Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

Harvey Watkins
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Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 00:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Thursday, 14 May 2026
Kick-off 00:30 BST
Venue Exploria Stadium

Match Prediction: Orlando City 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Orlando City37.21%
Philadelphia Union39.04%
Draw23.75%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes62.87%
No37.13%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes61.52%
No38.48%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 06 Apr 2025 275Philadelphia Union vs 204Orlando City 0 – 0 Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 23 Feb 2025 204Orlando City vs 275Philadelphia Union 2 – 4 Spectrum Stadium
Major League Soccer 03 Oct 2024 204Orlando City vs 275Philadelphia Union 2 – 1 Spectrum Stadium
Major League Soccer 12 May 2024 275Philadelphia Union vs 204Orlando City 2 – 3 Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 22 Jun 2023 204Orlando City vs 275Philadelphia Union 2 – 2 Exploria Stadium

Orlando City have been involved in a run of high-scoring league games, with four goals against Inter Miami and Charlotte, but also three conceded in each of their two defeats to DC United and Inter Miami. Philadelphia Union arrive with a much tighter recent profile, drawing 0-0 with Nashville SC and DC United, although they also showed they can score away from home in the 3-3 draw at Toronto. With no xG data available, the clearest read from the results is that Orlando City’s games have been more open, while Philadelphia Union have been harder to break down.

That contrast points towards a match where Philadelphia Union can stay organised and make the most of their chances if Orlando City leave space behind. Orlando City’s home defeat to Houston Dynamo and their recent mixed results suggest they are not fully controlling games, even when they score. Match Prediction: Orlando City 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Form Guide & Team Overview

Orlando City

Orlando City’s recent league form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five. The standout result was the 4-3 win away at Inter Miami, while the 4-1 home win over Charlotte shows they can be productive in front of goal.

At the same time, the defeats to DC United and Houston Dynamo show they have also been vulnerable defensively, particularly in games that became open. The 1-1 draw away at Columbus Crew sits between those extremes and underlines a side that has been capable of scoring, but not always of controlling the game.

Orlando City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 204Orlando City 3 – 4 W Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 182DC United vs 204Orlando City 3 – 2 L Audi Field
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 204Orlando City vs 260119Charlotte 4 – 1 W Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 204Orlando City vs 478Houston Dynamo 0 – 1 L Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer 12 Apr 2026 577Columbus Crew vs 204Orlando City 1 – 1 D Historic Crew Stadium

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union’s recent league form has been more cautious, with one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five. They have kept clean sheets in two of those matches, drawing 0-0 with Nashville SC and DC United, which points to a side that can stay compact.

Their away draw at Toronto was a more open game at 3-3, while the 2-1 win at CF Montréal shows they can still take points on the road. The 0-2 defeat at Columbus Crew is the main setback in that run, but overall the recent results suggest a team that is difficult to beat when the structure holds.

Philadelphia Union Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 275Philadelphia Union vs 148048Nashville SC 0 – 0 D Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 577Columbus Crew vs 275Philadelphia Union 2 – 0 L Historic Crew Stadium
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 275Philadelphia Union 3 – 3 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 275Philadelphia Union vs 182DC United 0 – 0 D Subaru Park
Major League Soccer 11 Apr 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 275Philadelphia Union 1 – 2 W Stade Saputo

Team News & Injury Report

Orlando City

  • Marco Pašalić (Hamstring Injury)

Philadelphia Union

  • Jesús Bueno (Ankle Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Orlando City (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Maxime Crépeau (Goalkeeper), Adrián Marín (Defender), Iago Teodoro (Defender), Robin Jansson (Defender), Braian Ojeda (Midfielder), Griffin Dorsey (Midfielder), Iván Angulo (Midfielder), Luis Otávio (Midfielder), Tiago (Midfielder), Justin Ellis (Attacker), Martín Ojeda (Attacker)

Orlando City’s predicted 3-5-2 should give them numbers through midfield and allow the wing-backs to support attacks from wide areas. That shape also leaves Justin Ellis and Martín Ojeda as the main forward outlets, so their movement will matter if Orlando City are to turn possession into chances.

Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Andre Blake (Goalkeeper), Frankie Westfield (Defender), Japhet Sery Larsen (Defender), Nathan Harriel (Defender), Olwethu Makhanya (Defender), Cavan Sullivan (Midfielder), Danley Jean Jacques (Midfielder), Indiana Vassilev (Midfielder), Jovan Lukić (Midfielder), Ezekiel Alladoh (Attacker), Milan Iloski (Attacker)

Philadelphia Union’s predicted 4-4-2 gives them a straightforward base with two banks of four and two forwards to stretch Orlando City’s back line. It should also help them stay compact without the ball, while still giving Ezekiel Alladoh and Milan Iloski a platform to attack transitions.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Orlando City Philadelphia Union Key Battle Overview
Orlando City Philadelphia Union Justin Ellis against Frankie Westfield could be important if Orlando City look to attack the right side of Philadelphia Union’s back line.
Orlando City Philadelphia Union Braian Ojeda against Cavan Sullivan may shape the midfield balance, with both sides needing control in central areas.
Orlando City Philadelphia Union Justin Ellis is key for Orlando City because he has been named in both recent lineups and is part of the main attacking pair.
Orlando City Philadelphia Union Ezekiel Alladoh is key for Philadelphia Union because he starts in the predicted front two and offers a direct goal threat.

FAQs

How to watch Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union

Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union at 00:30 BST on Thursday, 14 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Orlando City 1-2 Philadelphia Union in this match.

Can you bet on Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.45%
No 92.55%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.20%
No 25.80%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.39%
No 92.61%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.70%
No 76.30%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.76%
No 80.24%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.52%
No 66.11%
Equal 9.37%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Orlando City 48.10%
Philadelphia Union 47.56%
Draw 4.34%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.59%
1-2 8.71%
2-1 8.08%
OTHER 2 7.22%
OTHER 1 7.16%
0-1 6.74%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.40%
No 26.60%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.31%
No 56.69%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.60%
No 55.40%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.39%
No 79.61%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.63%
No 31.68%
Equal 11.69%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.82%
No 43.37%
Equal 11.81%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.88%
No 55.18%
Equal 10.94%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.88%
No 66.11%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Orlando City 28.45%
Philadelphia Union 31.94%
Draw 39.61%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.48%
No 17.52%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Orlando City / Orlando City 20.13%
Orlando City / Philadelphia Union 3.74%
Orlando City / Draw 5.67%
Philadelphia Union / Orlando City 3.85%
Philadelphia Union / Philadelphia Union 22.55%
Philadelphia Union / Draw 5.49%
Draw / Draw 12.99%
Draw / Orlando City 12.62%
Draw / Philadelphia Union 12.95%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.29%
No 6.69%
Equal 6.03%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.82%
No 12.71%
Equal 8.46%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Orlando City 60.96%
Draw / Philadelphia Union 62.79%
Orlando City / Philadelphia Union 76.25%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.31%
No 2.97%
Equal 3.71%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.32%
No 21.18%
Equal 10.50%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.93%
No 61.07%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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