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St. Mirren vs Dundee United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for St. Mirren vs Dundee United in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture St. Mirren vs Dundee United
Competition Premiership
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 14:00 BST
Venue The Smisa Stadium

Match Prediction: St. Mirren 2-1 Dundee United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

St. Mirren38.05%
Dundee United36.24%
Draw25.71%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.83%
No45.17%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes51.91%
No48.09%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 03 Mar 2026 282Dundee United vs 496St. Mirren 2 – 1 Tannadice Park
Premiership 06 Dec 2025 496St. Mirren vs 282Dundee United 2 – 0 The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 25 Oct 2025 282Dundee United vs 496St. Mirren 3 – 1 Tannadice Park
Premiership 10 May 2025 282Dundee United vs 496St. Mirren 0 – 2 Tannadice Park
Premiership 11 Jan 2025 496St. Mirren vs 282Dundee United 0 – 1 The Smisa Stadium

St. Mirren come into this with the better recent single result, having won 2-0 away at Aberdeen, but that sits alongside four defeats in their last five league matches. Dundee United have been a bit more mixed, with a draw against Livingston, two defeats, and two wins in their last five league games, so their form is not as flat. With no xG data available, the clearest guide is the results pattern and the head-to-head, which has been tight and swingy. That points towards a competitive game rather than a one-sided one.

Dundee United have already beaten St. Mirren twice this season, but St. Mirren also have two wins in the last five meetings, so neither side has held a clear edge for long. St. Mirren’s home losses have been a concern, yet Dundee United’s away defeats at Aberdeen and Kilmarnock show they can be exposed on the road. Match Prediction: St. Mirren 2-1 Dundee United

Form Guide & Team Overview

St. Mirren

St. Mirren’s recent league form is patchy, with just one win in their last five and four defeats in that run. The standout result is the 2-0 away win at Aberdeen, but it sits between a 0-3 home loss to Kilmarnock and three other defeats, so consistency has been a problem.

At home, the recent numbers are not especially strong, with losses to Kilmarnock and Livingston in the league. That means they arrive needing a more controlled performance, even if the latest result suggests they can still produce a clean, efficient away display when things click.

St. Mirren Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 12 May 2026 273Aberdeen vs 496St. Mirren 0 – 2 W Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 9 May 2026 496St. Mirren vs 180Kilmarnock 0 – 3 L The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 2 May 2026 284Dundee vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 L Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 258Livingston 0 – 2 L The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 53Celtic vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 L Celtic Park

Dundee United

Dundee United’s recent league form is more balanced than St. Mirren’s, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. The wins over Dundee and Livingston show they can score freely at times, but the 0-2 loss at Aberdeen and 0-3 loss at Kilmarnock underline that they have also been vulnerable.

Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw with Livingston, which suggests a slightly more cautious edge to their current run. Away from home, the defeats at Aberdeen and Kilmarnock are the main warning signs, especially against a St. Mirren side that will see this as a chance to respond.

Dundee United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 12 May 2026 282Dundee United vs 258Livingston 0 – 0 D Tannadice Park
Premiership 9 May 2026 273Aberdeen vs 282Dundee United 2 – 0 L Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 2 May 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 282Dundee United 3 – 0 L Rugby Park
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 282Dundee United vs 284Dundee 3 – 0 W Tannadice Park
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 282Dundee United vs 258Livingston 3 – 2 W Tannadice Park

Team News & Injury Report

St. Mirren

  • Ryan Mullen (Hamstring Injury)

Dundee United

  • Amar Fatah (Hamstring Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

St. Mirren vs Dundee United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

St. Mirren (3-1-4-2)

Predicted lineup: R. Sinclair (Goalkeeper), Alex Gogic (Defender), Liam Donnelly (Defender), Marcus Fraser (Defender), Allan Campbell (Midfielder), Jacob Devaney (Midfielder), Mark O'Hara (Midfielder), Miguel Freckleton (Midfielder), Richard King (Midfielder), Killian Phillips (Attacker), Mikael Mandron (Attacker)

St. Mirren’s 3-1-4-2 should give them a solid base with Allan Campbell sitting in front of the back three and helping them stay compact. Killian Phillips and Mikael Mandron can then work as a front pair, with the wide midfielders expected to provide the main support and progression.

Dundee United (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Dave Richards (Goalkeeper), Bert Esselink (Defender), Ross Graham (Defender), S. Harding (Defender), Panutche Camara (Midfielder), Ryan Strain (Midfielder), Vicko Sevelj (Midfielder), Will Ferry (Midfielder), Johnny Russell (Attacker), N. Farrugia (Attacker), Zachary Sapsford (Attacker)

Dundee United’s 3-4-2-1 gives them width from the wing-backs and a strong central block behind the attacking line. Johnny Russell can operate as one of the advanced attackers, linking play and joining the forward moves while the midfield four try to keep the game balanced.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

St. Mirren Dundee United Key Battle Overview
St. Mirren Dundee United Killian Phillips against Bert Esselink could be important because Phillips will look to attack the space in front of Dundee United’s back three while Esselink has to keep the shape intact.
St. Mirren Dundee United Allan Campbell against Panutche Camara is a key midfield duel, with both players likely to influence who controls the central areas.
St. Mirren Dundee United Killian Phillips is key for St. Mirren because he has been part of their recent attacking structure and offers a direct threat in a system built around two forwards.
St. Mirren Dundee United Johnny Russell is key for Dundee United because he gives them an experienced attacking option in the 3-4-2-1 and can help connect midfield to the front line.

FAQs

How to watch St. Mirren vs Dundee United

Fans in the UK are able to watch St. Mirren vs Dundee United on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 14:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be St. Mirren 2-1 Dundee United in this match.

Can you bet on St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for St. Mirren vs Dundee United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.44%
No 24.56%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / St. Mirren 63.76%
Draw / Dundee United 61.95%
St. Mirren / Dundee United 74.29%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.06%
No 70.94%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.89%
No 84.11%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.87%
No 85.13%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.51%
No 95.49%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.40%
No 48%
Equal 11.60%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.40%
No 59.60%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.96%
No 59.60%
Equal 10.44%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.72%
No 84.28%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.58%
No 94.42%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.21%
No 8.82%
Equal 6.97%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.85%
No 25.09%
Equal 11.06%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52%
No 36.15%
Equal 11.86%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
St. Mirren 55.72%
Dundee United 37.57%
Draw 6.71%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.91%
1-0 9.08%
0-1 8.75%
1-2 8.59%
2-1 8.51%
0-0 6.71%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.86%
No 63.14%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.91%
No 15.79%
Equal 9.30%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
St. Mirren / St. Mirren 24.70%
St. Mirren / Dundee United 2.75%
St. Mirren / Draw 4.95%
Dundee United / St. Mirren 2.79%
Dundee United / Dundee United 16.26%
Dundee United / Draw 5.38%
Draw / Draw 15.05%
Draw / St. Mirren 16.60%
Draw / Dundee United 11.53%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.90%
No 28.10%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.57%
No 61.43%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.80%
No 30.20%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.74%
No 1.71%
Equal 2.55%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.18%
No 4.26%
Equal 4.56%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
St. Mirren 30.95%
Dundee United 24.83%
Draw 44.22%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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