Metz vs Lorient: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Metz vs Lorient in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Metz vs Lorient
Competition Ligue 1
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Stade Saint-Symphorien

Match Prediction: Metz 1-1 Lorient

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Metz32.27%
Lorient41.60%
Draw26.13%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes55.15%
No44.85%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes52.04%
No47.96%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 04 Jan 2026 9257Lorient vs 3513Metz 1 – 1 Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 04 Feb 2024 3513Metz vs 9257Lorient 1 – 2 Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 26 Nov 2023 9257Lorient vs 3513Metz 2 – 3 Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 20 Apr 2022 9257Lorient vs 3513Metz 1 – 0 Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 12 Dec 2021 3513Metz vs 9257Lorient 4 – 1 Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz come into this with plenty of goals in their recent league games, but also a habit of conceding, so this has the feel of a match where both sides can find openings. Lorient’s recent results are a touch stronger, including a draw away to Paris Saint Germain and a home win over Olympique Marseille, which suggests they can handle pressure in tougher fixtures. With no xG data to lean on, the recent scorelines point towards a competitive game rather than a controlled one.

Metz’s home form has been mixed, and their last two league matches at Stade Saint-Symphorien produced a 0-0 and a 1-3 defeat, so they will need a cleaner defensive display to get anything here. Lorient have been involved in tight, open games, and their 2-2 draw at Paris Saint Germain shows they are capable of staying in the contest away from home. Match Prediction: Metz 1-1 Lorient

Form Guide & Team Overview

Metz

Metz’s recent league form has been patchy, with no wins in their last five and only one clean sheet in that run. They have drawn 4-4 with Le Havre and 0-0 with Nantes, but they have also lost 1-2 to Monaco, 1-3 to Paris and 1-3 to Olympique Marseille.

At home, the picture is similar: the 0-0 against Nantes was followed by a 1-2 defeat to Monaco. That suggests Metz are not short of attacking moments, but they have struggled to keep games under control.

Metz Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 3513Metz vs 6789Monaco 1 – 2 L Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 1055Le Havre vs 3513Metz 4 – 4 D Stade Océane
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 3513Metz vs 4508Paris 1 – 3 L Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 10 Apr 2026 44Olympique Marseille vs 3513Metz 3 – 1 L Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 5 Apr 2026 3513Metz vs 59Nantes 0 – 0 D Stade Saint-Symphorien

Lorient

Lorient’s recent league form is a bit more encouraging, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. The standout result is the 2-2 draw away to Paris Saint Germain, while the 2-0 home win over Olympique Marseille also stands out.

They have still been involved in open games, losing 2-3 to Strasbourg and drawing 1-1 with Paris. Overall, Lorient look capable of competing in difficult matches, but they have not been especially secure at the back.

Lorient Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 591Paris Saint Germain vs 9257Lorient 2 – 2 D Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 9257Lorient vs 686Strasbourg 2 – 3 L Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 18 Apr 2026 9257Lorient vs 44Olympique Marseille 2 – 0 W Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 12 Apr 2026 79Olympique Lyonnais vs 9257Lorient 2 – 0 L Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 5 Apr 2026 9257Lorient vs 4508Paris 1 – 1 D Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir

Team News & Injury Report

Metz

  • Maxime Colin (Calf Injury)

Lorient

  • Théo Le Bris (Knee Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Metz vs Lorient predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Metz (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Pape Sy (Goalkeeper), Bouna Sarr (Defender), Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Defender), Sadibou Sané (Defender), Terry Yegbe (Defender), Benjamin Stambouli (Midfielder), Gauthier Hein (Midfielder), Jean-Philippe Gbamin (Midfielder), Jessy Deminguet (Midfielder), Nathan Mbala (Midfielder), Giorgi Kvilitaia (Attacker)

Metz’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base in midfield, with Benjamin Stambouli helping to screen the defence and keep the shape compact. The system also leaves Giorgi Kvilitaia as the main reference point up front, with support arriving from the three players behind him.

Lorient (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Yvon Mvogo (Goalkeeper), Abdoulaye Faye (Defender), Montassar Talbi (Defender), Nathaniel Adjei (Defender), Arsène Kouassi (Midfielder), Laurent Abergel (Midfielder), Noah Doriann Cadiou (Midfielder), Panos Katseris (Midfielder), Arthur Avom (Attacker), Bamba Dieng (Attacker), Pablo Pagis (Attacker)

Lorient’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a strong central spine and plenty of bodies between the lines, which should help them stay connected in possession. Arthur Avom can work off the front and link with the other attackers, while the wing-backs provide the width in a shape that has already been used in their recent matches.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Metz Lorient Text
Metz Lorient Giorgi Kvilitaia will look to pin Abdoulaye Faye and give Metz a focal point in the box.
Metz Lorient Benjamin Stambouli’s job against Arsène Kouassi will be to break up Lorient’s rhythm and protect Metz’s back line.
Metz Lorient Giorgi Kvilitaia is key for Metz because he is the main attacking outlet in the predicted shape and the clearest target for service.
Metz Lorient Arthur Avom is key for Lorient because he offers a direct attacking threat from the front line and can help connect the play behind the striker.

FAQs

How to watch Metz vs Lorient

Metz vs Lorient at 20:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Metz vs Lorient?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Metz 1-1 Lorient in this match.

Can you bet on Metz vs Lorient?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Metz vs Lorient.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.87%
No 12.49%
Equal 8.64%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.09%
No 21.13%
Equal 10.78%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.37%
No 24.63%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Metz 42.78%
Lorient 50.03%
Draw 7.19%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.42%
No 86.58%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.88%
No 67.12%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44%
No 43.91%
Equal 12.08%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.45%
No 67.12%
Equal 9.44%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Metz / Metz 18.04%
Metz / Lorient 3%
Metz / Draw 5.51%
Lorient / Metz 2.83%
Lorient / Lorient 23.34%
Lorient / Draw 5.65%
Draw / Draw 14.47%
Draw / Metz 11.71%
Draw / Lorient 15.47%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Metz 26.91%
Lorient 30.48%
Draw 42.60%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.02%
No 95.98%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.84%
No 26.16%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.51%
0-1 9.41%
1-2 8.81%
1-0 8.03%
2-1 7.36%
0-0 7.19%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.44%
No 69.56%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.41%
No 65.59%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.79%
No 83.21%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.15%
No 57.85%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.88%
No 56%
Equal 11.12%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.09%
No 31.91%
Equal 12%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.51%
No 6.42%
Equal 6.07%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.21%
No 81.79%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.58%
No 2.76%
Equal 3.66%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Metz 58.40%
Draw / Lorient 67.73%
Metz / Lorient 73.87%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.16%
No 32.84%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.37%
No 93.63%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

Share This Article
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
Enable Notifications OK No thanks