Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Sevilla vs Real Sociedad in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Sevilla vs Real Sociedad |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Date | Monday, 04 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:00 BST |
| Venue | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
Match Prediction: Sevilla 1-2 Real Sociedad
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
xG Stats & Match Facts
| Sevilla | Metric | Real Sociedad | What it suggests |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | Expected Goals (xG) | 0.20 | Sevilla have the edge on this metric. |
| 1.44 | Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) | 0.01 | Sevilla have created the better quality shots on target. |
| 2.59 | Expected Points (xPTS) | 0.25 | Sevilla are rated stronger by expected points. |
| 0.13 | Expected Goals Corners (xGC) | 0.00 | Sevilla have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 1.99 | Expected Goals Non Penalty Goals (npxG) | 0.20 | Sevilla have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.14 | Expected Goals Set Play (xGSP) | 0.00 | Sevilla have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 1.84 | Expected Goals Open Play (xGOP) | 0.20 | Sevilla carry the bigger open-play threat. |
| 0.20 | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 1.99 | Sevilla have the stronger defensive xG profile here. |
| 0.01 | Expected Goals Prevented (xGP) | 0.44 | Real Sociedad have the edge on this metric. |
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 04 May 2026 |  Sevilla vs  Real Sociedad |
1 – 0 | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 24 Oct 2025 | Real Sociedad vs Sevilla |
2 – 1 | Anoeta Stadium |
| La Liga | 09 Mar 2025 | Real Sociedad vs Sevilla |
0 – 1 | Anoeta Stadium |
| La Liga | 03 Nov 2024 | Sevilla vs Real Sociedad |
0 – 2 | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 02 Mar 2024 | Sevilla vs Real Sociedad |
3 – 2 | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
Sevilla come into this one with the stronger recent numbers in the supplied data, and the xG profile also points their way, with 1.99 expected goals compared with Real Sociedad’s 0.20. That said, the head-to-head record shows these meetings can swing either way, and Real Sociedad have already beaten Sevilla once in the last five listed clashes. Match Prediction: Sevilla 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sevilla’s home win over Real Sociedad in the most recent league meeting gives them a clear reference point, but the data also shows they have been inconsistent across the last five league games. Real Sociedad have not been prolific, yet their recent results include draws away from home and a narrow win over Levante, so they may be able to keep this tight and nick it late. The xGA figures are also a major factor, with Sevilla’s 0.20 against suggesting they have been much harder to break down in the sample provided.
Form Guide & Team Overview
Sevilla
Sevilla’s recent league form has been mixed, with two wins and three defeats in their last five. The standout result is the 1-0 home win over Real Sociedad, while they also beat Atlético Madrid 2-1 at home, but they have lost away to Osasuna, Levante and Real Oviedo.
The numbers suggest Sevilla have been more effective at home than away in this run, and that is backed up by the xG data, which shows 1.99 expected goals and only 0.20 expected goals against in the supplied match sample. That combination points to a side that can create chances and limit the opposition, even if the results have not been fully consistent.
Sevilla Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 4 May 2026 | Sevilla vs Real Sociedad |
1 – 0 | W | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 |  Osasuna vs Sevilla |
2 – 1 | L | Estadio El Sadar |
| La Liga | 23 Apr 2026 |  Levante vs Sevilla |
2 – 0 | L | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| La Liga | 11 Apr 2026 | Sevilla vs  Atlético Madrid |
2 – 1 | W | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 5 Apr 2026 |  Real Oviedo vs Sevilla |
1 – 0 | L | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad’s recent league form has been less convincing, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. Their most recent result in the data is the 1-0 loss to Sevilla, and before that they drew 3-3 away to Rayo Vallecano and 3-3 at home to Deportivo Alavés.
They have also lost at home to Getafe, which underlines the lack of control in their recent run, although the 2-0 home win over Levante shows they can still put together a solid performance. The supplied xG figures are very low at 0.20, so they will need to be more efficient if they are to improve on that recent pattern.
Real Sociedad Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 4 May 2026 | Sevilla vs Real Sociedad |
1 – 0 | L | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 |  Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad |
3 – 3 | D | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 | Real Sociedad vs  Getafe |
0 – 1 | L | Anoeta Stadium |
| La Liga | 11 Apr 2026 | Real Sociedad vs  Deportivo Alavés |
3 – 3 | D | Anoeta Stadium |
| La Liga | 4 Apr 2026 | Real Sociedad vs Levante |
2 – 0 | W | Anoeta Stadium |
Team News & Injury Report
Sevilla
- Manu Bueno (Edema In The Knee)
Real Sociedad
- Álvaro Odriozola (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Sevilla (4-4-2)
Predicted lineup: Odysseas Vlachodimos (Goalkeeper), Andrés Castrín (Defender), Gabriel Suazo (Defender), José Ángel Carmona (Defender), Kike Salas (Defender), Chidera Ejuke (Midfielder), Lucien Agoumé (Midfielder), Nemanja Gudelj (Midfielder), Rubén Vargas (Midfielder), Isaac Romero (Attacker), Neal Maupay (Attacker)
Sevilla’s predicted 4-4-2 gives them a straightforward shape with two forwards to occupy the centre-backs and give them a direct outlet. The wide midfielders can support the front two while the central pair look to keep the game compact and protect the back four.
Real Sociedad (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Álex Remiro (Goalkeeper), Duje Caleta-Car (Defender), Jon Aramburu (Defender), Jon Martín (Defender), Sergio Gómez (Defender), Ander Barrenetxea (Midfielder), Beñat Turrientes (Midfielder), Carlos Soler (Midfielder), Jon Gorrotxategi (Midfielder), Pablo Marín (Midfielder), Mikel Oyarzabal (Attacker)
Real Sociedad’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a stable base in midfield, with two deeper players helping them control transitions. The attacking midfielder and wide players can then support Mikel Oyarzabal and try to create more quality in the final third.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Sevilla | Real Sociedad | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Real Sociedad | Isaac Romero will look to attack Duje Caleta-Car in the box, and that duel could decide whether Sevilla turn their chances into goals. |
| Sevilla | Real Sociedad | Chidera Ejuke against Ander Barrenetxea is a key wide battle, with both players likely important to how each side carries the ball forward. |
| Sevilla | Real Sociedad | Isaac Romero is key for Sevilla because he is one of the main attacking outlets in the predicted 4-4-2 and will be central to their finishing. |
| Sevilla | Real Sociedad | Mikel Oyarzabal is key for Real Sociedad because he leads the line in the predicted 4-2-3-1 and is their main reference in attack. |
FAQs
For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
