Motherwell vs Hearts: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Motherwell vs Hearts in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Motherwell vs Hearts
Competition Premiership
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Fir Park

Match Prediction: Motherwell 1-1 Hearts

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Motherwell35.17%
Hearts38.48%
Draw26.34%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.21%
No45.79%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes49.68%
No50.28%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 314Hearts vs 309Motherwell 3 – 1 Tynecastle Park
Premiership 29 Nov 2025 309Motherwell vs 314Hearts 0 – 0 Fir Park
Premiership 23 Aug 2025 314Hearts vs 309Motherwell 3 – 3 Tynecastle Park
Premiership 10 May 2025 314Hearts vs 309Motherwell 3 – 0 Tynecastle Park
Premiership 12 Apr 2025 309Motherwell vs 314Hearts 0 – 0 Fir Park

Motherwell come into this with mixed recent results, but their 3-2 win away to Rangers shows they can still land a punch when the game opens up. Hearts have won four of their last five in the league and have already beaten Motherwell 3-1 in this run, so they look the more reliable side on current form. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines and head-to-head pattern point towards Hearts having the edge, though Motherwell at Fir Park should still make it competitive.

Motherwell’s best route is likely to be staying compact and trying to get Elijah Just involved quickly between the lines, because they have not been consistently strong defensively. Hearts have been scoring regularly and their recent results suggest they can control spells of the match, especially if Cláudio Braga and Lawrence Shankland get service in advanced areas. Match Prediction: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts

Form Guide & Team Overview

Motherwell

Motherwell’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. The standout result is the 3-2 away win over Rangers, but that sits alongside losses to Falkirk and Hearts, which suggests their level has fluctuated quite a bit.

At home, the 2-3 defeat to Falkirk and the 0-0 draw with Hibernian show they have not always been easy to break down, but they have also not been especially secure. That leaves them needing a sharper, more controlled performance if they are to turn recent flashes into points.

Motherwell Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 770Falkirk vs 309Motherwell 1 – 0 L Falkirk Community Stadium
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 62Rangers vs 309Motherwell 2 – 3 W Ibrox Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 314Hearts vs 309Motherwell 3 – 1 L Tynecastle Park
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 309Motherwell vs 770Falkirk 2 – 3 L Fir Park
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 309Motherwell vs 66Hibernian 0 – 0 D Fir Park

Hearts

Hearts arrive in stronger shape, having won four of their last five league matches. Their recent run includes victories over Rangers, Hibernian and Motherwell, which gives them a solid-looking form line heading into this trip.

They have also shown they can win in different ways, with a 2-1 home success against Rangers and a 2-1 away win at Hibernian. The only slight blemish in the sequence is the 2-2 draw at Livingston, but overall the results point to a side carrying momentum.

Hearts Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 4 May 2026 314Hearts vs 62Rangers 2 – 1 W Tynecastle Park
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 66Hibernian vs 314Hearts 1 – 2 W Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 314Hearts vs 309Motherwell 3 – 1 W Tynecastle Park
Premiership 5 Apr 2026 258Livingston vs 314Hearts 2 – 2 D Tony Macaroni Arena
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 314Hearts vs 284Dundee 1 – 0 W Tynecastle Park

Team News & Injury Report

Motherwell

  • Aston Oxborough (Hand Injury)

Hearts

  • Oisin McEntee (Thigh Problems)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Motherwell vs Hearts predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Motherwell (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Calum Ward (Goalkeeper), Paul McGinn (Defender), Stephen O'Donnell (Defender), Stephen Welsh (Defender), Tom Sparrow (Defender), Callum Slattery (Midfielder), Elliot Watt (Midfielder), Emmanuel Longelo (Midfielder), Lukas Fadinger (Midfielder), Tawanda Maswanhise (Midfielder), Elijah Just (Attacker)

Motherwell’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a clear central base, with Callum Slattery and Elliot Watt helping to screen the back four and start attacks from deeper areas. Elijah Just is the obvious focal point ahead of them, with support likely to come from the three players behind him if Motherwell are to create enough chances.

Hearts (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Alexander Schwolow (Goalkeeper), Craig Halkett (Defender), Michael Steinwender (Defender), Stuart Findlay (Defender), Alexandros Kyziridis (Midfielder), Beni Baningime (Midfielder), Marc Leonard (Midfielder), Stephen Kingsley (Midfielder), Cláudio Braga (Attacker), Islam Chesnokov (Attacker), Lawrence Shankland (Attacker)

Hearts’ predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a strong spine, with three centre-backs behind a midfield line that can support both possession and pressing. Cláudio Braga and Lawrence Shankland should give them a direct threat close to goal, while Alexandros Kyziridis can help link midfield and attack from a wider role.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Motherwell Hearts Text
Motherwell Hearts Elijah Just against Craig Halkett could decide whether Motherwell can turn possession into chances in the final third.
Motherwell Hearts Callum Slattery against Alexandros Kyziridis looks important because the midfield balance may shape who controls the tempo.
Motherwell Hearts Elijah Just is key for Motherwell because he is the main attacking reference in their predicted shape.
Motherwell Hearts Cláudio Braga is key for Hearts because he offers a direct goal threat in a side that has been scoring regularly.

FAQs

How to watch Motherwell vs Hearts

Fans in the UK are able to watch Motherwell vs Hearts on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 20:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Motherwell vs Hearts?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Motherwell 1-1 Hearts in this match.

Can you bet on Motherwell vs Hearts?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Motherwell vs Hearts.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.63%
No 72.34%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.29%
No 3.43%
Equal 4.28%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.67%
No 23.97%
Equal 11.36%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.34%
No 25.66%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.69%
No 70.31%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.84%
No 70.31%
Equal 8.86%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Motherwell / Motherwell 16.11%
Motherwell / Hearts 3.68%
Motherwell / Draw 5.41%
Hearts / Motherwell 2.15%
Hearts / Hearts 24.16%
Hearts / Draw 5.42%
Draw / Draw 16.98%
Draw / Motherwell 12.19%
Draw / Hearts 13.91%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Motherwell 24.30%
Hearts 32.08%
Draw 43.62%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Motherwell 41.06%
Hearts 51.66%
Draw 7.28%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Motherwell 61.51%
Draw / Hearts 64.82%
Motherwell / Hearts 73.65%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.44%
No 7.71%
Equal 6.85%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.03%
No 14.56%
Equal 9.41%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.01%
No 61.99%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.75%
No 30.25%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.42%
No 64.58%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.19%
No 95.81%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.08%
No 28.92%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.59%
No 84.41%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.85%
No 95.15%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.39%
No 86.61%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.40%
No 35.33%
Equal 12.27%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.42%
No 47.60%
Equal 11.99%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.40%
0-1 9.31%
1-0 9.08%
1-2 8.73%
2-1 8.03%
0-0 7.28%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.88%
No 85.12%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.69%
No 59.58%
Equal 10.72%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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