nahuel Molina (Midfielder), Obed Vargas (Midfielder), Rodrigo Mendoza (Midfielder), Thiago Almada (Midfielder), Rayane Belaid (Attacker)
Atlético Madrid’s predicted 4-5-1 should give them a solid base, with the midfield five helping them control central areas and support the lone striker. Rayane Belaid offers the main outlet up front, while Javi Morcillo and the wider midfield runners can help turn possession into pressure.
Celta de Vigo (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Ionuț Radu (Goalkeeper), Javi Rodríguez (Defender), Yoel Lago (Defender), Álvaro Núñez (Defender), Fer López (Midfielder), Ilaix Moriba (Midfielder), Javi Rueda (Midfielder), Sergio Carreira (Midfielder), Ferran Jutglà (Attacker), Hugo Álvarez (Attacker), Iago Aspas (Attacker)
Celta de Vigo’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them numbers through the middle and enough support around the front man to link play quickly. Ferran Jutglà, Hugo Álvarez and Iago Aspas should give them options between the lines, while the wing-backs can provide the width.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Atlético Madrid | Celta de Vigo | Text |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Celta de Vigo | Rayane Belaid against Javi Rodríguez could decide how much space Atlético get in the final third. |
| Atlético Madrid | Celta de Vigo | Javi Morcillo against Fer López looks important for who controls the midfield tempo. |
| Atlético Madrid | Celta de Vigo | Rayane Belaid is key for Atlético Madrid because he is the named attacking reference in the predicted 4-5-1. |
| Atlético Madrid | Celta de Vigo | Ferran Jutglà is key for Celta de Vigo because he gives them a direct attacking threat in the predicted 3-4-2-1. |
FAQs
For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
