Kilmarnock vs Dundee: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

Harvey Watkins
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Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Kilmarnock vs Dundee in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Kilmarnock vs Dundee
Competition Premiership
Date Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Kick-off 19:45 BST
Venue Rugby Park

Match Prediction: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Kilmarnock52.30%
Dundee23.66%
Draw24.01%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.25%
No45.75%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes53.08%
No46.92%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 Rugby Park
Premiership 30 Dec 2025 284Dundee vs 180Kilmarnock 2 – 1 Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 23 Aug 2025 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 0 – 0 Rugby Park
Premiership 10 May 2025 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 3 – 2 Rugby Park
Premiership 30 Nov 2024 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 1 – 1 Rugby Park

Kilmarnock come into this at Rugby Park with a recent home win over Dundee United and a 2-2 draw against Dundee in the latest meeting between the sides. Dundee have also shown they can make this competitive, though their away form in the supplied results includes defeats at Dundee United and Hearts. With no xG data available, the clearest guide is the recent scorelines, which point to a game that could stay fairly tight. Kilmarnock’s home edge and Dundee’s mixed away returns make a narrow home result the most data-led angle.

Dundee’s best recent result was a 1-0 home win over St. Mirren, but they have also conceded three at Dundee United and lost by a single goal at Hearts. Kilmarnock have alternated wins and losses in their last five league matches, so consistency is not strong on either side. The head-to-head record also shows several close games, including two draws and a one-goal Dundee win. Match Prediction: Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee

Form Guide & Team Overview

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock’s recent league form reads as two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five. The strongest result in that run was the 3-0 home win over Dundee United, while the 2-2 draw with Dundee shows they have been involved in a competitive game against this opponent already.

At home, Kilmarnock have also beaten Livingston 2-0 and Dundee United 3-0 in the supplied results, which gives them a better-looking profile at Rugby Park than away from it. Their defeats to Aberdeen and Hibernian show there has been some inconsistency, but the home results are the main positive in the data.

Kilmarnock Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 282Dundee United 3 – 0 W Rugby Park
Premiership 25 Apr 2026 273Aberdeen vs 180Kilmarnock 1 – 0 L Pittodrie Stadium
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 D Rugby Park
Premiership 4 Apr 2026 66Hibernian vs 180Kilmarnock 3 – 0 L Easter Road Stadium
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 258Livingston 2 – 0 W Rugby Park

Dundee

Dundee’s recent league form is one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five. Their best result in that sequence was the 1-0 home win over St. Mirren, while the 2-2 draw away to Kilmarnock is the clearest sign they can compete in this fixture.

Away from home, Dundee have lost 3-0 to Dundee United and 0-1 to Hearts in the supplied results, which is not a strong travelling record. They have also lost at home to Celtic, so the recent data points to a side that has struggled for consistency even when the margins have been close.

Dundee Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premiership 2 May 2026 284Dundee vs 496St. Mirren 1 – 0 W Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 26 Apr 2026 282Dundee United vs 284Dundee 3 – 0 L Tannadice Park
Premiership 11 Apr 2026 180Kilmarnock vs 284Dundee 2 – 2 D Rugby Park
Premiership 5 Apr 2026 284Dundee vs 53Celtic 1 – 2 L Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Premiership 21 Mar 2026 314Hearts vs 284Dundee 1 – 0 L Tynecastle Park

Team News & Injury Report

Kilmarnock

  • Djenairo Daniels  (Knee Injury)

Dundee

  • No injuries have been reported for the current season.

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Kilmarnock vs Dundee predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Kilmarnock (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Maksymilian Stryjek (Goalkeeper), Findlay Curtis (Defender), George Stanger (Defender), Michael Schjönning-Larsen (Defender), Robbie Deas (Defender), Aaron Tshibola (Midfielder), Greg Kiltie (Midfielder), Tom Lowery (Midfielder), Bruce Anderson (Attacker), Joe Hugill (Attacker), Nicky Clescenco (Attacker)

Kilmarnock’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them a solid base in midfield while still keeping three players high enough to press Dundee’s back line. With Bruce Anderson leading the line, they can look to use width and quick support from the midfield three to create chances at Rugby Park.

Dundee (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Jon McCracken (Goalkeeper), Brad Halliday (Defender), Drey Wright (Defender), Luke Graham (Defender), Ryan Astley (Defender), Cameron Congreve (Midfielder), Ethan Hamilton (Midfielder), Joe Westley (Midfielder), Tony Yogane (Midfielder), Yan Dhanda (Midfielder), Simon Murray (Attacker)

Dundee’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a compact double pivot behind the attacking midfield line, which should help them stay organised without the ball. Simon Murray is the focal point up front, so the three players behind him will need to supply him early and often if Dundee are to threaten.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Kilmarnock Dundee Text
Kilmarnock Dundee Bruce Anderson will look to test Brad Halliday by making sharp runs and forcing Dundee’s right side to defend deep.
Kilmarnock Dundee Aaron Tshibola’s midfield work against Cameron Congreve could be important in deciding who controls the central areas.
Kilmarnock Dundee Bruce Anderson is key for Kilmarnock because he leads the line in the predicted shape and gives them their main attacking reference.
Kilmarnock Dundee Simon Murray is key for Dundee because he is the lone striker in the 4-2-3-1 and the main outlet for their attacks.

FAQs

How to watch Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Fans in the UK are able to watch Kilmarnock vs Dundee on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 19:45 BST on Tuesday, 12 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee in this match.

Can you bet on Kilmarnock vs Dundee?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Kilmarnock vs Dundee.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.05%
No 50.23%
Equal 11.72%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.38%
No 23.62%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.97%
No 26.48%
Equal 11.55%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.05%
No 61.95%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.46%
No 90.54%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.35%
No 9.24%
Equal 7.41%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.83%
No 91.17%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.76%
No 4.40%
Equal 4.84%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.20%
No 68.80%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.97%
No 82.03%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.44%
No 19.56%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 50.09%
No 49.91%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.35%
No 75.65%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.60%
No 1.72%
Equal 2.68%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.52%
No 16.65%
Equal 9.83%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.77%
No 38.03%
Equal 12.20%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.70%
No 61.95%
Equal 10.34%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Kilmarnock 33.50%
Dundee 21.97%
Draw 44.53%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Kilmarnock 56.56%
Dundee 37.11%
Draw 6.33%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Kilmarnock 76.31%
Draw / Dundee 47.67%
Kilmarnock / Dundee 75.96%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.08%
1-0 10.77%
2-1 9.66%
OTHER 1 9.32%
2-0 8.80%
0-1 6.50%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.76%
No 40.24%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.92%
No 73.08%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.40%
No 97.60%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 28.38%
Kilmarnock / Dundee 2.01%
Kilmarnock / Draw 5.95%
Dundee / Kilmarnock 4.03%
Dundee / Dundee 13.78%
Dundee / Draw 4.81%
Draw / Draw 14.26%
Draw / Kilmarnock 16.78%
Draw / Dundee 10%

For the best Premiership outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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