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New England vs Minnesota United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for New England vs Minnesota United in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 00:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture New England vs Minnesota United
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 00:30 BST
Venue Gillette Stadium

Match Prediction: New England 2-1 Minnesota United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

New England42.13%
Minnesota United32.83%
Draw25.07%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes59.23%
No40.77%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes56.45%
No43.55%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 10 Sep 2023 3639Minnesota United vs 641New England 1 – 1 Allianz Field
Major League Soccer 19 Jun 2022 641New England vs 3639Minnesota United 2 – 1 Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 30 Mar 2019 641New England vs 3639Minnesota United 2 – 1 Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 19 Jul 2018 3639Minnesota United vs 641New England 2 – 1 TCF Bank Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Mar 2017 641New England vs 3639Minnesota United 5 – 2 Gillette Stadium

New England come into this one with five straight league results without defeat, including four wins, and they have been especially steady at home with back-to-back 2-1 and 1-0 victories. Minnesota United have also been competitive, but their recent away form has been mixed in the sense that they have won at Columbus Crew and Dallas, while also drawing at home with Austin and losing narrowly to Los Angeles FC. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is the recent results pattern, and that points to a tight game with New England having the edge at Gillette Stadium.

Minnesota United’s 3-4-2-1 has been good enough to keep them in matches, but New England’s 4-3-3 has been delivering consistent results and should give them enough attacking threat to find a decisive goal. Both sides have been scoring regularly in the supplied results, so a narrow home win looks the most data-backed call rather than a comfortable one. Match Prediction: New England 2-1 Minnesota United

Form Guide & Team Overview

New England

New England arrive in strong league form, with five matches unbeaten and four wins in that run. Their recent results show a clear pattern of tight games, as each of the last four wins or draws has been decided by one goal or finished level.

At home, they have beaten Philadelphia Union 2-1 and Charlotte 1-0, which underlines a solid record at Gillette Stadium in the supplied data. They have also taken points away at Inter Miami and won at Atlanta United and against Columbus Crew, so the overall trend is one of consistency rather than high-scoring dominance.

New England Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 9 May 2026 641New England vs 275Philadelphia Union 2 – 1 W Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 641New England vs 260119Charlotte 1 – 0 W Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 641New England 1 – 1 D Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 3645Atlanta United vs 641New England 1 – 2 W Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 641New England vs 577Columbus Crew 2 – 1 W Gillette Stadium

Minnesota United

Minnesota United’s recent league form is also respectable, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. The results suggest they are capable of competing both home and away, with away wins at Columbus Crew and Dallas standing out.

Their most recent match was a 2-2 draw with Austin, which followed a narrow 0-1 home loss to Los Angeles FC. Before that, they had kept clean sheets in wins over Dallas and Portland Timbers, so the data points to a side that can be organised but is not always straightforward to predict.

Minnesota United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 10 May 2026 3639Minnesota United vs 254172Austin 2 – 2 D Allianz Field
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 577Columbus Crew vs 3639Minnesota United 2 – 3 W Historic Crew Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 3639Minnesota United vs 147671Los Angeles FC 0 – 1 L Allianz Field
Major League Soccer 23 Apr 2026 583Dallas vs 3639Minnesota United 0 – 1 W Toyota Stadium
Major League Soccer 19 Apr 2026 3639Minnesota United vs 607Portland Timbers 2 – 0 W Allianz Field

Team News & Injury Report

New England

  • Leonardo Campana (Hamstring Injury)

Minnesota United

  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane (Special Leave)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

New England vs Minnesota United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

New England (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Matt Turner (Goalkeeper), Ethan Kohler (Defender), Mamadou Fofana (Defender), Peyton Miller (Defender), Will Sands (Defender), Alhassan Yusuf (Midfielder), Brooklyn Raines (Midfielder), Carles Gil (Midfielder), Dor Turgeman (Attacker), Griffin Yow (Attacker), Luca Langoni (Attacker)

New England’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them width through the front line while keeping enough central support from midfield to link play into attack. That shape also allows them to press higher and use their home momentum to sustain pressure around Minnesota United’s back three.

Minnesota United (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Drake Callender (Goalkeeper), Jefferson Díaz (Defender), Morris Duggan (Defender), Nicolás Romero (Defender), Anthony Markanich Jr. (Midfielder), Devin Padelford (Midfielder), Nectarios Triantis (Midfielder), Owen Gene (Midfielder), Joaquín Pereyra (Attacker), Kelvin Yeboah (Attacker), Tomás Chancalay (Attacker)

Minnesota United’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should provide a compact defensive base with wing support from the wide midfield areas. It also gives Joaquín Pereyra and the other advanced attacker roles space to operate between the lines and support Kelvin Yeboah.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

New England Minnesota United Key Battle Overview
New England Minnesota United Dor Turgeman against Jefferson Díaz could be decisive if New England’s forward can find space between the lines and turn chances into shots.
New England Minnesota United Alhassan Yusuf against Anthony Markanich Jr. looks important because control in midfield and the wide channels may shape who gets on the front foot.
New England Minnesota United Dor Turgeman is key for New England because he has been part of their recent attacking output and is named in the predicted front line again.
New England Minnesota United Joaquín Pereyra is key for Minnesota United because he is one of the main advanced outlets in their 3-4-2-1 and links their attacks.

FAQs

How to watch New England vs Minnesota United

New England vs Minnesota United at 00:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for New England vs Minnesota United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be New England 2-1 Minnesota United in this match.

Can you bet on New England vs Minnesota United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for New England vs Minnesota United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.15%
No 79.85%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.82%
No 85.18%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.79%
No 95.21%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.64%
No 6.44%
Equal 5.92%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.26%
No 12.36%
Equal 8.38%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.81%
No 20.74%
Equal 10.45%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.12%
No 31.19%
Equal 11.68%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.28%
No 42.88%
Equal 11.84%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.83%
No 65.72%
Equal 9.45%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
New England 36.09%
Minnesota United 24.77%
Draw 39.14%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.18%
No 30.82%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / New England 67.20%
Draw / Minnesota United 57.90%
New England / Minnesota United 74.96%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.61%
No 66.39%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.48%
No 80.52%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.88%
No 63.12%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.19%
No 20.81%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.74%
No 24.26%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.53%
No 92.47%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.28%
No 65.72%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.28%
No 54.72%
Equal 11%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
New England 52.61%
Minnesota United 41.90%
Draw 5.49%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
New England / New England 26.36%
New England / Minnesota United 2.77%
New England / Draw 6.08%
Minnesota United / New England 4.17%
Minnesota United / Minnesota United 15.01%
Minnesota United / Draw 5.87%
Draw / Draw 14.05%
Draw / New England 15.60%
Draw / Minnesota United 10.08%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.56%
No 2.83%
Equal 3.62%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.60%
No 55.40%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.58%
2-1 9.17%
1-0 8.27%
1-2 7.85%
OTHER 1 7.29%
0-1 7.09%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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