Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.
Match Details
- Fixture: Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
- Date: Saturday, 02 May 2026
- Kick-off: 15:00 BST
- Venue: St. James' Park
Our predictions for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Match Prediction: Newcastle United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United come into this with a poor run of league results, but they are at home and the predicted 4-1-4-1 gives them a compact base to work from. Brighton & Hove Albion arrive in better form, with four wins and a draw from their last five league matches, so they look the more settled side on paper. The head-to-head record also leans Brighton’s way, which makes the visitors hard to ignore in the betting.
That said, Newcastle United have enough quality in midfield to make this competitive if they can keep the game tight early on. Brighton & Hove Albion have been scoring regularly, but Newcastle United’s home setting and defensive structure could still keep the margin narrow. Match Prediction: Newcastle United 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
Form Guide & Team Overview
Newcastle United
Newcastle United’s recent league form has been patchy, with four straight defeats after their 1-0 win away to Chelsea. They have lost 0-1 to Arsenal, 1-2 to AFC Bournemouth, 1-2 to Crystal Palace and 1-2 to Sunderland, so the margins have been tight but the points have not been there.
The all-competitions picture is even more concerning because it includes the 2-7 loss away to FC Barcelona. That run suggests Newcastle United have been struggling to turn competitive spells into results, even when the scorelines have not been completely one-sided.
Recent Premier League Results:
- Loss: 0-1 vs Arsenal (A)
- Loss: 1-2 vs AFC Bournemouth (H)
- Loss: 1-2 vs Crystal Palace (A)
- Loss: 1-2 vs Sunderland (H)
- Win: 1-0 vs Chelsea (A)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion are in much stronger recent league form, unbeaten in their last five with four wins and one draw. They have beaten Chelsea 3-0, Burnley 2-0, Liverpool 2-1 and Sunderland 1-0, while also drawing 2-2 away to Tottenham Hotspur.
That sequence shows a side that is both hard to beat and capable of scoring enough to win games. The clean sheets against Chelsea, Burnley and Sunderland also point to a solid balance at both ends.
Recent Premier League Results:
- Win: 3-0 vs Chelsea (H)
- Draw: 2-2 vs Tottenham Hotspur (A)
- Win: 2-0 vs Burnley (A)
- Win: 2-1 vs Liverpool (H)
- Win: 1-0 vs Sunderland (A)
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record has favoured Brighton & Hove Albion in the most recent meetings, with wins in October 2025 and October 2024. The other recent games have also been tight, including two draws, so Newcastle United have not been far away in this fixture. Brighton & Hove Albion have scored in each of the last five meetings listed, which is a useful sign for their attacking consistency in this matchup. Overall, the pattern points to Brighton & Hove Albion having the edge, but not by a huge margin.
Recent Premier League Results
- Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Newcastle United (18 Oct 2025)
- Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Newcastle United (04 May 2025)
- Newcastle United 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (19 Oct 2024)
- Newcastle United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (11 May 2024)
- Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Newcastle United (02 Sep 2023)
Team News & Injury Report
Newcastle United
- Tino Livramento (Thigh Problems)
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Diego Gómez (Knee Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Newcastle United (4-1-4-1)
Predicted lineup: Nick Pope (Goalkeeper), Dan Burn (Defender), Lewis Miley (Defender), Malick Thiaw (Defender), Sven Botman (Defender), Bruno Guimarães (Midfielder), Jacob Murphy (Midfielder), Jacob Ramsey (Midfielder), Joe Willock (Midfielder), Sandro Tonali (Midfielder), William Osula (Attacker)
Newcastle United’s 4-1-4-1 should give them a strong central block, with Bruno Guimarães sitting in front of the defence and helping them stay organised. The shape also leaves William Osula as the main outlet, so their attacking threat is likely to depend on quick support from midfield runners.
Brighton & Hove Albion (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Bart Verbruggen (Goalkeeper), Ferdi Kadıoğlu (Defender), Jan Paul van Hecke (Defender), Mats Wieffer (Defender), Olivier Boscagli (Defender), Carlos Baleba (Midfielder), Jack Hinshelwood (Midfielder), Kaoru Mitoma (Midfielder), Pascal Groß (Midfielder), Yankuba Minteh (Midfielder), Georginio Rutter (Attacker)
Brighton & Hove Albion’s 4-2-3-1 should allow Carlos Baleba and Jack Hinshelwood to protect the back four while still feeding the attacking line. With Georginio Rutter ahead of Kaoru Mitoma, Pascal Groß and Yankuba Minteh, they have enough movement and support to stretch Newcastle United between the lines.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
- William Osula vs Ferdi Kadıoğlu: Osula will need to hold his ground and make the most of limited chances, while Ferdi Kadıoğlu will be tasked with keeping him quiet from the right side of Brighton & Hove Albion’s defence.
- Bruno Guimarães vs Carlos Baleba: This midfield duel could shape the tempo, with Bruno Guimarães looking to control Newcastle United’s build-up and Carlos Baleba aiming to break it up and keep Brighton & Hove Albion moving.
- William Osula (Newcastle United): William Osula is key because Newcastle United’s predicted shape leaves him as the main forward reference point, so their attacking threat depends on him making chances count.
- Georginio Rutter (Brighton & Hove Albion): Georginio Rutter is key because he leads Brighton & Hove Albion’s 4-2-3-1 and gives them a central focal point for the attacking support around him.
FAQs
How to watch Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Fans in the UK are able to watch Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion on Sky Ultra HD, SKY GO Extra, Sky Sports Main Event, Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, Sky Go UK at 15:00 BST on Saturday, 02 May 2026.
What is My Football Facts' prediction for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Newcastle United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.
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