Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 14:00 BST
Venue The City Ground

Match Prediction: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Nottingham Forest45.05%
Newcastle United29.83%
Draw25.12%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes57.61%
No42.39%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes55.05%
No44.95%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 05 Oct 2025 20Newcastle United vs 63Nottingham Forest 2 – 0 St. James' Park
Premier League 23 Feb 2025 20Newcastle United vs 63Nottingham Forest 4 – 3 St. James' Park
Premier League 10 Nov 2024 63Nottingham Forest vs 20Newcastle United 1 – 3 The City Ground
Premier League 10 Feb 2024 63Nottingham Forest vs 20Newcastle United 2 – 3 The City Ground
Premier League 26 Dec 2023 20Newcastle United vs 63Nottingham Forest 1 – 3 St. James' Park

Nottingham Forest come into this with the stronger recent league form, and their run of wins suggests they are carrying more momentum than Newcastle United. The home side have also been scoring freely, with 16 goals across their last five league matches, so they should back themselves to create chances at the City Ground. Newcastle United have only one win in their last five league games, and four defeats in that spell point to a side that has been easier to get at.

That said, Newcastle United did beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 in their most recent league outing, so they are not without a route into the game if they can build on that. The head-to-head record also leans towards a competitive contest, with three of the last five meetings producing Newcastle United wins and both teams scoring in several of those games. Match Prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Newcastle United

Form Guide & Team Overview

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest arrive in strong league form, winning four of their last five and drawing the other. Their most recent result was a 3-1 away win over Chelsea, following a 5-0 win at Sunderland and a 4-1 home win over Burnley, which underlines how productive they have been in front of goal.

Their recent all-competition record is just as positive, with five straight wins listed. That includes two Europa League victories, so they are clearly carrying confidence into this fixture and have been hard to stop on current evidence.

Nottingham Forest Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 4 May 2026 18Chelsea vs 63Nottingham Forest 1 – 3 W Stamford Bridge
Premier League 24 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 63Nottingham Forest 0 – 5 W Stadium of Light
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 63Nottingham Forest vs 27Burnley 4 – 1 W The City Ground
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 63Nottingham Forest vs 15Aston Villa 1 – 1 D The City Ground
Premier League 22 Mar 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 63Nottingham Forest 0 – 3 W Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Newcastle United

Newcastle United’s recent league form has been patchy, with just one win in their last five and four defeats. Their only victory in that run was a 3-1 home win over Brighton & Hove Albion, but the other results show a side that has been losing tight games.

The pattern is similar in the all-competition table, where the same five-match sequence is shown. They have been conceding regularly in that spell, and that is a concern against a Nottingham Forest side who have been scoring heavily.

Newcastle United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 2 May 2026 20Newcastle United vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 3 – 1 W St. James' Park
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 19Arsenal vs 20Newcastle United 1 – 0 L Emirates Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 20Newcastle United vs 52AFC Bournemouth 1 – 2 L St. James' Park
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 20Newcastle United 2 – 1 L Selhurst Park
Premier League 22 Mar 2026 20Newcastle United vs 3Sunderland 1 – 2 L St. James' Park

Team News & Injury Report

Nottingham Forest

  • Ola Aina  (Knock)

Newcastle United

  • Tino Livramento (Thigh Problems)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Nottingham Forest (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Matz Sels (Goalkeeper), Jair Cunha (Defender), Luca Netz (Defender), Morato (Defender), Zach Abbott (Defender), Dilane Bakwa (Midfielder), James McAtee (Midfielder), Nicolás Domínguez (Midfielder), Ryan Yates (Midfielder), Igor Jesus (Attacker), Taiwo Awoniyi (Attacker)

Nottingham Forest’s predicted 4-4-2 gives them a straightforward way to keep two players high and stretch Newcastle United’s back line. With Dilane Bakwa and the central midfielders supporting quickly, they can look to feed Igor Jesus and Taiwo Awoniyi early and keep pressure on the visitors.

Newcastle United (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Nick Pope (Goalkeeper), Dan Burn (Defender), Lewis Miley (Defender), Malick Thiaw (Defender), Sven Botman (Defender), Bruno Guimarães (Midfielder), Jacob Murphy (Midfielder), Joe Willock (Midfielder), Joelinton (Midfielder), Sandro Tonali (Midfielder), William Osula (Attacker)

Newcastle United’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base through the double pivot, with Bruno Guimarães helping them control the middle. If the wide midfielders can supply William Osula, they have a route to pinning Forest back and making the game more even.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Nottingham Forest Newcastle United Text
Nottingham Forest Newcastle United Igor Jesus will need to work against Dan Burn’s physical presence if Forest are to hold the ball up and bring others into play.
Nottingham Forest Newcastle United Dilane Bakwa against Bruno Guimarães could decide who controls the tempo in midfield and which side gets on the front foot.
Nottingham Forest Newcastle United Igor Jesus is key for Nottingham Forest because his movement and finishing can turn their recent attacking momentum into goals.
Nottingham Forest Newcastle United William Osula is key for Newcastle United because he is the main reference point up front and Newcastle United need him to make their attacks count.

FAQs

How to watch Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United

Fans in the UK are able to watch Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 14:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle United in this match.

Can you bet on Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.29%
No 86.71%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.02%
No 60.59%
Equal 10.39%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.73%
No 66.27%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.45%
2-1 9.41%
1-0 9.36%
OTHER 1 7.71%
1-2 7.22%
2-0 7.10%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.72%
No 67.24%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.19%
No 22.81%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.97%
No 79.03%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.02%
No 33.98%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.96%
No 22.04%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.64%
No 1.74%
Equal 2.62%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.79%
No 9.05%
Equal 7.16%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.28%
No 16.21%
Equal 9.52%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.03%
No 25.73%
Equal 11.25%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.04%
No 36.97%
Equal 11.98%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.41%
No 48.96%
Equal 11.63%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.41%
No 60.59%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Nottingham Forest / Nottingham Forest 28.23%
Nottingham Forest / Newcastle United 2.09%
Nottingham Forest / Draw 5.69%
Newcastle United / Nottingham Forest 4.04%
Newcastle United / Newcastle United 13.54%
Newcastle United / Draw 5.67%
Draw / Draw 15.34%
Draw / Nottingham Forest 15.91%
Draw / Newcastle United 9.50%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Nottingham Forest 35.57%
Newcastle United 23.59%
Draw 40.84%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.25%
No 95.75%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.95%
No 4.36%
Equal 4.70%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Nottingham Forest 56.29%
Newcastle United 37.77%
Draw 5.94%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Nottingham Forest 70.17%
Draw / Newcastle United 54.95%
Nottingham Forest / Newcastle United 74.88%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.85%
No 81.15%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.93%
No 54.07%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.03%
No 91.97%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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