Dundee vs Livingston: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Dundee vs Livingston in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Dundee vs Livingston
Competition Premiership
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 15:00 BST
Venue Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Match Prediction: Dundee 1-1 Livingston

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Dundee44.57%
Livingston29.73%
Draw25.70%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.68%
No45.32%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes51.58%
No48.42%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 14 Feb 2026 284Dundee vs 258Livingston 2 – 2 Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 13 Dec 2025 258Livingston vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 20 Sep 2025 284Dundee vs 258Livingston 3 – 2 Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 27 Jan 2024 258Livingston vs 284Dundee 1 – 4 Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 05 Nov 2023 284Dundee vs 258Livingston 1 – 0 Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee come into this with the better recent home result, having beaten St. Mirren 1-0, but their wider league form has been mixed and they have not been scoring heavily. Livingston have been a bit more open in their recent games, with draws against Aberdeen and Hearts and a 2-0 win at St. Mirren, so they look capable of making this competitive. The head-to-head record also points to a tight contest, with the last two meetings both finishing 2-2.

With no xG data available, the safest read is that both sides may have spells without much control and the first goal could matter a lot. Dundee’s home advantage gives them a slight edge, but Livingston have shown enough to suggest they can stay in the game and threaten on the break. Match Prediction: Dundee 2-1 Livingston

Form Guide & Team Overview

Dundee

Dundee’s recent league form has been patchy, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. The standout result is the 1-0 home win over St. Mirren, but that sits alongside a 0-3 loss at Dundee United and a 1-2 home defeat to Celtic.

They have also drawn 2-2 at Kilmarnock, which suggests they can compete in open games, but the overall pattern is of a side that has struggled for consistency. On that basis, Dundee look capable of scoring, yet they have not been reliable enough to be backed with much confidence on current form alone.

Dundee Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 284Dundee vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 W Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 282Dundee United vs 284Dundee 3 – 0 L Tannadice Park
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 D Rugby Park
Premiership 5 Apr 2026 284Dundee vs 53Celtic 1 – 2 L Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 314Hearts vs 284Dundee 1 – 0 L Tynecastle Park

Livingston

Livingston’s recent league results are slightly stronger on paper, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five. The 2-0 away win at St. Mirren stands out, while the 2-2 draws with Aberdeen and Hearts show they have been able to stay in games against decent opposition.

That said, they have also lost 2-3 at Dundee United and 0-2 at Kilmarnock, so there is still some vulnerability in their results. Overall, Livingston look competitive but not especially secure, which keeps them in the mix without making them an obvious favourite.

Livingston Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 1 May 2026 258Livingston vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 2 D Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 258Livingston 0 – 2 W The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 282Dundee United vs 258Livingston 3 – 2 L Tannadice Park
Premiership 5 Apr 2026 258Livingston vs 314Hearts 2 – 2 D Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 258Livingston 2 – 0 L Rugby Park

Team News & Injury Report

Dundee

  • No injuries have been reported for the current season.

Livingston

  • Adam Montgomery (Calf Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Dundee vs Livingston predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Dundee (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Jon McCracken (Goalkeeper), Brad Halliday (Defender), Drey Wright (Defender), Luke Graham (Defender), Ryan Astley (Defender), Cameron Congreve (Midfielder), Ethan Hamilton (Midfielder), Joe Westley (Midfielder), Tony Yogane (Midfielder), Yan Dhanda (Midfielder), Simon Murray (Attacker)

Dundee’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base in midfield while still leaving enough support around Simon Murray. The shape also allows Cameron Congreve and Yan Dhanda to link play between the lines and help Dundee get runners close to the box.

Livingston (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Jérôme Prior (Goalkeeper), Brooklyn Kabongolo (Defender), Danny Wilson (Defender), Ryan McGowan (Defender), Cristian Montano (Midfielder), Danny Finlayson (Midfielder), Mohamad Sylla (Midfielder), Scott Arfield (Midfielder), Joel Nouble (Attacker), Lewis Smith (Attacker), Stevie May (Attacker)

Livingston’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should keep them compact at the back and give them width from the wing-back areas. It also leaves Joel Nouble with support from the two players behind him, which should help Livingston break forward more quickly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Dundee Livingston Text
Dundee Livingston Simon Murray will look to pin Brooklyn Kabongolo and make the most of any space in behind Livingston’s back three.
Dundee Livingston Cameron Congreve’s ability to carry the ball and find pockets could be important against Cristian Montano.
Dundee Livingston Simon Murray is key for Dundee because he is the main attacking reference point in their predicted shape.
Dundee Livingston Joel Nouble is key for Livingston because he gives them a central outlet and a focal point for attacks.

FAQs

How to watch Dundee vs Livingston

Fans in the UK are able to watch Dundee vs Livingston on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 15:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Dundee vs Livingston?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Dundee 1-1 Livingston in this match.

Can you bet on Dundee vs Livingston?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Dundee vs Livingston.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.90%
No 1.62%
Equal 2.49%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.89%
No 24.95%
Equal 11.16%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Dundee 52.64%
Livingston 40.58%
Draw 6.78%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Dundee 70.27%
Draw / Livingston 55.43%
Dundee / Livingston 74.30%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.61%
No 24.39%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.27%
No 70.73%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.90%
No 36.11%
Equal 11.99%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.17%
No 48.10%
Equal 11.72%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.08%
No 83.92%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.11%
No 23.89%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.74%
No 56.26%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.99%
No 81.01%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.23%
No 34.77%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.63%
No 88.37%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.29%
No 96.71%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.91%
1-0 10.13%
2-1 9.31%
2-0 7.50%
0-1 7.47%
1-2 7.34%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Dundee 31.17%
Livingston 24.72%
Draw 44.11%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.71%
No 93.29%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.17%
No 59.83%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Dundee / Dundee 23.33%
Dundee / Livingston 2.64%
Dundee / Draw 5.64%
Livingston / Dundee 3.39%
Livingston / Livingston 16.66%
Livingston / Draw 5.01%
Draw / Draw 16.41%
Draw / Dundee 15.36%
Draw / Livingston 11.57%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.05%
No 15.59%
Equal 9.36%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.01%
No 67.99%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.38%
No 4.11%
Equal 4.52%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.41%
No 8.62%
Equal 6.97%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.64%
No 59.83%
Equal 10.54%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

Share This Article
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
Enable Notifications OK No thanks