Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 18:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Date | Thursday, 14 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 18:00 BST |
| Venue | Estadio de Mestalla |
Match Prediction: Valencia 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 01 Dec 2025 |  Rayo Vallecano vs  Valencia |
1 – 1 | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 19 Apr 2025 | Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia |
1 – 1 | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 07 Dec 2024 | Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 1 | Estadio de Mestalla |
| La Liga | 12 May 2024 | Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 0 | Estadio de Mestalla |
| La Liga | 19 Dec 2023 | Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia |
0 – 1 | Estadio de Vallecas |
Valencia come into this at Mestalla with a mixed but workable run of results, and the recent home win over Girona shows they can still find a way to get points on their own ground. Rayo Vallecano have been more consistent in terms of results, but their away record in the league has included both a 2-0 win at Getafe and a 0-3 loss at Mallorca, so there is some variation in their level on the road.
The head-to-head data points to tight games, with three of the last five meetings finishing level and none of the last five producing more than two goals for one side. That suggests margins could be narrow again, but Valencia’s home advantage and Rayo’s suspension for Isi Palazón may tilt things slightly towards the hosts. Match Prediction: Valencia 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Form Guide & Team Overview
Valencia
Valencia’s recent league form has been uneven, with two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches. The most recent result was a 1-0 away win at Athletic Club, which followed a 0-2 home loss to Atlético Madrid and a 2-1 home win over Girona.
At home, Valencia have shown they can compete, but the results have not been fully settled. Their last five league games also include a 1-1 draw at Mallorca and a 0-1 defeat at Elche, so the pattern is competitive but not especially dominant.
Valencia Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 10 May 2026 |  Athletic Club vs Valencia |
0 – 1 | W | San Mamés Barria |
| La Liga | 2 May 2026 | Valencia vs  Atlético Madrid |
0 – 2 | L | Estadio de Mestalla |
| La Liga | 25 Apr 2026 | Valencia vs  Girona |
2 – 1 | W | Estadio de Mestalla |
| La Liga | 21 Apr 2026 |  Mallorca vs Valencia |
1 – 1 | D | Estadi Mallorca Son Moix |
| La Liga | 11 Apr 2026 |  Elche vs Valencia |
1 – 0 | L | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five league matches, which is a stronger return than Valencia’s. Their most recent league outing was a 2-0 away win at Getafe, and before that they drew 3-3 with Real Sociedad at home.
They have also beaten Espanyol 1-0 at home and Elche 1-0 at home, with the only setback in that run a 0-3 defeat at Mallorca. That gives them a solid recent base, although the away loss shows they are not flawless on the road.
Rayo Vallecano Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 3 May 2026 |  Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 2 | W | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs  Real Sociedad |
3 – 3 | D | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 23 Apr 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs  Espanyol |
1 – 0 | W | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 12 Apr 2026 | Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano |
3 – 0 | L | Estadi Mallorca Son Moix |
| La Liga | 3 Apr 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs Elche |
1 – 0 | W | Estadio de Vallecas |
Team News & Injury Report
Valencia
- Thierry Correia (Muscle Injury)
Rayo Vallecano
- Isi Palazón (Suspension Through Sports Court)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Valencia (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Stole Dimitrievski (Goalkeeper), César Tárrega (Defender), Eray Cömert (Defender), José Gayà (Defender), Renzo Saravia (Defender), Diego López (Midfielder), Guido Rodríguez (Midfielder), Javi Guerra (Midfielder), Luis Rioja (Midfielder), Pepelu (Midfielder), Hugo Duro (Attacker)
Valencia’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a clear central reference point in Hugo Duro, with support arriving from the three players behind him. The double pivot should help them stay compact while still allowing the wide midfielders to push on and supply the final third.
Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Augusto Batalla (Goalkeeper), Florian Lejeune (Defender), Iván Balliu (Defender), Jozhua Vertrouwd (Defender), Nobel Mendy (Defender), Alfonso Espino (Midfielder), Gerard Gumbau (Midfielder), Jorge de Frutos (Midfielder), Pathé Ciss (Midfielder), Sergio Camello (Midfielder), Alexandre Zurawski (Attacker)
Rayo Vallecano’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them balance between midfield control and forward support for Alexandre Zurawski. With two holding midfielders behind the attacking line, they can try to keep shape while still getting runners into advanced areas.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | Hugo Duro will look to use his movement and finishing against Florian Lejeune, who will need to stay tight and organised in the central defensive duel. |
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | Diego López can be important if he gets space against Alfonso Espino, because that side battle could decide how much Valencia progress down the flank. |
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | Hugo Duro is key for Valencia because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to turn chances into goals. |
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | Alexandre Zurawski is key for Rayo Vallecano because he leads the line in the predicted XI and gives them their clearest route to a goal away from home. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
