Aberdeen vs St. Mirren: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

Harvey Watkins
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Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Aberdeen vs St. Mirren
Competition Premiership
Date Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Kick-off 19:45 BST
Venue Pittodrie Stadium

Match Prediction: Aberdeen 1-1 St. Mirren

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Aberdeen50.66%
St. Mirren25.12%
Draw24.22%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes55.25%
No44.75%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes52.91%
No47.09%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 04 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 0 The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 03 Dec 2025 273Aberdeen vs 496St. Mirren 3 – 3 Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 18 Oct 2025 496St. Mirren vs 273Aberdeen 0 – 1 The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 03 May 2025 496St. Mirren vs 273Aberdeen 1 – 0 The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 25 Jan 2025 273Aberdeen vs 496St. Mirren 0 – 3 Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen come into this at Pittodrie with a decent recent home return, having beaten Kilmarnock and Hibernian without conceding in those two matches. St. Mirren, though, have already shown they can handle this fixture, winning 2-0 in the reverse league meeting on 4 April 2026, so there is enough evidence to expect a competitive game rather than a one-sided one. With no xG data available, the clearest guide is the recent scorelines, which point to Aberdeen having more control at home but St. Mirren carrying a threat in transition and from a compact shape.

The head-to-head record suggests goals are possible, but not always in abundance, with three of the last five meetings decided by a single goal or ending level. Aberdeen’s recent results show they can keep things tight when organised, while St. Mirren’s latest league run includes three straight defeats, which may leave them needing to be efficient rather than expansive. Match Prediction: Aberdeen 1-1 St. Mirren

Form Guide & Team Overview

Aberdeen

Aberdeen’s recent league form is mixed but not poor, with a draw at Livingston followed by home wins over Kilmarnock and Hibernian. Those two home victories came without conceding, which is a useful sign for a side returning to Pittodrie.

The wider picture is less convincing because Aberdeen lost 0-2 away to St. Mirren and 1-4 away to Rangers in the two matches before that. Even so, the home results suggest they are more reliable when they can set the tempo themselves.

Aberdeen Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 1 May 2026 258Livingston vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 2 D Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 273Aberdeen vs 180Kilmarnock 1 – 0 W Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 273Aberdeen vs 66Hibernian 2 – 0 W Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 0 L The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 62Rangers vs 273Aberdeen 4 – 1 L Ibrox Stadium

St. Mirren

St. Mirren arrive on the back of three straight league defeats, losing away to Dundee, at home to Livingston and away to Celtic. That run points to a side that has struggled to find goals and has been kept to one or fewer in each of those matches.

Before that, St. Mirren beat Aberdeen 2-0 at home and also won 2-1 away to Falkirk. The recent split in results shows they can still be effective when the game suits them, but the current league run is clearly the stronger form reference.

St. Mirren Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 284Dundee vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 L Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 258Livingston 0 – 2 L The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 53Celtic vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 L Celtic Park
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 0 W The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 770Falkirk vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 2 W Falkirk Community Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Aberdeen

  • Tom McIntyre (Muscle Injury)

St. Mirren

  • Ryan Mullen (Hamstring Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Aberdeen (3-4-1-2)

Predicted lineup: Dimitar Mitov (Goalkeeper), Gavin Molloy (Defender), Jack Milne (Defender), Liam Morrison (Defender), Afeez Aremu (Midfielder), Alexander Jensen (Midfielder), Dennis Geiger (Midfielder), Mitchel Frame (Midfielder), Kevin Nisbet (Attacker), Stuart Armstrong (Attacker), Toyosi Olusanya (Attacker)

Aberdeen’s predicted 3-4-1-2 should give them a solid base at the back while still keeping two forwards high enough to pressure St. Mirren’s defence. The shape also allows Kevin Nisbet and Stuart Armstrong to work close together, with support arriving from midfield runners.

St. Mirren (4-3-1-2)

Predicted lineup: R. Sinclair (Goalkeeper), Jayden Richardson (Defender), Miguel Freckleton (Defender), Richard King (Defender), Scott Tanser (Defender), Allan Campbell (Midfielder), Jacob Devaney (Midfielder), Killian Phillips (Midfielder), Mark O'Hara (Midfielder), Mikael Mandron (Attacker), Roland Idowu (Attacker)

St. Mirren’s predicted 4-3-1-2 gives them a compact structure through the middle, which should help them stay organised against Aberdeen’s front two. With Mikael Mandron and Roland Idowu ahead of the midfield three, they have a setup that can look for direct attacks and quick combinations.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Aberdeen St. Mirren Text
Aberdeen St. Mirren Kevin Nisbet against Jayden Richardson could be important because Aberdeen will want Nisbet’s movement to test St. Mirren’s right side.
Aberdeen St. Mirren Afeez Aremu against Allan Campbell is a key midfield duel because both sides need control in the centre to dictate the tempo.
Aberdeen St. Mirren Kevin Nisbet is key for Aberdeen because he has been part of their recent attacking structure and gives them a focal point in the final third.
Aberdeen St. Mirren Mikael Mandron is key for St. Mirren because he offers their main attacking reference and a route to goal in a compact away setup.

FAQs

How to watch Aberdeen vs St. Mirren

Fans in the UK are able to watch Aberdeen vs St. Mirren on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 19:45 BST on Tuesday, 12 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Aberdeen 1-1 St. Mirren in this match.

Can you bet on Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Aberdeen / Aberdeen 28%
Aberdeen / St. Mirren 2.20%
Aberdeen / Draw 5.56%
St. Mirren / Aberdeen 4.07%
St. Mirren / St. Mirren 13.08%
St. Mirren / Draw 5.27%
Draw / Draw 14.23%
Draw / Aberdeen 17.79%
Draw / St. Mirren 9.80%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Aberdeen 35.42%
St. Mirren 22.72%
Draw 41.86%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.71%
No 23.29%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.96%
No 82.04%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.18%
No 76.82%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.03%
No 14.64%
Equal 8.33%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.27%
No 71.73%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.67%
No 97.33%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67%
No 22.97%
Equal 10.03%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.79%
No 20.21%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.12%
No 38.88%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.72%
No 90.28%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Aberdeen 55.60%
St. Mirren 38.31%
Draw 6.09%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Aberdeen 74.88%
Draw / St. Mirren 49.34%
Aberdeen / St. Mirren 75.78%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.44%
1-0 10.70%
2-1 9.68%
OTHER 1 8.99%
2-0 8.49%
0-1 6.51%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.92%
No 69.08%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.18%
No 90.82%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.60%
No 4.24%
Equal 4.16%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.36%
No 8.40%
Equal 6.24%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56%
No 33%
Equal 11%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.79%
No 51.21%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.93%
No 44%
Equal 11.07%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.93%
No 55.07%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.61%
No 55.07%
Equal 10.32%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.76%
No 1.82%
Equal 2.42%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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