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Real Sociedad vs Valencia: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Real Sociedad vs Valencia in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 18:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Real Sociedad vs Valencia
Competition La Liga
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 18:00 BST
Venue Anoeta Stadium

Match Prediction: Real Sociedad 2-1 Valencia

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Real Sociedad41.79%
Valencia32%
Draw26.21%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes55.06%
No44.94%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes50.30%
No49.70%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
La Liga 16 Aug 2025 214Valencia vs 594Real Sociedad 1 – 1 Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga 19 Jan 2025 214Valencia vs 594Real Sociedad 1 – 0 Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga 28 Sep 2024 594Real Sociedad vs 214Valencia 3 – 0 Anoeta Stadium
La Liga 16 May 2024 594Real Sociedad vs 214Valencia 1 – 0 Anoeta Stadium
La Liga 27 Sep 2023 214Valencia vs 594Real Sociedad 0 – 1 Estadio de Mestalla

Real Sociedad have been drawing plenty of games lately, but the home setting at Anoeta Stadium gives them a platform to edge a tight contest. Their recent results suggest they can stay in matches, yet they have also been vulnerable to conceding first and then chasing the game. Valencia arrive with a mixed away record, including a 1-0 win at Athletic Club, so they should not be written off.

The head-to-head data points to a fairly competitive fixture, with Real Sociedad winning three of the last five meetings and Valencia taking one. That said, the most recent meeting finished 1-1, which fits the pattern of a game that can stay close for long spells. Match Prediction: Real Sociedad 2-1 Valencia

Form Guide & Team Overview

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad’s recent league form has been steady rather than convincing, with three draws and two defeats in their last five. They have scored in four of those five matches, including 2-2 against Real Betis and 3-3 against Rayo Vallecano, but they have also failed to score in the 1-0 losses to Sevilla and Getafe.

At home, the results have been mixed, with a 2-2 draw against Real Betis and a 0-1 defeat to Getafe in the recent sample. The numbers suggest they are capable of creating chances, but they have not been turning those into enough wins.

Real Sociedad Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 9 May 2026 594Real Sociedad vs 485Real Betis 2 – 2 D Anoeta Stadium
La Liga 4 May 2026 676Sevilla vs 594Real Sociedad 1 – 0 L Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 594Real Sociedad 3 – 3 D Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 22 Apr 2026 594Real Sociedad vs 106Getafe 0 – 1 L Anoeta Stadium
La Liga 11 Apr 2026 594Real Sociedad vs 2975Deportivo Alavés 3 – 3 D Anoeta Stadium

Valencia

Valencia’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. Their best result in that run was the 1-0 away win at Athletic Club, while the 2-1 home win over Girona shows they can still get results when they are efficient.

Away from home, Valencia have had a mixed return, drawing 1-1 at Mallorca and losing 0-1 at Elche in the same five-game stretch. The 0-2 home defeat to Atlético Madrid also shows they have not been fully reliable, even if the away win at Athletic Club stands out.

Valencia Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 10 May 2026 13258Athletic Club vs 214Valencia 0 – 1 W San Mamés Barria
La Liga 2 May 2026 214Valencia vs 7980Atlético Madrid 0 – 2 L Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga 25 Apr 2026 214Valencia vs 231Girona 2 – 1 W Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga 21 Apr 2026 645Mallorca vs 214Valencia 1 – 1 D Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
La Liga 11 Apr 2026 1099Elche vs 214Valencia 1 – 0 L Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Team News & Injury Report

Real Sociedad

  • Álvaro Odriozola (Cruciate Ligament Tear)

Valencia

  • Thierry Correia (Muscle Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Real Sociedad vs Valencia predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Real Sociedad (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Álex Remiro (Goalkeeper), Aritz Elustondo (Defender), Duje Caleta-Car (Defender), Jon Martín (Defender), Sergio Gómez (Defender), Ander Barrenetxea (Midfielder), Carlos Soler (Midfielder), Jon Gorrotxategi (Midfielder), Takefusa Kubo (Midfielder), Mikel Oyarzabal (Attacker), Orri Óskarsson (Attacker)

Real Sociedad’s predicted 4-4-2 should give them a compact shape in midfield, with enough bodies to compete for second balls and support the front two. With Mikel Oyarzabal and Orri Óskarsson up top, they can look to combine quickly and make use of the wide service from the midfield line.

Valencia (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Stole Dimitrievski (Goalkeeper), César Tárrega (Defender), Eray Cömert (Defender), José Gayà (Defender), Renzo Saravia (Defender), Diego López (Midfielder), Guido Rodríguez (Midfielder), Javi Guerra (Midfielder), Luis Rioja (Midfielder), Pepelu (Midfielder), Hugo Duro (Attacker)

Valencia’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a clear structure, with two deeper midfielders helping to protect the back four and release attacks through the three behind Hugo Duro. That shape should allow Diego López and the wide players to support transitions, while keeping the team balanced if Real Sociedad have more of the ball.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Real Sociedad Valencia Key Battle Overview
Real Sociedad Valencia Mikel Oyarzabal against César Tárrega could be decisive if Real Sociedad can get Oyarzabal into central scoring positions.
Real Sociedad Valencia Ander Barrenetxea against Diego López is a useful midfield-to-wide battle that may shape which side can progress the ball more cleanly.
Real Sociedad Valencia Mikel Oyarzabal is key for Real Sociedad because he has been part of their recent attacking output and is central to their predicted front line.
Real Sociedad Valencia Hugo Duro is key for Valencia because he leads the line in the predicted 4-2-3-1 and gives them a direct outlet in attack.

FAQs

How to watch Real Sociedad vs Valencia

Real Sociedad vs Valencia at 18:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Real Sociedad 2-1 Valencia in this match.

Can you bet on Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Real Sociedad vs Valencia.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Real Sociedad / Real Sociedad 26.93%
Real Sociedad / Valencia 2.27%
Real Sociedad / Draw 5.79%
Valencia / Real Sociedad 2.94%
Valencia / Valencia 13.76%
Valencia / Draw 4.62%
Draw / Draw 16.45%
Draw / Real Sociedad 16.33%
Draw / Valencia 10.91%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Real Sociedad 68%
Draw / Valencia 58.21%
Real Sociedad / Valencia 73.79%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.25%
1-0 9.94%
2-1 8.85%
0-1 8.06%
1-2 7.68%
0-0 7.18%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.18%
No 25.82%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.55%
No 84.45%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.24%
No 82.76%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.48%
No 66.52%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.41%
No 1.38%
Equal 2.21%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.29%
No 3.59%
Equal 4.12%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.99%
No 59.01%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.81%
No 25.19%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Real Sociedad 54.07%
Valencia 38.75%
Draw 7.18%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Real Sociedad 34.33%
Valencia 20.92%
Draw 44.75%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.80%
No 7.71%
Equal 6.50%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.62%
No 57.60%
Equal 10.78%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.94%
No 33.06%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.40%
No 45.81%
Equal 11.79%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.31%
No 87.69%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.40%
No 57.60%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.88%
No 14.20%
Equal 8.91%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.19%
No 33.96%
Equal 11.85%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.04%
No 23.12%
Equal 10.84%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.88%
No 94.12%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.50%
No 96.50%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.68%
No 71.32%

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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