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Nice vs Metz: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Nice vs Metz in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Nice vs Metz
Competition Ligue 1
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Allianz Riviera

Match Prediction: Nice 2-1 Metz

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Nice50.32%
Metz24.65%
Draw25.03%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.80%
No45.20%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes52.57%
No47.43%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Ligue 1 09 Nov 2025 3513Metz vs 450Nice 2 – 1 Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 27 Jan 2024 450Nice vs 3513Metz 1 – 0 Allianz Riviera
Ligue 1 07 Oct 2023 3513Metz vs 450Nice 0 – 1 Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 23 Jan 2022 3513Metz vs 450Nice 0 – 2 Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 27 Nov 2021 450Nice vs 3513Metz 0 – 1 Allianz Riviera

Nice come into this with a run of low-scoring league results, and that points towards a tight contest rather than an open game. Their recent home draws against Lens and Le Havre show they have been hard to beat, while Metz have been conceding regularly and arrive off the back of a 0-4 home loss to Lorient. With Nice at the Allianz Riviera and Metz’s defensive record looking fragile, the home side have the clearer case.

Metz do have the attacking threat to make this awkward, especially with Giorgi Kvilitaia leading the line, but their recent results suggest they have struggled to control games for long periods. Nice’s 5-4-1 shape has been built around staying compact and taking chances when they come, which suits a match where margins look small. Match Prediction: Nice 2-1 Metz

Form Guide & Team Overview

Nice

Nice’s recent league form has been steady rather than spectacular, with four draws and one defeat in their last five. They have drawn 1-1 with Lens and Olympique Marseille, held LOSC Lille to 0-0, and also shared a 1-1 with Le Havre, which shows a consistent ability to stay in games.

The only loss in that run was a 1-2 defeat away to Auxerre, so the pattern is one of competitive but not especially free-scoring performances. Their all-competitions record also includes a 2-0 win over Strasbourg in the Coupe de France, which adds a positive result to an otherwise cautious sequence.

Nice Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 10 May 2026 3682Auxerre vs 450Nice 2 – 1 L Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 450Nice vs 271Lens 1 – 1 D Allianz Riviera
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 44Olympique Marseille vs 450Nice 1 – 1 D Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 18 Apr 2026 690LOSC Lille vs 450Nice 0 – 0 D Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 12 Apr 2026 450Nice vs 1055Le Havre 1 – 1 D Allianz Riviera

Metz

Metz’s recent league form has been poor, with four defeats and one draw in their last five. They lost 0-4 to Lorient and 1-2 to Monaco at home, and also went down 1-3 to Paris and 1-3 to Olympique Marseille.

Their only point in that sequence came in a 4-4 draw away to Le Havre, which suggests they can score but are vulnerable at the back. Across all competitions, the picture is similar, with the draw against RFC Seraing sitting alongside more defeats and no sign of a settled run.

Metz Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Ligue 1 10 May 2026 3513Metz vs 9257Lorient 0 – 4 L Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 2 May 2026 3513Metz vs 6789Monaco 1 – 2 L Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 26 Apr 2026 1055Le Havre vs 3513Metz 4 – 4 D Stade Océane
Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026 3513Metz vs 4508Paris 1 – 3 L Stade Saint-Symphorien
Ligue 1 10 Apr 2026 44Olympique Marseille vs 3513Metz 3 – 1 L Stade Vélodrome

Team News & Injury Report

Nice

  • Melvin Bard  (Yellow Card Suspension)

Metz

  • Boubacar Traoré (Calf Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Nice vs Metz predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Nice (5-4-1)

Predicted lineup: Yehvann Diouf (Goalkeeper), Antoine Mendy (Defender), Jonathan Clauss (Defender), Juma Bah (Defender), Kojo Peprah Oppong (Defender), TBC (Defender), Hicham Boudaoui (Midfielder), Morgan Sanson (Midfielder), Salis Abdul Samed (Midfielder), Sofiane Diop (Midfielder), Mohamed-Ali Cho (Attacker)

Nice’s predicted 5-4-1 should give them a solid defensive base, with the back line protected by a compact midfield block. That shape also leaves Mohamed-Ali Cho as the main outlet, so Nice can look to break quickly when Metz lose possession.

Metz (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Pape Sy (Goalkeeper), Bouna Sarr (Defender), Koffi Kouao (Defender), Sadibou Sané (Defender), Terry Yegbe (Defender), Gauthier Hein (Midfielder), Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Midfielder), Jean-Philippe Gbamin (Midfielder), Jessy Deminguet (Midfielder), Nathan Mbala (Midfielder), Giorgi Kvilitaia (Attacker)

Metz’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a natural structure with two holding midfielders screening the defence and allowing the wide and central attackers to support Giorgi Kvilitaia. If Gauthier Hein and the other advanced midfielders can get close to him, Metz should have a route to create chances between the lines.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Nice Metz Key Battle Overview
Nice Metz Mohamed-Ali Cho will look to use his movement and direct running against Bouna Sarr, with Nice likely relying on him to turn limited possession into attacks.
Nice Metz Hicham Boudaoui against Gauthier Hein could shape the midfield battle, especially if Boudaoui helps Nice keep Metz from building through the middle.
Nice Metz Mohamed-Ali Cho is key for Nice because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to carry their counter-attacking threat.
Nice Metz Giorgi Kvilitaia is key for Metz because he is the central striker in the 4-2-3-1 and the main player Metz will look to finish their attacks.

FAQs

How to watch Nice vs Metz

Nice vs Metz at 20:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Nice vs Metz?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Nice 2-1 Metz in this match.

Can you bet on Nice vs Metz?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Nice vs Metz.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.79%
1-0 10.49%
2-1 9.46%
OTHER 1 9.43%
2-0 8.29%
0-0 6.71%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.38%
No 72.62%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.10%
No 5.63%
Equal 5.28%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Nice 39.59%
Metz 21.26%
Draw 39.15%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.48%
No 10.90%
Equal 7.62%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.75%
No 18.52%
Equal 9.73%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.96%
No 39.41%
Equal 11.63%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.85%
No 51.04%
Equal 11.11%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.85%
No 62.15%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.34%
No 69.66%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.03%
No 62.15%
Equal 9.82%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.37%
No 2.46%
Equal 3.17%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.62%
No 82.38%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.26%
No 20.74%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.21%
No 76.79%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.59%
No 90.41%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.05%
No 90.95%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Nice / Nice 31.42%
Nice / Metz 2.12%
Nice / Draw 5.58%
Metz / Nice 4.24%
Metz / Metz 12.56%
Metz / Draw 5.30%
Draw / Draw 14.12%
Draw / Nice 15.15%
Draw / Metz 9.52%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Nice 57.39%
Metz 35.90%
Draw 6.71%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.59%
No 28.25%
Equal 11.16%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.13%
No 23.87%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.39%
No 39.61%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.54%
No 97.46%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.18%
No 51.82%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Nice 75.35%
Draw / Metz 49.68%
Nice / Metz 74.97%

For the best Ligue 1 outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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