Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Celta de Vigo vs Elche in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 13:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Celta de Vigo vs Elche |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Date | Sunday, 03 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 13:00 BST |
| Venue | Estadio de Balaídos |
Match Prediction: Celta de Vigo 2-1 Elche
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
xG Stats & Match Facts
| Celta de Vigo | Metric | Elche | What it suggests |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | Elche have the edge on this metric. |
| 1.91 | Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) | 1.43 | Celta de Vigo have created the better quality shots on target. |
| 0.68 | Expected Points (xPTS) | 2.08 | Elche are rated stronger by expected points. |
| 0.00 | Expected Goals Penalties (xGP) | 0.79 | Elche have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.00 | Expected Goals Free Kicks (xGFK) | 0.07 | Elche have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.04 | Expected Goals Corners (xGC) | 0.14 | Elche have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.69 | Expected Goals Non Penalty Goals (npxG) | 0.90 | Elche have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.11 | Expected Goals Set Play (xGSP) | 1.00 | Elche have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.57 | Expected Goals Open Play (xGOP) | 0.69 | Elche carry the bigger open-play threat. |
| 1.69 | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 0.69 | Elche have the stronger defensive xG profile here. |
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 03 May 2026 |  Celta de Vigo vs  Elche |
3 – 1 | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 28 Sep 2025 | Elche vs Celta de Vigo |
2 – 1 | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2023 | Celta de Vigo vs Elche |
1 – 0 | Abanca-Balaídos (Vigo) |
| La Liga | 06 Jan 2023 | Elche vs Celta de Vigo |
0 – 1 | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| La Liga | 15 May 2022 | Celta de Vigo vs Elche |
1 – 0 | Abanca-Balaídos (Vigo) |
Celta de Vigo come into this one with the edge from the recent 3-1 win over Elche, and the xG numbers also point to a game where they can be efficient rather than dominant. Their expected goals figure is lower than Elche’s, but their expected goals against is much better, which suggests they may be more secure without the ball. At Balaídos, that balance could be enough to control the key moments and make the most of their chances.
Elche have shown they can score and win away from home, but their recent league results also include a defeat to Celta de Vigo and a narrow loss at Rayo Vallecano. The xG data suggests they have created more than Celta de Vigo overall, yet they have also allowed more at the other end. Match Prediction: Celta de Vigo 2-1 Elche
Form Guide & Team Overview
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo’s recent league form is mixed, with two wins and three defeats across their last five. The standout result is the 3-1 home win over Elche, while the losses to Villarreal, FC Barcelona and Real Oviedo show they have not been fully consistent.
Across all competitions, the pattern is similar, with the 3-1 win over Elche followed by defeats to Villarreal, FC Barcelona, SC Freiburg and Real Oviedo. That run suggests Celta de Vigo have been capable of producing a result, but they have also been vulnerable when the game becomes more open.
Celta de Vigo Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 3 May 2026 | Celta de Vigo vs Elche |
3 – 1 | W | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 |  Villarreal vs Celta de Vigo |
2 – 1 | L | Estadio de la Cerámica |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 |  FC Barcelona vs Celta de Vigo |
1 – 0 | L | Camp Nou |
| La Liga | 12 Apr 2026 | Celta de Vigo vs  Real Oviedo |
0 – 3 | L | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 5 Apr 2026 |  Valencia vs Celta de Vigo |
2 – 3 | W | Estadio de Mestalla |
Elche
Elche’s recent league form has been uneven but competitive, with three wins and two defeats in their last five. They beat Real Oviedo, Atlético Madrid and Valencia, which shows they have been able to put together positive results, but they also lost to Celta de Vigo and Rayo Vallecano.
Their all-competition run is the same sequence, so there is no extra cup form to lean on. The main takeaway is that Elche have been capable of scoring in wins, but the defeat to Celta de Vigo is a reminder that they can be exposed against this opponent.
Elche Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 3 May 2026 | Celta de Vigo vs Elche |
3 – 1 | L | Estadio de Balaídos |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 | Real Oviedo vs Elche |
1 – 2 | W | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 | Elche vs  Atlético Madrid |
3 – 2 | W | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| La Liga | 11 Apr 2026 | Elche vs Valencia |
1 – 0 | W | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| La Liga | 3 Apr 2026 |  Rayo Vallecano vs Elche |
1 – 0 | L | Estadio de Vallecas |
Team News & Injury Report
Celta de Vigo
- Miguel Román (Metatarsal Fracture)
Elche
- Albert Niculaesei (Cruciate Ligament Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Celta de Vigo (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Ionuț Radu (Goalkeeper), Javi Rodríguez (Defender), Yoel Lago (Defender), Álvaro Núñez (Defender), Fer López (Midfielder), Ilaix Moriba (Midfielder), Javi Rueda (Midfielder), Sergio Carreira (Midfielder), Ferran Jutglà (Attacker), Hugo Álvarez (Attacker), Iago Aspas (Attacker)
Celta de Vigo’s 3-4-2-1 should give them a solid base with three defenders and enough midfield numbers to keep the ball moving through the centre. With Ferran Jutglà and Hugo Álvarez supporting Iago Aspas, they have a front line that can work between the lines and attack the box quickly.
Elche (3-4-1-2)
Predicted lineup: Matías Dituro (Goalkeeper), David Affengruber (Defender), John Donald (Defender), Pedro Bigas (Defender), Adrià Pedrosa (Midfielder), Aleix Febas (Midfielder), Marc Aguado (Midfielder), Tete Morente (Midfielder), André Silva (Attacker), Gonzalo Villar (Attacker), Álvaro Rodríguez (Attacker)
Elche’s 3-4-1-2 gives them two forwards with a creator just behind, which should help them link play and get runners close to André Silva. The wing-back areas will be important for stretching Celta de Vigo and giving Elche a route into advanced positions.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Celta de Vigo | Elche | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo | Elche | Ferran Jutglà against David Affengruber could decide how much space Celta de Vigo get in the final third. |
| Celta de Vigo | Elche | Fer López against Adrià Pedrosa is a key midfield duel because it can shape who controls the left side of the pitch. |
| Celta de Vigo | Elche | Ferran Jutglà is key for Celta de Vigo because he offers a direct attacking threat in a system built to support the front three. |
| Celta de Vigo | Elche | André Silva is key for Elche because he is one of the main finishing outlets in a side that has scored in several of its recent wins. |
FAQs
For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
