St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
Competition Premiership
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 15:00 BST
Venue The Smisa Stadium

Match Prediction: St. Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

St. Mirren54.03%
Kilmarnock21.35%
Draw24.58%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes48.71%
No51.29%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes49.32%
No50.68%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 11 Feb 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 496St. Mirren 4 – 3 Rugby Park
Premiership 27 Dec 2025 496St. Mirren vs 180Kilmarnock 0 – 0 The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 04 Oct 2025 180Kilmarnock vs 496St. Mirren 2 – 0 Rugby Park
Premiership 29 Mar 2025 496St. Mirren vs 180Kilmarnock 5 – 1 The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 02 Jan 2025 180Kilmarnock vs 496St. Mirren 2 – 0 Rugby Park

St. Mirren come into this on the back of three straight league defeats, but they have shown at home this season that they can still put together a solid result, as the 2-0 win over Aberdeen showed. Kilmarnock have been a bit more mixed, with two wins, a draw and two defeats in their last five league games, so there is enough inconsistency on both sides to make this feel tight. The head-to-head also points to a competitive game, with Kilmarnock edging the most recent meeting 4-3 after a 0-0 draw in December.

St. Mirren’s likely route is to keep things compact and look for Mikael Mandron to give them a focal point up front, especially with support arriving from midfield. Kilmarnock have enough attacking threat to ask questions, but their recent results suggest they can be contained if St. Mirren stay organised and avoid giving away cheap chances. Match Prediction: St. Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock

Form Guide & Team Overview

St. Mirren

St. Mirren’s recent league form has dipped, with three defeats in a row against Dundee, Livingston and Celtic. Those results were all by a single goal or two, which suggests they have not been far away, but they have still struggled to turn that into points.

Before that run, they did put together back-to-back wins, beating Aberdeen 2-0 at home and Falkirk 2-1 away. That shows there is still some evidence of a stronger level in this group, particularly when they can get on the front foot.

St. Mirren Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 284Dundee vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 L Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 258Livingston 0 – 2 L The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 53Celtic vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 L Celtic Park
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 496St. Mirren vs 273Aberdeen 2 – 0 W The Smisa Stadium
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 770Falkirk vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 2 W Falkirk Community Stadium

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock’s recent league form has been mixed rather than poor, with wins over Dundee United and Livingston, a draw with Dundee and defeats to Aberdeen and Hibernian. The 3-0 win last time out is a positive sign, especially after the 0-1 loss at Aberdeen.

Their results suggest they can be competitive at home, but away from home they have been less reliable, losing 0-3 at Hibernian and 0-1 at Aberdeen. That makes them hard to trust fully, even if there is enough in the recent record to suggest they can threaten here.

Kilmarnock Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 282Dundee United 3 – 0 W Rugby Park
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 273Aberdeen vs 180Kilmarnock 1 – 0 L Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 D Rugby Park
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 66Hibernian vs 180Kilmarnock 3 – 0 L Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 258Livingston 2 – 0 W Rugby Park

Team News & Injury Report

St. Mirren

  • Ryan Mullen (Hamstring Injury)

Kilmarnock

  • Djenairo Daniels  (Knee Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

St. Mirren (4-3-1-2)

Predicted lineup: R. Sinclair (Goalkeeper), Jayden Richardson (Defender), Miguel Freckleton (Defender), Richard King (Defender), Scott Tanser (Defender), Allan Campbell (Midfielder), Jacob Devaney (Midfielder), Killian Phillips (Midfielder), Mark O'Hara (Midfielder), Mikael Mandron (Attacker), Roland Idowu (Attacker)

St. Mirren’s predicted 4-3-1-2 should give them a narrow shape through the middle, with Allan Campbell and the other midfield runners helping them stay connected between the lines. That setup also gives Mikael Mandron a clear reference point up top, with Roland Idowu able to work off him.

Kilmarnock (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Maksymilian Stryjek (Goalkeeper), Findlay Curtis (Defender), George Stanger (Defender), Michael Schjönning-Larsen (Defender), Robbie Deas (Defender), Aaron Tshibola (Midfielder), Greg Kiltie (Midfielder), Tom Lowery (Midfielder), Bruce Anderson (Attacker), Joe Hugill (Attacker), Nicky Clescenco (Attacker)

Kilmarnock’s predicted 4-3-3 should stretch the pitch and give them width through the front line, which can help them get at St. Mirren’s back four. With Bruce Anderson leading the attack, they have a central outlet who can finish moves or bring others into play.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

St. Mirren Kilmarnock Text
St. Mirren Kilmarnock Mikael Mandron against Findlay Curtis could be important because St. Mirren will want their main forward to pin Kilmarnock back and create space for others.
St. Mirren Kilmarnock Allan Campbell against Aaron Tshibola looks like a key midfield duel, with both sides needing control in the centre of the pitch.
St. Mirren Kilmarnock Mikael Mandron is key for St. Mirren because he gives them a direct attacking outlet and a focal point in the box.
St. Mirren Kilmarnock Bruce Anderson is key for Kilmarnock because he is the main attacking reference in their front three and can turn chances into goals.

FAQs

How to watch St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock

Fans in the UK are able to watch St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 15:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be St. Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock in this match.

Can you bet on St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.05%
No 84.95%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
St. Mirren 39.75%
Kilmarnock 18.33%
Draw 41.92%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.39%
No 1.36%
Equal 2.25%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.86%
No 20.14%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
St. Mirren 61.70%
Kilmarnock 30.68%
Draw 7.62%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.39%
No 7.86%
Equal 6.76%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.61%
No 35.16%
Equal 12.23%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.70%
No 44.30%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.59%
No 77.41%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / St. Mirren 78.61%
Draw / Kilmarnock 45.93%
St. Mirren / Kilmarnock 75.38%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.40%
No 73.60%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.63%
No 93.37%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.57%
No 47.39%
Equal 12.04%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.57%
No 59.43%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.72%
No 59.43%
Equal 10.85%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.21%
No 90.79%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.15%
No 76.85%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.54%
No 98.46%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.60%
No 51.40%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.84%
No 23.90%
Equal 11.26%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.25%
No 26.75%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.10%
No 14.61%
Equal 9.29%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
St. Mirren / St. Mirren 34.36%
St. Mirren / Kilmarnock 1.55%
St. Mirren / Draw 4.67%
Kilmarnock / St. Mirren 3.84%
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 10.05%
Kilmarnock / Draw 4.73%
Draw / Draw 14.28%
Draw / St. Mirren 18.60%
Draw / Kilmarnock 7.92%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.14%
No 3.61%
Equal 4.25%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 12.35%
1-1 11.34%
2-1 9.98%
2-0 9.53%
OTHER 1 9.04%
0-0 7.62%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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