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Notts County vs Chesterfield: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Notts County vs Chesterfield in the League Two. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Notts County vs Chesterfield
Competition League Two
Date Friday, 15 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Meadow Lane Stadium

Match Prediction: Notts County 2-1 Chesterfield

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Notts County39.53%
Chesterfield34.19%
Draw26.28%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes56.43%
No43.57%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes51.65%
No48.35%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
League Two 10 May 2026 248Chesterfield vs 98Notts County 0 – 1 Technique Stadium
League Two 14 Mar 2026 98Notts County vs 248Chesterfield 2 – 3 Meadow Lane Stadium
League Two 26 Dec 2025 248Chesterfield vs 98Notts County 2 – 0 Technique Stadium
League Two 15 Mar 2025 98Notts County vs 248Chesterfield 1 – 2 Meadow Lane Stadium
League Two 12 Oct 2024 248Chesterfield vs 98Notts County 2 – 2 Technique Stadium

Notts County come into this on the back of a 1-0 away win over Chesterfield, and that result gives them a clear recent reference point for how this tie can be managed. With no injuries reported for either side and both teams using familiar shapes, the game looks set to be decided by small margins rather than major tactical surprises. Notts County’s recent results also show a couple of low-scoring wins and a draw, which points towards a tight contest at Meadow Lane.

Chesterfield have still been winning games in their recent run, but they were beaten 1-0 by Notts County in the latest meeting and that may shape the approach here. Their last five league matches include three wins, so they are not arriving short of confidence, but the head-to-head data suggests Notts County have had the edge in the most recent fixture. Match Prediction: Notts County 2-1 Chesterfield

Form Guide & Team Overview

Notts County

Notts County’s recent league form is mixed but competitive, with two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five. The standout result is the 1-0 away win over Chesterfield, while the other victories were also narrow, including a 1-0 success at Colchester United.

There is also a 1-1 home draw with Bristol Rovers in that sequence, alongside defeats to Barnet and Cambridge United. That pattern suggests Notts County have been involved in close games more often than not, with their best results coming when they keep things tight.

Notts County Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
League Two 10 May 2026 248Chesterfield vs 98Notts County 0 – 1 W Technique Stadium
League Two 2 May 2026 98Notts County vs 230Bristol Rovers 1 – 1 D Meadow Lane Stadium
League Two 25 Apr 2026 74Colchester United vs 98Notts County 0 – 1 W JobServe Community Stadium
League Two 18 Apr 2026 98Notts County vs 318Barnet 1 – 2 L Meadow Lane Stadium
League Two 11 Apr 2026 232Cambridge United vs 98Notts County 4 – 0 L Abbey Stadium

Chesterfield

Chesterfield’s recent league form is stronger on paper, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. They beat Swindon Town 2-1 away, Crewe Alexandra 2-0 at home and Grimsby Town 2-1 at home, which shows they have been able to find results in different settings.

Their only defeat in that run was the 1-0 loss to Notts County, so they have still been competitive even when beaten. The 1-1 draw with Fleetwood Town also fits a run that has generally been productive, but the latest head-to-head loss is the key recent marker.

Chesterfield Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
League Two 10 May 2026 248Chesterfield vs 98Notts County 0 – 1 L Technique Stadium
League Two 2 May 2026 285Swindon Town vs 248Chesterfield 1 – 2 W The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
League Two 25 Apr 2026 248Chesterfield vs 87Crewe Alexandra 2 – 0 W Technique Stadium
League Two 18 Apr 2026 317Fleetwood Town vs 248Chesterfield 1 – 1 D Highbury Stadium
League Two 14 Apr 2026 248Chesterfield vs 198Grimsby Town 2 – 1 W Technique Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Notts County

  • No injuries have been reported for the current season.

Chesterfield

  • No injuries have been reported for the current season.

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Notts County vs Chesterfield predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Notts County (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: James Belshaw (Goalkeeper), Jacob Bedeau (Defender), Lucas Ness (Defender), Rod McDonald (Defender), Jodi Jones (Midfielder), Nick Tsaroulla (Midfielder), Oliver Norburn (Midfielder), Scott Robertson (Midfielder), Alassana Jatta (Attacker), Jayden Luker (Attacker), Tom Iorpenda (Attacker)

Notts County’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid base at the back, with the wing-backs able to support both the defensive line and the attack. That shape should also allow Alassana Jatta and the two players behind him to stay close enough to Chesterfield’s defence to create pressure in the final third.

Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Ryan Boot (Goalkeeper), Kyle McFadzean (Defender), Lewis Gordon (Defender), S. Curtis (Defender), Sil Swinkels (Defender), Armando Dobra (Midfielder), Dilan Markanday (Midfielder), Liam Mandeville (Midfielder), Ryan Stirk (Midfielder), Sammy Braybrooke (Midfielder), Lee Bonis (Attacker)

Chesterfield’s predicted 4-2-3-1 offers a more traditional structure, with two holding midfielders helping to protect the back four. It also gives Lee Bonis a clear focal point up front, while the three players behind him can look to supply him between the lines.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Notts County Chesterfield Key Battle Overview
Notts County Chesterfield Alassana Jatta against Kyle McFadzean looks important because Notts County’s main attacking threat will need to be handled well by Chesterfield’s experienced defender.
Notts County Chesterfield Jodi Jones against Armando Dobra could matter in the spaces between midfield and attack, where both sides will want to create their best openings.
Notts County Chesterfield Alassana Jatta is key for Notts County because he is the central attacking reference in their predicted shape and featured in the recent win over Chesterfield.
Notts County Chesterfield Lee Bonis is key for Chesterfield because he is the lone striker in their 4-2-3-1 and the main outlet for turning midfield support into chances.

FAQs

How to watch Notts County vs Chesterfield

Fans in the UK are able to watch Notts County vs Chesterfield on NOW, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event at 20:00 BST on Friday, 15 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Notts County vs Chesterfield?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Notts County 2-1 Chesterfield in this match.

Can you bet on Notts County vs Chesterfield?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Notts County vs Chesterfield.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.28%
No 70.72%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.01%
No 83.99%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.52%
No 26.48%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.94%
No 60.06%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.20%
No 83.80%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.40%
No 94.60%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.05%
No 30.95%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.93%
No 64.07%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.24%
No 85.76%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.47%
No 95.53%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.67%
No 3.17%
Equal 4.16%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.89%
No 7.33%
Equal 6.77%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.65%
No 70.35%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.71%
No 70.35%
Equal 8.94%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.50%
No 47.37%
Equal 12.13%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.65%
No 59.50%
Equal 10.84%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Notts County / Notts County 22.95%
Notts County / Chesterfield 2.44%
Notts County / Draw 5.65%
Chesterfield / Notts County 2.40%
Chesterfield / Chesterfield 17.27%
Chesterfield / Draw 6.17%
Draw / Draw 16.07%
Draw / Notts County 15.11%
Draw / Chesterfield 11.95%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Notts County 32.15%
Chesterfield 24.83%
Draw 43.02%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Notts County 49.21%
Chesterfield 44.35%
Draw 6.44%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Notts County 65.81%
Draw / Chesterfield 60.47%
Notts County / Chesterfield 73.72%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.53%
1-0 9.40%
2-1 8.64%
1-2 8.12%
0-1 8.09%
2-0 6.72%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.05%
No 23.95%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.48%
No 14.11%
Equal 9.42%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.03%
No 23.52%
Equal 11.45%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.63%
No 34.97%
Equal 12.40%

For the best League Two outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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