VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 17:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München
Competition Bundesliga
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 17:30 BST
Venue Volkswagen Arena

Match Prediction: VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Bayern München

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

VfL Wolfsburg11.47%
FC Bayern München70.67%
Draw17.85%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes48.66%
No51.34%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes59.52%
No40.48%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Bundesliga 11 Jan 2026 503FC Bayern München vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 8 – 1 Allianz Arena
Bundesliga 18 Jan 2025 503FC Bayern München vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 3 – 2 Allianz Arena
Bundesliga 25 Aug 2024 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 503FC Bayern München 2 – 3 Volkswagen Arena
Bundesliga 12 May 2024 503FC Bayern München vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 2 – 0 Allianz Arena
Bundesliga 20 Dec 2023 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 503FC Bayern München 1 – 2 Volkswagen Arena

VfL Wolfsburg come into this with a mixed recent run, but the home draw with Borussia Mönchengladbach and the away point at SC Freiburg suggest they can stay organised for spells. The concern is that their results have also included a 3-6 defeat to Bayer 04 Leverkusen and a 1-2 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt, so they have been vulnerable when games open up. FC Bayern München, by contrast, have been scoring heavily, with four goals against FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart, plus five at St. Pauli, which points to a side that can punish any lapse. Match Prediction: VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 FC Bayern München

Bayern’s recent draw with Heidenheim shows they are not completely immune to being tested, but their overall attacking output has been far stronger than Wolfsburg’s. Wolfsburg’s best route is likely to be keeping the game compact and trying to use their two forwards efficiently, yet Bayern’s quality in central areas should still give them the edge. With the head-to-head also heavily in Bayern’s favour, the visitors look the likelier winners even if Wolfsburg make them work for it. A narrow home resistance is possible, but the numbers still point towards Bayern controlling the decisive moments.

Form Guide & Team Overview

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg’s recent league form has been patchy, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five. The draw at SC Freiburg and the goalless home draw with Borussia Mönchengladbach show they can stay in games, but the 3-6 loss to Bayer 04 Leverkusen underlines how exposed they can be defensively.

Their 2-1 win at FC Union Berlin was a useful result, yet it sits alongside a 1-2 home defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt. Overall, the pattern is of a side capable of competing, but not one that has been consistently reliable at either end of the pitch.

VfL Wolfsburg Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 3 May 2026 3543SC Freiburg vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 1 D Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga 25 Apr 2026 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 – 0 D Volkswagen Arena
Bundesliga 18 Apr 2026 1079FC Union Berlin vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 2 W Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Bundesliga 11 Apr 2026 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 2 L Volkswagen Arena
Bundesliga 4 Apr 2026 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 6 – 3 L BayArena

FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München’s recent league form has been strong, with four wins and one draw in their last five. They have scored freely throughout that run, including 4-3 at FSV Mainz 05, 4-2 against VfB Stuttgart and 5-0 at St. Pauli.

The 3-3 draw with Heidenheim is the one result that stands out as a warning sign, as it shows they can be dragged into a more open contest. Even so, the overall trend is still positive, and their recent results suggest they are carrying far more attacking momentum than Wolfsburg.

FC Bayern München Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 2 May 2026 503FC Bayern München vs 2831Heidenheim 3 – 3 D Allianz Arena
Bundesliga 25 Apr 2026 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 503FC Bayern München 3 – 4 W Mewa Arena
Bundesliga 19 Apr 2026 503FC Bayern München vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 4 – 2 W Allianz Arena
Bundesliga 11 Apr 2026 353St. Pauli vs 503FC Bayern München 0 – 5 W Millerntor-Stadion
Bundesliga 4 Apr 2026 3543SC Freiburg vs 503FC Bayern München 2 – 3 W Europa-Park Stadion

Team News & Injury Report

VfL Wolfsburg

  • Maximilian Arnold (Groin Problems)

FC Bayern München

  • Raphaël Guerreiro (Torn Muscle Fiber)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

VfL Wolfsburg (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Kamil Grabara (Goalkeeper), Denis Vavro (Defender), Jeanuël Belocian (Defender), Konstantinos Koulierakis (Defender), Christian Eriksen (Midfielder), Joakim Maehle (Midfielder), Patrick Wimmer (Midfielder), Saël Kumbedi (Midfielder), Vinicius de Souza Costa (Midfielder), Adam Daghim (Attacker), Dzenan Pejcinovic (Attacker)

VfL Wolfsburg’s predicted 3-5-2 should give them a solid base, with the back three helping them deal with Bayern’s central threat. Christian Eriksen and the wing-backs will need to connect play quickly if Adam Daghim and Dzenan Pejcinovic are to get enough service.

FC Bayern München (4-3-1-2)

Predicted lineup: Jonas Urbig (Goalkeeper), Hiroki Ito (Defender), Jonathan Tah (Defender), Josip Stanisic (Defender), Min-jae Kim (Defender), Aleksandar Pavlovic (Midfielder), Bara Sapoko Ndiaye (Midfielder), Konrad Laimer (Midfielder), Leon Goretzka (Midfielder), Jamal Musiala (Attacker), Nicolas Jackson (Attacker)

FC Bayern München’s predicted 4-3-1-2 gives them a narrow shape that can overload central areas and keep pressure on Wolfsburg’s midfield line. With Jamal Musiala operating between the lines, Bayern should have a good platform to feed Nicolas Jackson and create chances through the middle.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München Text
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München Adam Daghim will need to stretch Hiroki Ito and make the most of limited space if Wolfsburg are to threaten on the break.
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München Christian Eriksen against Aleksandar Pavlovic could shape the midfield tempo, with Wolfsburg needing Eriksen to keep possession under pressure.
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München Adam Daghim is key for VfL Wolfsburg because his movement and finishing offer one of their clearest routes to goal in this setup.
VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München Jamal Musiala is key for FC Bayern München because he can link midfield and attack, and his presence between the lines should unsettle Wolfsburg.

FAQs

How to watch VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München

Fans in the UK are able to watch VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 17:30 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Bayern München in this match.

Can you bet on VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.60%
No 11.35%
Equal 7.05%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.71%
No 18.40%
Equal 8.89%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.71%
No 37.50%
Equal 10.79%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.71%
No 48.29%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.15%
No 48.29%
Equal 10.56%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.70%
No 3.08%
Equal 3.22%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.65%
No 6.30%
Equal 5.05%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.50%
No 27.29%
Equal 10.22%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.47%
No 83.53%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.49%
No 60.51%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.92%
No 1.27%
Equal 1.80%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.46%
No 70.54%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.30%
No 34.70%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
VfL Wolfsburg / VfL Wolfsburg 7.97%
VfL Wolfsburg / FC Bayern München 4.53%
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 3.06%
FC Bayern München / VfL Wolfsburg 1.28%
FC Bayern München / FC Bayern München 49.52%
FC Bayern München / Draw 3.58%
Draw / Draw 9.08%
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 4.79%
Draw / FC Bayern München 16.20%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
VfL Wolfsburg 16.77%
FC Bayern München 53.27%
Draw 29.96%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.96%
No 98.04%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 29.32%
Draw / FC Bayern München 88.52%
VfL Wolfsburg / FC Bayern München 82.14%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 2 21.98%
0-2 11.82%
0-1 11.30%
0-3 9.01%
1-2 7.64%
0-0 6.58%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.10%
No 20.90%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.31%
No 60.69%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.81%
No 94.19%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.74%
No 13.26%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.19%
No 77.81%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.38%
No 58.62%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
VfL Wolfsburg 27.04%
FC Bayern München 66.38%
Draw 6.58%

For the best Bundesliga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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