Toronto vs Inter Miami: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Toronto vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 18:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Toronto vs Inter Miami
Competition Major League Soccer
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 18:00 BST
Venue BMO Field

Match Prediction: Toronto 1-2 Inter Miami

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Toronto25.14%
Inter Miami49.46%
Draw25.40%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes52.75%
No47.25%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes51.38%
No48.62%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Major League Soccer 27 Sep 2025 111Toronto vs 239235Inter Miami 1 – 1 BMO Field
Major League Soccer 07 Apr 2025 239235Inter Miami vs 111Toronto 1 – 1 Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 05 Oct 2024 111Toronto vs 239235Inter Miami 0 – 1 BMO Field
Major League Soccer 18 Jul 2024 239235Inter Miami vs 111Toronto 3 – 1 Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 21 Sep 2023 239235Inter Miami vs 111Toronto 4 – 0 Chase Stadium

Toronto have been drawing plenty of games, with four of their last five in all competitions finishing level, so another tight contest looks the most natural read. They have also been involved in a few high-scoring matches at BMO Field, which suggests they can both score and concede. Inter Miami arrive with a mixed run, but their away wins at Real Salt Lake and Colorado Rapids show they can still get results on the road.

The head-to-head record also points towards a competitive game rather than a one-sided one, with three of the last five meetings ending level or by a single goal. Inter Miami’s recent matches have carried more goals than Toronto’s, so there is a decent chance both sides find openings. Toronto’s home draw trend and Inter Miami’s attacking output make a narrow away edge or another stalemate the likeliest outcomes.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Toronto

Toronto’s recent league form is built around draws, with four of their last five matches ending level. They drew 1-1 with SJ Earthquakes, 3-3 with Philadelphia Union, 3-3 with Austin and 1-1 with Cincinnati, with the only defeat in that run a 1-2 loss to Atlanta United.

That pattern suggests Toronto are staying in games, but not quite closing them out. The goals against Atlanta, Philadelphia Union and Austin also show their matches have been open, especially at home.

Toronto Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 111Toronto vs 287SJ Earthquakes 1 – 1 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 3645Atlanta United 1 – 2 L BMO Field
Major League Soccer 22 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 275Philadelphia Union 3 – 3 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 254172Austin 3 – 3 D BMO Field
Major League Soccer 11 Apr 2026 111Toronto vs 3636Cincinnati 1 – 1 D BMO Field

Inter Miami

Inter Miami’s recent league form is more mixed, but there is enough there to suggest they remain dangerous. They lost 3-4 to Orlando City and drew 1-1 with New England, but before that they beat Real Salt Lake 2-0 and Colorado Rapids 3-2 away from home.

That away record is the main positive in the run. Even so, the defeat to Orlando City and the draw with New England show they have not been fully secure at the back.

Inter Miami Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Major League Soccer 2 May 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 204Orlando City 3 – 4 L Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 25 Apr 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 641New England 1 – 1 D Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer 23 Apr 2026 1062Real Salt Lake vs 239235Inter Miami 0 – 2 W America First Field
Major League Soccer 18 Apr 2026 179Colorado Rapids vs 239235Inter Miami 2 – 3 W Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Major League Soccer 11 Apr 2026 239235Inter Miami vs 383New York RB 2 – 2 D Chase Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Toronto

  • Josh Sargent (Thigh Problems)

Inter Miami

  • David Ayala (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Toronto vs Inter Miami predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Toronto (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Luka Gavran (Goalkeeper), Kobe Franklin (Defender), Lazar Stefanović (Defender), Raheem Edwards (Defender), Zane Monlouis (Defender), Alonso Coello (Midfielder), Dániel Sallói (Midfielder), Jonathan Osorio (Midfielder), Malik Henry (Midfielder), Markus Cimermancic (Midfielder), Emilio Aristizábal (Attacker)

Toronto’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base in midfield, with Alonso Coello helping to screen the defence and keep the shape compact. Emilio Aristizábal can then lead the line with support from the three attacking midfielders, giving Toronto a route to counter and work the ball into advanced areas.

Inter Miami (4-2-2-2)

Predicted lineup: Dayne St. Clair (Goalkeeper), Ian Fray (Defender), Maximiliano Falcón (Defender), Micael (Defender), Noah Allen (Defender), Lionel Messi (Midfielder), Rodrigo De Paul (Midfielder), Telasco Segovia (Midfielder), Yannick Bright (Midfielder), Germán Berterame (Attacker), Luis Suárez (Attacker)

Inter Miami’s predicted 4-2-2-2 gives them a strong central presence, with Lionel Messi and Rodrigo De Paul able to link play behind the front pair. That shape should also allow Germán Berterame and Luis Suárez to stay close together and attack Toronto’s back line with direct combinations.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Toronto Inter Miami Text
Toronto Inter Miami Emilio Aristizábal will need to time his runs carefully against Ian Fray, because Inter Miami’s right side could be tested if Toronto break quickly.
Toronto Inter Miami Alonso Coello’s job against Lionel Messi will be to limit space between the lines, which could be crucial to Toronto keeping the game under control.
Toronto Inter Miami Emilio Aristizábal is key for Toronto because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and gives them their clearest route to goal.
Toronto Inter Miami Germán Berterame is key for Inter Miami because he has been part of their recent attacking line and should benefit from the support around him in a narrow front two.

FAQs

How to watch Toronto vs Inter Miami

Toronto vs Inter Miami at 18:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Toronto vs Inter Miami?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Toronto 1-2 Inter Miami in this match.

Can you bet on Toronto vs Inter Miami?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Toronto vs Inter Miami.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Toronto / Toronto 16%
Toronto / Inter Miami 3.59%
Toronto / Draw 5.62%
Inter Miami / Toronto 2.43%
Inter Miami / Inter Miami 26.75%
Inter Miami / Draw 5.42%
Draw / Draw 14.12%
Draw / Toronto 9.86%
Draw / Inter Miami 16.22%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.93%
No 40.07%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.69%
No 25.31%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.49%
No 10.63%
Equal 7.88%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 47.57%
No 40.34%
Equal 12.09%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.41%
No 91.59%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.14%
No 63.86%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.38%
No 89.62%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.56%
No 82.44%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.21%
No 96.79%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.37%
No 5.28%
Equal 5.35%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Toronto 25.84%
Inter Miami 34.43%
Draw 39.74%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.07%
No 69.93%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.19%
No 71.81%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.71%
No 78.29%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.72%
No 2.18%
Equal 3.10%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.66%
No 28.67%
Equal 11.67%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.14%
No 52.43%
Equal 11.43%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Toronto 50.54%
Draw / Inter Miami 74.86%
Toronto / Inter Miami 74.60%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 47.29%
No 52.71%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.33%
No 18.51%
Equal 10.16%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.81%
No 22.19%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
0-1 11.09%
1-1 11.02%
1-2 9.31%
0-2 8.80%
OTHER 2 8.18%
0-0 7.51%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Toronto 40.41%
Inter Miami 52.08%
Draw 7.51%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.18%
No 63.86%
Equal 9.96%

For the best Major League Soccer outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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