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Henan look to extend Shenzhen dominance as both sides search for a lift in Round 12

7 Min Read

Henan Songshan Longmen host Shenzhen Peng City at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium on Friday morning in a Super League meeting that carries more weight than the table alone might suggest.

Both sides arrive with mixed momentum, but the fixture has a clear edge: Henan have had the better of Shenzhen in recent meetings, while Shenzhen are still trying to find consistency after a run of narrow results.

Look at our Data and Stats for Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Peng City

Why it matters

For Henan, this is a chance to steady themselves after a heavy defeat to Chengdu Rongcheng and remind the division that their home win over Liaoning Tieren FC was not a one-off. A positive result would help them turn a stop-start spell into something more stable.

For Shenzhen, the match is about stopping the slide from becoming a pattern. Their recent games have been tight, but tight defeats still leave little room for progress, and a trip to a side that has beaten them twice in the last three meetings is a difficult place to reset.

Form picture

Henan’s recent league form has been uneven but not without encouragement. They have taken four points from their last two away games, including a 1-1 draw with Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and a goalless draw at Qingdao West Coast, while the 4-0 home win over Liaoning Tieren FC showed what they can do when they get on the front foot.

That said, the two home defeats either side of that result, including a 0-3 loss to Shanghai Shenhua and the latest 0-3 setback at Chengdu Rongcheng, underline how quickly their performances can swing. The challenge now is to make their stronger spells last longer.

Shenzhen’s recent run has been more about narrow margins than clear control. They have lost by a single goal to Shandong Taishan, Zhejiang and Beijing Guoan, drawn 1-1 away to Shanghai Port, and edged Liaoning Tieren FC 1-0 at home.

That sequence suggests a side that is competitive but struggling to turn decent passages into points. The concern is not collapse, but the lack of a decisive edge in either box.

Key storyline

The main tactical theme is likely to be Henan’s more direct 4-2-3-1 against Shenzhen’s compact 4-1-4-1. Henan have used their midfield runners and central support around Gustavo to create pressure, while Shenzhen have tended to keep their shape and rely on Wesley Moraes as the focal point.

With both teams showing a preference for structure over chaos, the game may hinge on which side can impose itself in midfield for longer spells. Henan’s home setting and Shenzhen’s recent habit of narrow defeats point towards a contest where one breakthrough may matter more than sustained dominance.

Team news

Henan are expected to stay close to the side that has been used in recent league matches, with Gouming Wang in goal and a back four built around Iago Maidana and Lucas Maia. The likely shape remains a 4-2-3-1, with Bruno Nazário and Shangyuan Wang among the main creative outlets behind Gustavo.

The only listed injury concern for Henan is Zhao Ke, who is out with thigh problems. That should limit disruption to the core structure, although it does leave them with less depth in reserve.

Shenzhen are without Eden Karzev through suspension, which is a notable absence given his recent involvement in midfield. Their likely 4-1-4-1 still points to a disciplined approach, with Tim Chow and Dai Wei Jun expected to help screen the defence and feed Wesley Moraes.

There may be a slight reshuffle in midfield to cover Karzev’s absence, but the overall plan should remain the same: stay compact, keep the game tight, and look for moments to release Wesley Moraes early.

Tactical battle

Henan’s best route may be to push Shenzhen back and force their midfield line to defend deeper than they would like. If Bruno Nazário can find space between the lines, Henan should be able to create more sustained pressure around the penalty area.

Shenzhen, meanwhile, will likely try to slow the tempo and make the match about patience rather than rhythm. Their success may depend on whether Wesley Moraes can hold the ball up well enough to give the visitors an outlet when Henan commit numbers forward.

Recent meetings

Henan have had the stronger of the recent head-to-heads, winning 4-1 away and 3-1 at home in 2025, after a goalless draw in 2024, with Shenzhen’s last victory in the fixture coming in April 2024.

Reporter’s view

This feels like a match where Henan’s home advantage and better recent record in the fixture give them a slight edge, even if their own form has been inconsistent. They have shown enough attacking threat to suggest they can trouble Shenzhen, especially if the visitors are forced to defend for long periods.

Shenzhen are unlikely to make it easy, though. Their recent results show a team that stays in games, and the absence of Eden Karzev may make them even more cautious. If Henan start well, the hosts should have enough to control the key moments and edge a tight contest.

Prediction

Henan Songshan Longmen to win a close, low-scoring match.

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