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Livingston vs Kilmarnock: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Livingston vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Livingston vs Kilmarnock
Competition Premiership
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 14:00 BST
Venue Tony Macaroni Arena

Match Prediction: Livingston 1-0 Kilmarnock

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Livingston39.35%
Kilmarnock33.40%
Draw27.25%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes51.25%
No48.75%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes46.81%
No53.19%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 258Livingston 2 – 0 Rugby Park
Premiership 10 Jan 2026 258Livingston vs 180Kilmarnock 1 – 1 Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 02 Aug 2025 180Kilmarnock vs 258Livingston 2 – 2 Rugby Park
Premiership 07 Feb 2024 180Kilmarnock vs 258Livingston 1 – 0 Rugby Park
Premiership 16 Dec 2023 258Livingston vs 180Kilmarnock 0 – 0 Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston come into this with a recent run that has been mixed, but they have still shown they can keep games tight, as seen in the 0-0 draw away to Dundee United and the 2-2 draw with Aberdeen at home. Kilmarnock arrive in stronger scoring form, with three wins in their last five league matches and three goals scored in each of those victories, so they look the more dangerous side going forward. Even so, the head-to-head data shows Livingston have already held Kilmarnock to a draw this season, and that points to a competitive game rather than a one-sided one.

With Livingston at home and both sides using familiar shapes, the match could be decided by small margins and one key moment in either box. Kilmarnock’s recent results suggest they can create enough to threaten, but Livingston’s recent clean sheet away from home and the narrow nature of the head-to-head meetings point towards a low-scoring contest. Match Prediction: Livingston 1-0 Kilmarnock

Form Guide & Team Overview

Livingston

Livingston’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches. The standout result is the 2-0 win away to St. Mirren, while the 0-0 draw at Dundee United shows they can stay organised defensively when needed.

There have also been setbacks, including a 0-3 defeat away to Dundee and a 2-3 loss away to Dundee United, so their results have not been straightforward. The 2-2 draw at home to Aberdeen suggests they are capable of competing in tighter games, but they have not put together a sustained run.

Livingston Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 12 May 2026 282Dundee United vs 258Livingston 0 – 0 D Tannadice Park
Premiership 9 May 2026 284Dundee vs 258Livingston 3 – 0 L Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 1 May 2026 258Livingston vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 2 D Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 258Livingston 0 – 2 W The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 282Dundee United vs 258Livingston 3 – 2 L Tannadice Park

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock’s recent league form is stronger on paper, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. They have scored three goals in each of their three wins, beating Dundee at home, St. Mirren away and Dundee United at home.

Their only defeat in that run was a 0-1 loss away to Aberdeen, which shows they have not been flawless on the road. The 2-2 draw with Dundee at home also suggests they can be involved in open games, but overall their recent results point to a side carrying more attacking momentum than Livingston.

Kilmarnock Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 12 May 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 3 – 1 W Rugby Park
Premiership 9 May 2026 496St. Mirren vs 180Kilmarnock 0 – 3 W The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 2 May 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 282Dundee United 3 – 0 W Rugby Park
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 273Aberdeen vs 180Kilmarnock 1 – 0 L Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 D Rugby Park

Team News & Injury Report

Livingston

  • Adam Montgomery (Calf Injury)

Kilmarnock

  • Djenairo Daniels  (Knee Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Livingston vs Kilmarnock predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Livingston (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Jérôme Prior (Goalkeeper), Brooklyn Kabongolo (Defender), Cammy Kerr (Defender), Cristian Montano (Defender), Danny Finlayson (Defender), Emmanuel Danso (Midfielder), Lewis Smith (Midfielder), Macaulay Tait (Midfielder), Scott Pittman (Midfielder), Stevie May (Midfielder), Robbie Muirhead (Attacker)

Livingston’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base, with the two deeper midfielders likely helping protect the back four and keep the game compact. The shape also leaves room for Robbie Muirhead to operate as the main attacking outlet, with support coming from the line of midfielders behind him.

Kilmarnock (4-3-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Maksymilian Stryjek (Goalkeeper), Dominic Thompson (Defender), George Stanger (Defender), Michael Schjönning-Larsen (Defender), Robbie Deas (Defender), Aaron Tshibola (Midfielder), Bruce Anderson (Midfielder), Findlay Curtis (Midfielder), Greg Kiltie (Midfielder), Tom Lowery (Midfielder), Joe Hugill (Attacker)

Kilmarnock’s predicted 4-3-2-1 should give them a narrow attacking structure, with the midfield three helping them control central areas and support Joe Hugill. The two players behind the striker can work between the lines, which may help them create chances if Livingston sit off.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Livingston Kilmarnock Key Battle Overview
Livingston Kilmarnock Robbie Muirhead against Dominic Thompson could be important if Livingston look to attack down that side and test Kilmarnock’s defensive balance.
Livingston Kilmarnock Emmanuel Danso against Aaron Tshibola may shape the midfield battle, especially if Livingston need to stop Kilmarnock building through the centre.
Livingston Kilmarnock Robbie Muirhead is key for Livingston because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to turn limited chances into a goal.
Livingston Kilmarnock Joe Hugill is key for Kilmarnock because he leads the line in the predicted setup and will be the main focus for their attacking moves.

FAQs

How to watch Livingston vs Kilmarnock

Fans in the UK are able to watch Livingston vs Kilmarnock on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 14:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Livingston 1-0 Kilmarnock in this match.

Can you bet on Livingston vs Kilmarnock?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Livingston vs Kilmarnock.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Livingston 50.93%
Kilmarnock 40.25%
Draw 8.82%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Livingston / Livingston 25.27%
Livingston / Kilmarnock 2.61%
Livingston / Draw 5.51%
Kilmarnock / Livingston 3.44%
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 16.05%
Kilmarnock / Draw 5.34%
Draw / Draw 15.12%
Draw / Livingston 15.67%
Draw / Kilmarnock 10.98%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Livingston 66.60%
Draw / Kilmarnock 60.65%
Livingston / Kilmarnock 72.75%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.29%
1-0 10.31%
0-1 9.52%
0-0 8.82%
2-1 8.19%
1-2 7.34%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.11%
No 73.89%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.56%
No 84.44%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.45%
No 94.55%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.07%
No 33.93%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.23%
No 96.77%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.46%
No 1.37%
Equal 2.17%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.43%
No 13.88%
Equal 8.69%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.69%
No 56.54%
Equal 10.78%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Livingston 31.77%
Kilmarnock 25.52%
Draw 42.71%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.44%
No 3.54%
Equal 4.01%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.12%
No 7.56%
Equal 6.32%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.82%
No 22.57%
Equal 10.61%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.16%
No 33.18%
Equal 11.67%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.38%
No 85.62%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.51%
No 62.49%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.52%
No 29.48%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.38%
No 67.62%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.93%
No 88.07%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.46%
No 44.84%
Equal 11.69%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.46%
No 56.54%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.35%
No 28.65%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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