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Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 15:00 BST
Venue Elland Road

Match Prediction: Leeds United 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Leeds United41.69%
Brighton & Hove Albion33.14%
Draw25.20%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes57.36%
No42.64%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes54.16%
No45.84%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 01 Nov 2025 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 71Leeds United 3 – 0 The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 11 Mar 2023 71Leeds United vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 2 – 2 Elland Road
Premier League 27 Aug 2022 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 71Leeds United 1 – 0 The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 15 May 2022 71Leeds United vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 1 – 1 Elland Road
Premier League 27 Nov 2021 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 71Leeds United 0 – 0 The American Express Community Stadium

Leeds United come into this with a strong recent league run, taking 11 points from their last five and scoring in every one of those matches. Brighton & Hove Albion have also been productive, with four wins from their last five league games, although the 3-1 defeat at Newcastle United shows they can be opened up away from home.

With Leeds United at Elland Road and both sides arriving in decent form, this looks like a tight game rather than a one-sided one. Leeds United’s recent results suggest they can compete well in matches that stay close, while Brighton & Hove Albion have been strong enough to threaten throughout. The head-to-head record also points to competitive meetings, so a narrow home win fits the data best.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Leeds United

Leeds United’s recent league form has been steady and positive, with three wins and two draws from their last five. They have scored 11 goals across that run, including three against Burnley and three against Wolverhampton Wanderers, which shows they have been able to create and finish chances consistently.

Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away to Tottenham Hotspur, following a 3-1 home win over Burnley. Before that they drew 2-2 at AFC Bournemouth and beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-0 and Manchester United 2-1, so the overall pattern is of a side picking up results and staying difficult to beat.

Leeds United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 11 May 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 71Leeds United 1 – 1 D Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 1 May 2026 71Leeds United vs 27Burnley 3 – 1 W Elland Road
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 71Leeds United 2 – 2 D Vitality Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 71Leeds United vs 29Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 – 0 W Elland Road
Premier League 13 Apr 2026 14Manchester United vs 71Leeds United 1 – 2 W Old Trafford

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion have also been in good league form, winning four of their last five. They have scored 11 goals in that sequence as well, with 3-0 wins over Wolverhampton Wanderers and Chelsea standing out as the strongest results.

Their only setback in that run was a 3-1 loss away to Newcastle United, which is the clearest sign that they can be tested on the road. Even so, the draw at Tottenham Hotspur and the 2-0 win at Burnley show they have been competitive away from home and capable of controlling games.

Brighton & Hove Albion Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 9 May 2026 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 29Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 – 0 W The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 2 May 2026 20Newcastle United vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 3 – 1 L St. James' Park
Premier League 21 Apr 2026 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 18Chelsea 3 – 0 W The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 2 – 2 D Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 11 Apr 2026 27Burnley vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 0 – 2 W Turf Moor

Team News & Injury Report

Leeds United

  • Ilia Gruev (Meniscus Injury)

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • Diego Gómez (Knee Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Leeds United (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Karl Darlow (Goalkeeper), Jaka Bijol (Defender), Joe Rodon (Defender), Pascal Struijk (Defender), Anton Stach (Midfielder), Ao Tanaka (Midfielder), Daniel James (Midfielder), Ethan Ampadu (Midfielder), James Justin (Midfielder), Brenden Aaronson (Attacker), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Attacker)

Leeds United’s predicted 3-5-2 gives them a solid base at the back while still allowing Brenden Aaronson and Dominic Calvert-Lewin to work together up front. The midfield five should help them stay compact and give Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka the platform to support both phases of play.

Brighton & Hove Albion (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Bart Verbruggen (Goalkeeper), Ferdi Kadıoğlu (Defender), Jan Paul van Hecke (Defender), Lewis Dunk (Defender), Maxim De Cuyper (Defender), Carlos Baleba (Midfielder), Jack Hinshelwood (Midfielder), Kaoru Mitoma (Midfielder), Pascal Groß (Midfielder), Yankuba Minteh (Midfielder), Danny Welbeck (Attacker)

Brighton & Hove Albion’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them balance, with Carlos Baleba and Jack Hinshelwood screening the defence and allowing the attacking midfielders to push on. Danny Welbeck can lead the line with support from Kaoru Mitoma, Pascal Groß and Yankuba Minteh between the lines.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion Key Battle Overview
Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion Brenden Aaronson against Ferdi Kadıoğlu could be important because Leeds will want Aaronson finding space between the lines, while Kadıoğlu has to stop him turning and linking play.
Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion Anton Stach against Carlos Baleba is a key midfield duel because both sides need control in central areas and neither team can afford to lose second balls.
Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion Brenden Aaronson is key for Leeds United because he has been part of their recent attacking output and can connect midfield to the front two.
Leeds United Brighton & Hove Albion Danny Welbeck is key for Brighton & Hove Albion because he leads the line in their 4-2-3-1 and gives them a focal point for the chances created behind him.

FAQs

How to watch Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Fans in the UK are able to watch Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 15:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Leeds United 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Can you bet on Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Leeds United 51.87%
Brighton & Hove Albion 42.06%
Draw 6.07%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.50%
No 81.50%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.75%
No 6.35%
Equal 5.90%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.37%
No 12.25%
Equal 8.38%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.02%
No 24.98%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.16%
No 31.11%
Equal 11.73%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.89%
No 64.11%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.84%
No 81.16%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.53%
No 95.47%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.61%
No 22.39%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.18%
No 67.82%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.05%
No 92.95%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.55%
No 85.45%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.70%
No 65.80%
Equal 9.49%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Leeds United 66.89%
Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion 58.34%
Leeds United / Brighton & Hove Albion 74.83%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.80%
2-1 8.97%
1-0 8.88%
1-2 7.77%
0-1 7.47%
OTHER 1 6.85%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.92%
No 57.08%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.48%
No 31.52%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.89%
No 20.63%
Equal 10.48%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.26%
No 42.84%
Equal 11.90%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.19%
No 65.80%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.65%
No 2.77%
Equal 3.58%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.19%
No 54.74%
Equal 11.06%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Leeds United 34.71%
Brighton & Hove Albion 24.29%
Draw 41%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Leeds United / Leeds United 26.56%
Leeds United / Brighton & Hove Albion 2.32%
Leeds United / Draw 6.06%
Brighton & Hove Albion / Leeds United 3.49%
Brighton & Hove Albion / Brighton & Hove Albion 16.11%
Brighton & Hove Albion / Draw 5.07%
Draw / Draw 14.84%
Draw / Leeds United 15.59%
Draw / Brighton & Hove Albion 9.98%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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