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Orlando City vs Atlanta United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Orlando City vs Atlanta United in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 00:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Orlando City vs Atlanta United
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 00:30 BST
Venue Exploria Stadium

Match Prediction: Orlando City 2-1 Atlanta United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Orlando City41.21%
Atlanta United34.70%
Draw24.09%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes59.93%
No40.07%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes58.23%
No41.77%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 29 May 2025 3645Atlanta United vs 204Orlando City 3 – 2 Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer 27 Apr 2025 204Orlando City vs 3645Atlanta United 3 – 0 Spectrum Stadium
Major League Soccer 24 Nov 2024 204Orlando City vs 3645Atlanta United 1 – 0 Spectrum Stadium
Major League Soccer 19 Oct 2024 204Orlando City vs 3645Atlanta United 1 – 2 Spectrum Stadium
Major League Soccer 17 Mar 2024 3645Atlanta United vs 204Orlando City 2 – 0 Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Orlando City come into this with a mixed recent record, but their home win over Charlotte and the four-goal return against Inter Miami show they can still create chances and score in volume. Atlanta United have also been inconsistent, with two wins in their last five league games, but they have been beaten in three of those matches and have not kept things especially tight at the back.

With no xG data available, the clearest angle is the recent results and the head-to-head pattern, which has produced a few narrow scorelines either way. Orlando City’s predicted shape should give them enough structure to compete, while Atlanta United’s front line still looks capable of finding a goal. Match Prediction: Orlando City 2-1 Atlanta United

Form Guide & Team Overview

Orlando City

Orlando City’s recent league form has been uneven, with two wins and three defeats in their last five. The standout results are the 4-3 win away at Inter Miami and the 4-1 home win over Charlotte, while the losses to CF Montréal, DC United and Houston Dynamo show they have also been vulnerable.

That mix suggests Orlando City are capable of producing goals, but they have not been consistently reliable defensively. The fact they have scored four in one away game and conceded three in another underlines why their matches have been open in recent weeks.

Orlando City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 3736CF Montréal vs 204Orlando City 2 – 0 L Stade Saputo
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 204Orlando City 3 – 4 W Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 182DC United vs 204Orlando City 3 – 2 L Audi Field
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 204Orlando City vs 260119Charlotte 4 – 1 W Exploria Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 204Orlando City vs 478Houston Dynamo 0 – 1 L Exploria Stadium

Atlanta United

Atlanta United’s recent league form is also mixed, with two wins and three defeats across their last five. Their best results are the 3-1 home win over CF Montréal and the 2-1 away win at Toronto, but they have also lost to LA Galaxy, New England and Nashville SC.

The pattern points to a side that can compete in spells but has not been steady enough to string results together. They have been involved in several close games, which fits a team that is competitive but still giving opponents chances.

Atlanta United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 3645Atlanta United vs 413LA Galaxy 1 – 2 L Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 3645Atlanta United vs 3736CF Montréal 3 – 1 W Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 3645Atlanta United 1 – 2 W BMO Field
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 3645Atlanta United vs 641New England 1 – 2 L Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 3645Atlanta United vs 148048Nashville SC 0 – 2 L Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Orlando City

  • Marco Pašalić (Hamstring Injury)

Atlanta United

  • Miguel Almirón (Knee Problems)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Orlando City vs Atlanta United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Orlando City (5-3-2)

Predicted lineup: Maxime Crépeau (Goalkeeper), Adrián Marín (Defender), Griffin Dorsey (Defender), Iago Teodoro (Defender), Iván Angulo (Defender), Robin Jansson (Defender), Braian Ojeda (Midfielder), Eduard Atuesta (Midfielder), Tyrese Spicer (Midfielder), Justin Ellis (Attacker), Martín Ojeda (Attacker)

Orlando City’s predicted 5-3-2 should give them a solid base, with the back five helping them stay compact when Atlanta United have the ball. It also leaves enough support for Justin Ellis and Martín Ojeda to work together in transition and attack the spaces behind the visitors’ midfield line.

Atlanta United (4-1-4-1)

Predicted lineup: Lucas Hoyos (Goalkeeper), Elías Báez (Defender), Juan Berrocal (Defender), Stian Gregersen (Defender), Tomás Jacob (Defender), Aleksey Miranchuk (Midfielder), Cooper Sanchez (Midfielder), Matías Galarza Fonda (Midfielder), Saba Lobjanidze (Midfielder), Tristan Muyumba (Midfielder), Emmanuel Latte Lath (Attacker)

Atlanta United’s predicted 4-1-4-1 should provide a clear screen in front of the defence, with Aleksey Miranchuk helping link midfield and attack. The shape also gives Emmanuel Latte Lath a central reference point, while the wider midfielders can support him if Atlanta United break forward quickly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Orlando City Atlanta United Key Battle Overview
Orlando City Atlanta United Justin Ellis against Elías Báez could be important because Orlando City will want Ellis to run at the left side of Atlanta United’s defence and test how well Báez handles direct pressure.
Orlando City Atlanta United Braian Ojeda against Aleksey Miranchuk looks like a key midfield duel, with Ojeda needing to disrupt Atlanta United’s main link player and stop him turning between the lines.
Orlando City Atlanta United Justin Ellis is key for Orlando City because he has been part of their recent attacking output and his movement can help turn their 5-3-2 into a threat on the break.
Orlando City Atlanta United Emmanuel Latte Lath is key for Atlanta United because he is the central attacking outlet in the predicted shape and gives them a direct route to goal.

FAQs

How to watch Orlando City vs Atlanta United

Orlando City vs Atlanta United at 00:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Orlando City 2-1 Atlanta United in this match.

Can you bet on Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Orlando City vs Atlanta United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.33%
No 62.63%
Equal 10.04%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.01%
No 78.99%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.65%
No 92.35%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Orlando City 65.30%
Draw / Atlanta United 58.79%
Orlando City / Atlanta United 75.91%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.27%
No 83.73%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.35%
No 64.65%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.30%
No 94.70%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Orlando City 51.29%
Atlanta United 43.76%
Draw 4.95%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.78%
No 39.24%
Equal 11.97%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.37%
No 51.22%
Equal 11.42%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.51%
No 19.49%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.33%
No 24.67%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.78%
No 5.06%
Equal 5.16%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.22%
No 60.78%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.13%
No 10.22%
Equal 7.64%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.22%
No 17.87%
Equal 9.91%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.37%
No 62.63%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.94%
No 2.09%
Equal 2.98%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.76%
No 27.78%
Equal 11.46%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.07%
2-1 8.84%
1-2 8.18%
1-0 7.64%
OTHER 1 7.49%
0-1 6.90%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.45%
No 79.55%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.53%
No 29.47%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Orlando City / Orlando City 23.44%
Orlando City / Atlanta United 3.44%
Orlando City / Draw 5.59%
Atlanta United / Orlando City 3.58%
Atlanta United / Atlanta United 19.33%
Atlanta United / Draw 5.68%
Draw / Draw 12.94%
Draw / Orlando City 13.32%
Draw / Atlanta United 12.67%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.88%
No 55.12%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Orlando City 32.04%
Atlanta United 28.15%
Draw 39.81%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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