Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Burnley vs Aston Villa in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Burnley vs Aston Villa |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Date | Sunday, 10 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 14:00 BST |
| Venue | Turf Moor |
Match Prediction: Burnley 1-1 Aston Villa
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 05 Oct 2025 |  Aston Villa vs  Burnley |
2 – 1 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 30 Dec 2023 | Aston Villa vs Burnley |
3 – 2 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 27 Aug 2023 | Burnley vs Aston Villa |
1 – 3 | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 19 May 2022 | Aston Villa vs Burnley |
1 – 1 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 07 May 2022 | Burnley vs Aston Villa |
1 – 3 | Turf Moor |
Burnley come into this with five straight league defeats, and the recent scorelines suggest they have been struggling to keep games tight. At Turf Moor, a 5-4-1 can help them stay compact, but they will need more than just organisation if they are to trouble an Aston Villa side that has still picked up wins in this run. Villa’s own form is mixed, yet they have shown enough going forward to suggest they can find a way through if Burnley sit too deep.
Aston Villa have lost two of their last three league matches, but they have also scored four against Sunderland and beaten West Ham United 2-0 in this recent sequence. Burnley’s defensive record in the last five league games points to a difficult afternoon if Villa can get their attacking midfielders into the game early. Match Prediction: Burnley 0-2 Aston Villa
Form Guide & Team Overview
Burnley
Burnley’s league form is poor, with five defeats from five and only two goals scored across those matches. They have lost 1-3 at Leeds United, 0-1 at home to Manchester City, 1-4 at Nottingham Forest, 0-2 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion and 1-3 at Fulham.
That run suggests Burnley are finding it hard to stay competitive for long spells, especially against sides that can move the ball well. The repeated narrow and heavier defeats also point to a team that is being asked to defend for long periods and is struggling to recover once behind.
Burnley Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1 May 2026 |  Leeds United vs Burnley |
3 – 1 | L | Elland Road |
| Premier League | 22 Apr 2026 | Burnley vs  Manchester City |
0 – 1 | L | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 |  Nottingham Forest vs Burnley |
4 – 1 | L | The City Ground |
| Premier League | 11 Apr 2026 | Burnley vs  Brighton & Hove Albion |
0 – 2 | L | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 21 Mar 2026 |  Fulham vs Burnley |
3 – 1 | L | Craven Cottage |
Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s league form is more uneven, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. They have lost 1-2 to Tottenham Hotspur and 0-1 at Fulham, but they also beat Sunderland 4-3 and West Ham United 2-0, with a 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest in between.
That mix shows Villa can still produce goals, even if results have not been fully consistent. The recent away defeat at Fulham and the home loss to Tottenham suggest they are not completely secure, but the scoring output in the Sunderland win gives them a stronger attacking edge than Burnley have shown.
Aston Villa Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 3 May 2026 | Aston Villa vs  Tottenham Hotspur |
1 – 2 | L | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 | Fulham vs Aston Villa |
1 – 0 | L | Craven Cottage |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 | Aston Villa vs  Sunderland |
4 – 3 | W | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 12 Apr 2026 | Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa |
1 – 1 | D | The City Ground |
| Premier League | 22 Mar 2026 | Aston Villa vs  West Ham United |
2 – 0 | W | Villa Park |
Team News & Injury Report
Burnley
- Josh Cullen (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
Aston Villa
- Amadou Onana (Calf Problems)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Burnley (5-4-1)
Predicted lineup: Martin Dúbravka (Goalkeeper), Bashir Humphreys (Defender), Hjalmar Ekdal (Defender), Kyle Walker (Defender), Maxime Estève (Defender), Quilindschy Hartman (Defender), Jaidon Anthony (Midfielder), James Ward-Prowse (Midfielder), Josh Laurent (Midfielder), Loum Tchaouna (Midfielder), Zian Flemming (Attacker)
Burnley’s predicted 5-4-1 should give them a solid defensive base, with the back line protecting the centre and the wide midfielders helping to close down space. The main question is whether they can get enough support to Zian Flemming when they do break forward, because the shape can otherwise leave him isolated.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Emiliano Martínez (Goalkeeper), Ian Maatsen (Defender), Matty Cash (Defender), Tyrone Mings (Defender), Victor Lindelöf (Defender), Jadon Sancho (Midfielder), Lamare Bogarde (Midfielder), Morgan Rogers (Midfielder), Ross Barkley (Midfielder), Youri Tielemans (Midfielder), Tammy Abraham (Attacker)
Aston Villa’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a clear platform to control midfield and support the lone striker with runners from behind. With Jadon Sancho and the central attacking options in place, they should be able to stretch Burnley’s back five and create chances between the lines.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Burnley | Aston Villa | Text |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Aston Villa | Zian Flemming against Ian Maatsen could be decisive if Burnley look to attack down that side and force Villa’s full-back into repeated defensive work. |
| Burnley | Aston Villa | Jaidon Anthony against Jadon Sancho is a useful wide duel, with both players likely to be important in carrying their teams up the pitch. |
| Burnley | Aston Villa | Zian Flemming is key for Burnley because their recent results show they need a reliable attacking outlet to turn limited possession into chances. |
| Burnley | Aston Villa | Tammy Abraham is key for Aston Villa because Burnley’s recent defensive record suggests Villa may only need one strong focal point to make their pressure count. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
