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Newcastle United vs West Ham United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Newcastle United vs West Ham United in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 17:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Newcastle United vs West Ham United
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 17:30 BST
Venue St. James' Park

Match Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 West Ham United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Newcastle United53.23%
West Ham United24.04%
Draw22.73%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes59.95%
No40.05%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes60.03%
No39.97%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 02 Nov 2025 1West Ham United vs 20Newcastle United 3 – 1 London Stadium
Premier League 10 Mar 2025 1West Ham United vs 20Newcastle United 0 – 1 London Stadium
Premier League 25 Nov 2024 20Newcastle United vs 1West Ham United 0 – 2 St. James' Park
Premier League 30 Mar 2024 20Newcastle United vs 1West Ham United 4 – 3 St. James' Park
Premier League 08 Oct 2023 1West Ham United vs 20Newcastle United 2 – 2 London Stadium

Newcastle United come into this one with a slightly steadier recent profile, and the home setting at St. James' Park should help them take the initiative. Their last five league matches include a win over Brighton & Hove Albion and a draw at Nottingham Forest, but they have also lost three of the other four, so there is still some inconsistency in the results.

West Ham United have mixed outcomes too, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five league games. The recent 0-1 loss to Arsenal and 0-3 defeat at Brentford suggest they can be contained when the opposition gets on top, but the 4-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers shows they are capable of producing a strong attacking performance. Match Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 West Ham United

Form Guide & Team Overview

Newcastle United

Newcastle United’s recent league form has been uneven, with one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. The 3-1 home win over Brighton & Hove Albion stands out, while the 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest shows they can still pick up points away from home.

The other results point to a side that has been beaten in tight games, including 0-1 at Arsenal and 1-2 at home to AFC Bournemouth and away to Crystal Palace. That pattern suggests Newcastle are competitive, but not always able to turn that into consistent points.

Newcastle United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 10 May 2026 63Nottingham Forest vs 20Newcastle United 1 – 1 D The City Ground
Premier League 2 May 2026 20Newcastle United vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 3 – 1 W St. James' Park
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 19Arsenal vs 20Newcastle United 1 – 0 L Emirates Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 20Newcastle United vs 52AFC Bournemouth 1 – 2 L St. James' Park
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 20Newcastle United 2 – 1 L Selhurst Park

West Ham United

West Ham United’s recent league form is also mixed, with two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five. The 2-1 home win over Everton and the 4-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers show they can be effective when things click.

However, the 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace and the defeats to Brentford and Arsenal indicate they have also struggled to impose themselves in tougher fixtures. On the numbers provided, they look capable of scoring but not always reliable across the full 90 minutes.

West Ham United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 10 May 2026 1West Ham United vs 19Arsenal 0 – 1 L London Stadium
Premier League 2 May 2026 236Brentford vs 1West Ham United 3 – 0 L Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 1West Ham United vs 13Everton 2 – 1 W London Stadium
Premier League 20 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 1West Ham United 0 – 0 D Selhurst Park
Premier League 10 Apr 2026 1West Ham United vs 29Wolverhampton Wanderers 4 – 0 W London Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Newcastle United

  • Lewis Miley (Broken Fibula)

West Ham United

  • Lukasz Fabianski  (Back Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Newcastle United vs West Ham United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Newcastle United (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Nick Pope (Goalkeeper), Dan Burn (Defender), Lewis Hall (Defender), Malick Thiaw (Defender), Sven Botman (Defender), Bruno Guimarães (Midfielder), Jacob Murphy (Midfielder), Joelinton (Midfielder), Nick Woltemade (Midfielder), Sandro Tonali (Midfielder), William Osula (Attacker)

Newcastle United’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with Bruno Guimarães and Sandro Tonali able to control the middle and support both phases of play. With William Osula up front and wide runners around him, the shape should allow Newcastle to press West Ham United and get bodies into attacking areas.

West Ham United (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Mads Hermansen (Goalkeeper), Axel Disasi (Defender), Jean-Clair Todibo (Defender), Konstantinos Mavropanos (Defender), Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Midfielder), El Hadji Malick Diouf (Midfielder), Mateus Fernandes (Midfielder), Tomáš Souček (Midfielder), Crysencio Summerville (Attacker), Jarrod Bowen (Attacker), Taty Castellanos (Attacker)

West Ham United’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should give them a compact back three with wing support from Aaron Wan-Bissaka and El Hadji Malick Diouf. That setup also leaves Crysencio Summerville, Jarrod Bowen and Taty Castellanos close enough together to threaten on transitions and in the final third.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Newcastle United West Ham United Key Battle Overview
Newcastle United West Ham United William Osula against Axel Disasi could be important if Newcastle United look to test West Ham United’s defensive structure early.
Newcastle United West Ham United Bruno Guimarães against Aaron Wan-Bissaka may shape the midfield and wide-side balance, with Newcastle United needing control in possession.
Newcastle United West Ham United William Osula is key for Newcastle United because the predicted shape places him as the main central outlet in attack.
Newcastle United West Ham United Crysencio Summerville is key for West Ham United because he offers a direct attacking threat from the front line in the 3-4-2-1.

FAQs

How to watch Newcastle United vs West Ham United

Fans in the UK are able to watch Newcastle United vs West Ham United on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 17:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Newcastle United vs West Ham United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Newcastle United 2-1 West Ham United in this match.

Can you bet on Newcastle United vs West Ham United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Newcastle United vs West Ham United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Newcastle United 75.96%
Draw / West Ham United 46.77%
Newcastle United / West Ham United 77.27%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.35%
No 17.65%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.25%
No 18.75%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.69%
No 45.31%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.30%
No 69.70%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.09%
No 87.91%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.23%
No 96.77%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.58%
No 71.42%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 11.86%
1-1 10.13%
2-1 9.89%
1-0 8.64%
2-0 7.87%
1-2 6.34%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.52%
No 62.48%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.82%
No 38.18%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Newcastle United / Newcastle United 33.15%
Newcastle United / West Ham United 2.10%
Newcastle United / Draw 5.66%
West Ham United / Newcastle United 4.33%
West Ham United / West Ham United 12.01%
West Ham United / Draw 4.92%
Draw / Draw 12.84%
Draw / Newcastle United 16.68%
Draw / West Ham United 8.32%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Newcastle United 41.22%
West Ham United 20.78%
Draw 38%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.69%
No 2.33%
Equal 2.98%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.67%
No 27.25%
Equal 11.08%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.66%
No 50.02%
Equal 11.31%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.72%
No 77.28%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.96%
No 89.04%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.98%
No 38.33%
Equal 11.69%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 97.67%
No 0.84%
Equal 1.49%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.29%
No 10.34%
Equal 7.37%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.75%
No 17.71%
Equal 9.54%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Newcastle United 59.50%
West Ham United 35.67%
Draw 4.83%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.66%
No 5.31%
Equal 5.03%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.98%
No 50.02%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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