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Sevilla vs Real Madrid: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Sevilla vs Real Madrid in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 18:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Sevilla vs Real Madrid
Competition La Liga
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 18:00 BST
Venue Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Match Prediction: Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Sevilla26.48%
Real Madrid49.34%
Draw24.21%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes51.09%
No48.91%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes51.70%
No48.30%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
La Liga 20 Dec 2025 3468Real Madrid vs 676Sevilla 2 – 0 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga 18 May 2025 676Sevilla vs 3468Real Madrid 0 – 2 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga 22 Dec 2024 3468Real Madrid vs 676Sevilla 4 – 2 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga 25 Feb 2024 3468Real Madrid vs 676Sevilla 1 – 0 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga 21 Oct 2023 676Sevilla vs 3468Real Madrid 1 – 1 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla come into this at home with two straight league wins, but the head-to-head record points towards Real Madrid having the edge in this fixture. Sevilla’s recent results suggest they can keep games tight at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, yet Madrid have still taken three of the last five meetings and have enough quality to decide a close contest. With no xG data available, the clearest read is from the results and the lineups, and that leans towards a low-scoring away win.

Real Madrid’s recent league form has been mixed, but they have still picked up wins away at Espanyol and drawn at Real Betis, which shows they can get results on the road. Sevilla have been more consistent at home than away, so this should be competitive for long spells, but Madrid’s stronger recent head-to-head record is hard to ignore. Match Prediction: Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid

Form Guide & Team Overview

Sevilla

Sevilla’s recent league form shows three wins and two defeats across their last five matches. The two home wins over Espanyol and Real Sociedad stand out, while the away losses to Osasuna and Levante show they have been less reliable on the road.

At the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla have beaten Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad in this run, which suggests they can be organised and effective in front of their own supporters. That home record is the main reason they should not be written off, even if the overall form is still a little uneven.

Sevilla Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 9 May 2026 676Sevilla vs 528Espanyol 2 – 1 W Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga 4 May 2026 676Sevilla vs 594Real Sociedad 1 – 0 W Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 459Osasuna vs 676Sevilla 2 – 1 L Estadio El Sadar
La Liga 23 Apr 2026 3457Levante vs 676Sevilla 2 – 0 L Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
La Liga 11 Apr 2026 676Sevilla vs 7980Atlético Madrid 2 – 1 W Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Real Madrid

Real Madrid’s recent league form has been less straightforward, with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five. The away win at Espanyol is a positive, while the draw at Real Betis shows they can still take something from a difficult trip.

Their most recent result was a 0-2 loss at FC Barcelona, so there is some inconsistency in the picture. Even so, the earlier league results suggest they remain capable of controlling matches and finding enough to edge tight games.

Real Madrid Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 10 May 2026 83FC Barcelona vs 3468Real Madrid 2 – 0 L Camp Nou
La Liga 3 May 2026 528Espanyol vs 3468Real Madrid 0 – 2 W RCDE Stadium
La Liga 24 Apr 2026 485Real Betis vs 3468Real Madrid 1 – 1 D Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
La Liga 21 Apr 2026 3468Real Madrid vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 2 – 1 W Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga 10 Apr 2026 3468Real Madrid vs 231Girona 1 – 1 D Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Team News & Injury Report

Sevilla

  • Manu Bueno (Edema In The Knee)

Real Madrid

  • Dean Huijsen (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Sevilla vs Real Madrid predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Sevilla (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Odysseas Vlachodimos (Goalkeeper), César Azpilicueta (Defender), Gabriel Suazo (Defender), José Ángel Carmona (Defender), Kike Salas (Defender), Djibril Sow (Midfielder), Lucien Agoumé (Midfielder), Oso (Midfielder), Rubén Vargas (Midfielder), Akor Adams (Attacker), Neal Maupay (Attacker)

Sevilla’s predicted 4-4-2 should give them a compact shape with two banks of four, which can help them stay organised without the ball. It also gives them a straightforward route forward through Akor Adams and Neal Maupay if they can win second balls and break quickly.

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Thibaut Courtois (Goalkeeper), Antonio Rüdiger (Defender), Fran García (Defender), Raúl Asencio (Defender), Trent Alexander-Arnold (Defender), Aurélien Tchouaméni (Midfielder), Brahim Díaz (Midfielder), Eduardo Camavinga (Midfielder), Jude Bellingham (Midfielder), Vinicius Junior (Midfielder), Gonzalo García (Attacker)

Real Madrid’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a strong central base with Aurélien Tchouaméni protecting the defence and allowing the attacking midfielders to play higher. With Gonzalo García up front and Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior and Brahim Díaz behind him, they have enough movement to stretch Sevilla’s back line.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Sevilla Real Madrid Key Battle Overview
Sevilla Real Madrid Akor Adams will need to hold his ground against Antonio Rüdiger if Sevilla are to make their direct attacks count.
Sevilla Real Madrid Djibril Sow against Aurélien Tchouaméni looks important because the midfield balance could decide who controls the tempo.
Sevilla Real Madrid Akor Adams is key for Sevilla because his presence gives them a focal point and a route to turn pressure into chances.
Sevilla Real Madrid Gonzalo García is key for Real Madrid because he is the central reference in a side built to feed runners around him.

FAQs

How to watch Sevilla vs Real Madrid

Sevilla vs Real Madrid at 18:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid in this match.

Can you bet on Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Sevilla vs Real Madrid.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Sevilla / Sevilla 17.31%
Sevilla / Real Madrid 3.19%
Sevilla / Draw 5.19%
Real Madrid / Sevilla 2.78%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid 25.28%
Real Madrid / Draw 5.57%
Draw / Draw 14.69%
Draw / Sevilla 11.54%
Draw / Real Madrid 14.44%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Sevilla 44.20%
Real Madrid 48.71%
Draw 7.09%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.86%
No 89.14%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.21%
No 2.40%
Equal 3.39%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.67%
No 71.33%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.78%
No 78.22%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.42%
No 5.79%
Equal 5.79%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Sevilla 25.87%
Real Madrid 33.37%
Draw 40.76%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Sevilla 50.69%
Draw / Real Madrid 73.55%
Sevilla / Real Madrid 75.82%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.87%
No 70.13%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.39%
No 96.61%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.25%
No 42.59%
Equal 12.16%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.41%
No 30.62%
Equal 11.97%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.15%
No 39.85%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
0-1 10.84%
1-1 10.75%
1-2 9.05%
0-2 8.98%
OTHER 2 8.05%
0-0 7.09%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.91%
No 53.09%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.19%
No 91.81%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.98%
No 54.75%
Equal 11.27%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.35%
No 66.02%
Equal 9.63%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.98%
No 66.02%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.38%
No 19.98%
Equal 10.64%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.02%
No 11.58%
Equal 8.40%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.25%
No 24.75%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.32%
No 82.68%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.38%
No 22.62%

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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