Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Hearts vs Rangers in the Premiership. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 17:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Hearts vs Rangers |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premiership |
| Date | Monday, 04 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 17:30 BST |
| Venue | Tynecastle Park |
Match Prediction: Hearts 2-1 Rangers
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
xG Stats & Match Facts
| Hearts | Metric | Rangers | What it suggests |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | Expected Goals (xG) | 1.22 | Rangers have the edge on this metric. |
| 1.32 | Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) | 0.85 | Hearts have created the better quality shots on target. |
| 0.97 | Expected Points (xPTS) | 1.73 | Rangers are rated stronger by expected points. |
| 0.00 | Expected Goals Free Kicks (xGFK) | 0.05 | Rangers have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.02 | Expected Goals Corners (xGC) | 0.52 | Rangers have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.74 | Expected Goals Non Penalty Goals (npxG) | 1.22 | Rangers have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.14 | Expected Goals Set Play (xGSP) | 0.83 | Rangers have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.59 | Expected Goals Open Play (xGOP) | 0.38 | Hearts carry the bigger open-play threat. |
| 1.22 | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 0.74 | Rangers have the stronger defensive xG profile here. |
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premiership | 04 May 2026 |  Hearts vs  Rangers |
2 – 1 | Tynecastle Park |
| Premiership | 15 Feb 2026 | Rangers vs Hearts |
4 – 2 | Ibrox Stadium |
| Premiership | 21 Dec 2025 | Hearts vs Rangers |
2 – 1 | Tynecastle Park |
| Premiership | 13 Sep 2025 | Rangers vs Hearts |
0 – 2 | Ibrox Stadium |
| Premiership | 16 Feb 2025 | Hearts vs Rangers |
1 – 3 | Tynecastle Park |
Hearts come into this at Tynecastle Park with the clearer recent edge, having already beaten Rangers 2-1 in the latest meeting and also won three of their last five league games. The xG numbers suggest Rangers have had the better underlying attacking output overall, but Hearts have been more efficient in the key moments and have the stronger recent results to lean on.
Rangers can still point to a higher expected goals figure and a better expected points mark in the supplied xG data, so they should create chances if they settle quickly. Even so, Hearts have the better recent head-to-head record and home advantage, which makes a narrow home win the most data-led call. Match Prediction: Hearts 2-1 Rangers
Form Guide & Team Overview
Hearts
Hearts have won four of their last five league matches, with the only non-win in that run a 2-2 draw away to Livingston. Their most recent results include a 2-1 home win over Rangers, a 2-1 away win at Hibernian, and a 3-1 home win over Motherwell, which points to a side carrying good momentum.
The pattern is also strong in terms of consistency, as Hearts have scored in every one of those five league games. They have not been blowing teams away, but they have been doing enough to turn tight matches into wins, which is useful form heading into another meeting with Rangers.
Hearts Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premiership | 4 May 2026 | Hearts vs Rangers |
2 – 1 | W | Tynecastle Park |
| Premiership | 26 Apr 2026 |  Hibernian vs Hearts |
1 – 2 | W | Easter Road Stadium |
| Premiership | 11 Apr 2026 | Hearts vs  Motherwell |
3 – 1 | W | Tynecastle Park |
| Premiership | 5 Apr 2026 |  Livingston vs Hearts |
2 – 2 | D | Tony Macaroni Arena |
| Premiership | 21 Mar 2026 | Hearts vs  Dundee |
1 – 0 | W | Tynecastle Park |
Rangers
Rangers have lost two of their last five league matches, with both defeats coming against Hearts and Motherwell. Before those setbacks, they had put together three straight wins, including a 6-3 away victory over Falkirk and home wins against Dundee United and Aberdeen.
That run shows Rangers can score heavily, but the recent losses suggest their level has dipped when the opposition has been more competitive. The latest 1-2 defeat to Hearts is especially relevant here, because it shows they have already been beaten in this exact fixture very recently.
Rangers Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premiership | 4 May 2026 | Hearts vs Rangers |
2 – 1 | L | Tynecastle Park |
| Premiership | 26 Apr 2026 | Rangers vs Motherwell |
2 – 3 | L | Ibrox Stadium |
| Premiership | 12 Apr 2026 |  Falkirk vs Rangers |
3 – 6 | W | Falkirk Community Stadium |
| Premiership | 4 Apr 2026 | Rangers vs  Dundee United |
4 – 2 | W | Ibrox Stadium |
| Premiership | 21 Mar 2026 | Rangers vs  Aberdeen |
4 – 1 | W | Ibrox Stadium |
Team News & Injury Report
Hearts
- Oisin McEntee (Thigh Problems)
Rangers
- Ryan Naderi (Muscle Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Hearts (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Alexander Schwolow (Goalkeeper), Craig Halkett (Defender), Michael Steinwender (Defender), Stuart Findlay (Defender), Alexandros Kyziridis (Midfielder), Beni Baningime (Midfielder), Marc Leonard (Midfielder), Stephen Kingsley (Midfielder), Cláudio Braga (Attacker), Islam Chesnokov (Attacker), Lawrence Shankland (Attacker)
Hearts’ predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid back three base with enough midfield support to stay compact and still get players around the ball. With Cláudio Braga and Islam Chesnokov operating behind Lawrence Shankland, they should have options to press Rangers and break quickly in transition.
Rangers (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Jack Butland (Goalkeeper), Dujon Sterling (Defender), Emmanuel Fernandez (Defender), James Tavernier (Defender), Nasser Djiga (Defender), Andreas Skov Olsen (Midfielder), Mikey Moore (Midfielder), Mohamed Diomandé (Midfielder), Nicolas Raskin (Midfielder), Tochi Chukwuani (Midfielder), Youssef Chermiti (Attacker)
Rangers’ predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them width and a central reference point through Youssef Chermiti, while the double pivot offers some protection in front of the defence. If Andreas Skov Olsen and Mikey Moore can supply quality from advanced areas, they have the structure to test Hearts between the lines.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Hearts | Rangers | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts | Rangers | Cláudio Braga will look to exploit the space around Dujon Sterling and help Hearts carry a threat from the attacking midfield areas. |
| Hearts | Rangers | Alexandros Kyziridis against Andreas Skov Olsen could be important for control on Hearts’ left side and Rangers’ right side. |
| Hearts | Rangers | Cláudio Braga is key for Hearts because he links midfield and attack and gives them another route to create chances around Lawrence Shankland. |
| Hearts | Rangers | Youssef Chermiti is key for Rangers because he is the main attacking reference in the 4-2-3-1 and the player most likely to finish their chances. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
