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Everton vs Sunderland: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
10 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Everton vs Sunderland in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Everton vs Sunderland
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 15:00 BST
Venue Hill Dickinson Stadium

Match Prediction: Everton 1-0 Sunderland

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Everton37.22%
Sunderland34.84%
Draw27.87%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes50.69%
No49.31%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes44.95%
No55.05%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 03 Nov 2025 3Sunderland vs 13Everton 1 – 1 Stadium of Light
Premier League 25 Feb 2017 13Everton vs 3Sunderland 2 – 0 Goodison Park
Premier League 12 Sep 2016 3Sunderland vs 13Everton 0 – 3 Stadium of Light
Premier League 11 May 2016 3Sunderland vs 13Everton 3 – 0 Stadium of Light
Premier League 01 Nov 2015 13Everton vs 3Sunderland 6 – 2 Goodison Park

Everton come into this with a run of draws that suggests they are hard to beat, but not always able to turn control into a win. Their recent home and away scores show they have been involved in open games, yet the 1-0 angle fits a match where they may edge the key moments at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Sunderland have also been competitive in parts, but their recent results include a heavy home defeat and a narrow loss away at Aston Villa, which points to some inconsistency. With both sides set up in a 4-2-3-1, this could be decided by which team handles the final third better, and Everton’s recent habit of drawing games makes a tight home win the most data-led call. Match Prediction: Everton 1-0 Sunderland

Form Guide & Team Overview

Everton

Everton’s recent league form is built around draws, with 2-2 away at Crystal Palace, 3-3 at home to Manchester City and 2-2 away at Brentford. They have also lost 1-2 away to West Ham United and 1-2 at home to Liverpool, so the pattern is competitive but not especially decisive.

That run suggests Everton are staying in games, but they have not been able to consistently close them out. The numbers in the results point to a side that can score, yet one that has also been vulnerable enough to leave points behind.

Everton Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 10 May 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 13Everton 2 – 2 D Selhurst Park
Premier League 4 May 2026 13Everton vs 9Manchester City 3 – 3 D Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 1West Ham United vs 13Everton 2 – 1 L London Stadium
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 13Everton vs 8Liverpool 1 – 2 L Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 11 Apr 2026 236Brentford vs 13Everton 2 – 2 D Gtech Community Stadium

Sunderland

Sunderland’s recent league form has been mixed, with back-to-back draws against Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers. Before that, they were beaten 0-5 at home by Nottingham Forest and 3-4 away at Aston Villa, which shows their results have swung sharply.

Their best recent result was a 1-0 home win over Tottenham Hotspur, so there is evidence they can keep things tight when it goes their way. Even so, the wider run suggests they have been less stable than Everton, especially when the game opens up.

Sunderland Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 9 May 2026 3Sunderland vs 14Manchester United 0 – 0 D Stadium of Light
Premier League 2 May 2026 29Wolverhampton Wanderers vs 3Sunderland 1 – 1 D Molineux Stadium
Premier League 24 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 63Nottingham Forest 0 – 5 L Stadium of Light
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 15Aston Villa vs 3Sunderland 4 – 3 L Villa Park
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 W Stadium of Light

Team News & Injury Report

Everton

  • Jarrad Branthwaite (Hamstring Injury)

Sunderland

  • Simon Moore (Broken Hand)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Everton vs Sunderland predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Everton (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Jordan Pickford (Goalkeeper), Jake O'Brien (Defender), James Tarkowski (Defender), Michael Keane (Defender), Vitaliy Mykolenko (Defender), Iliman Ndiaye (Midfielder), James Garner (Midfielder), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Midfielder), Merlin Röhl (Midfielder), Tim Iroegbunam (Midfielder), Beto (Attacker)

Everton’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base, with the two deeper midfielders helping protect the back four and keep the game compact. That shape should also allow Iliman Ndiaye and the attacking midfield line to support Beto quickly when Everton break forward.

Sunderland (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Robin Roefs (Goalkeeper), Lutsharel Geertruida (Defender), Nordi Mukiele (Defender), Omar Alderete (Defender), Reinildo Mandava (Defender), Chemsdine Talbi (Midfielder), Enzo Le Fée (Midfielder), Granit Xhaka (Midfielder), Noah Sadiki (Midfielder), Trai Hume (Midfielder), Brian Brobbey (Attacker)

Sunderland’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a similar balance, with Granit Xhaka and Noah Sadiki likely important in controlling central areas. If Chemsdine Talbi and the wide runners can feed Brian Brobbey early, they have a route to threaten Everton’s defence.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Everton Sunderland Key Battle Overview
Everton Sunderland Beto will look to use his physical presence against Lutsharel Geertruida and make Sunderland defend their box.
Everton Sunderland Iliman Ndiaye against Chemsdine Talbi is a useful midfield-to-wide duel that could decide who carries the ball into dangerous areas.
Everton Sunderland Beto is key for Everton because the recent lineups show him as the main attacking reference point in their 4-2-3-1.
Everton Sunderland Brian Brobbey is key for Sunderland because he is the central attacking outlet in their predicted shape and the player most likely to finish moves.

FAQs

How to watch Everton vs Sunderland

Fans in the UK are able to watch Everton vs Sunderland on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 15:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Everton vs Sunderland?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Everton 1-0 Sunderland in this match.

Can you bet on Everton vs Sunderland?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Everton vs Sunderland.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.03%
No 87.97%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.56%
1-0 10.85%
0-1 9.91%
0-0 9.09%
1-2 7.99%
2-1 7.96%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Everton 46.71%
Sunderland 44.20%
Draw 9.09%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.63%
No 65.37%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.82%
No 87.18%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.32%
No 96.68%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Everton 65.09%
Draw / Sunderland 62.71%
Everton / Sunderland 72.06%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.07%
No 29.93%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.16%
No 66.84%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.75%
No 8.86%
Equal 7.39%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.01%
No 87.99%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.91%
No 76.09%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.78%
No 96.22%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.92%
No 33.08%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.88%
No 1.57%
Equal 2.56%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.14%
No 4.12%
Equal 4.74%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.52%
No 37.98%
Equal 12.50%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.52%
No 50.48%
Equal 12.01%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.52%
No 62.48%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.38%
No 30.62%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.81%
No 16.25%
Equal 9.94%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Everton / Everton 20.43%
Everton / Sunderland 2.62%
Everton / Draw 5.40%
Sunderland / Everton 2.54%
Sunderland / Sunderland 18.30%
Sunderland / Draw 5.27%
Draw / Draw 17.32%
Draw / Everton 14.31%
Draw / Sunderland 13.81%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Everton 27.34%
Sunderland 26.27%
Draw 46.40%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.02%
No 26.20%
Equal 11.78%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.96%
No 62.48%
Equal 10.56%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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