Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:15 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Date | Sunday, 03 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 15:15 BST |
| Venue | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
Match Prediction: Getafe 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
xG Stats & Match Facts
| Getafe | Metric | Rayo Vallecano | What it suggests |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | Expected Goals (xG) | 0.84 | Getafe have the edge on this metric. |
| 1.07 | Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) | 1.41 | Rayo Vallecano have created the better quality shots on target. |
| 1.83 | Expected Points (xPTS) | 0.91 | Getafe are rated stronger by expected points. |
| 0.79 | Expected Goals Penalties (xGP) | 0.00 | Getafe have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.07 | Expected Goals Corners (xGC) | 0.00 | Getafe have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.68 | Expected Goals Non Penalty Goals (npxG) | 0.84 | Rayo Vallecano have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.97 | Expected Goals Set Play (xGSP) | 0.00 | Getafe have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.50 | Expected Goals Open Play (xGOP) | 0.84 | Rayo Vallecano carry the bigger open-play threat. |
| 0.84 | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 1.47 | Getafe have the stronger defensive xG profile here. |
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 03 May 2026 |  Getafe vs  Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 2 | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| La Liga | 02 Jan 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe |
1 – 1 | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 02 May 2025 | Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe |
1 – 0 | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 24 Aug 2024 | Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 0 | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| La Liga | 13 Apr 2024 | Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe |
0 – 0 | Estadio de Vallecas |
Getafe come into this with the better xG figure at 1.47 compared with Rayo Vallecano’s 0.84, but the expected points model still leans towards the visitors at 1.83 to 0.91. That suggests Getafe may have had more of the ball or created more in patches, yet Rayo have been the more efficient side in the key moments. The recent head-to-head also points towards a tight game, with Rayo winning the last meeting 2-0 and the previous two league meetings before that finishing 1-1 and 1-0.
A narrow away win fits the recent results and the underlying numbers, especially with Getafe having lost their last two league matches without scoring. Rayo have also shown they can manage games, with three wins in their last five league outings and another clean sheet in the latest meeting between the sides. If this follows the pattern of the recent head-to-heads, chances may be limited and one goal could decide it.
Form Guide & Team Overview
Getafe
Getafe’s recent league form has been mixed, with two wins and three defeats across their last five. They beat Real Sociedad 1-0 away and Athletic Club 2-0 at home, but they have also lost 0-1 to Levante, 0-2 to FC Barcelona and 0-2 to Rayo Vallecano.
The main concern is that both of their last two league games ended in defeat without a goal scored. That makes their current run look a little flat in attack, even though the earlier wins show they are capable of keeping things tight when they are on it.
Getafe Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 3 May 2026 | Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 2 | L | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| La Liga | 25 Apr 2026 | Getafe vs  FC Barcelona |
0 – 2 | L | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 |  Real Sociedad vs Getafe |
0 – 1 | W | Anoeta Stadium |
| La Liga | 13 Apr 2026 |  Levante vs Getafe |
1 – 0 | L | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| La Liga | 5 Apr 2026 | Getafe vs  Athletic Club |
2 – 0 | W | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano’s recent league form is stronger overall, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. They beat Getafe 2-0 away, Espanyol 1-0 at home and Elche 1-0 at home, while also drawing 3-3 with Real Sociedad.
Their only league loss in that run was a 0-3 defeat away to Mallorca. Even so, the results suggest a side that has been difficult to break down and efficient enough to turn tight matches in their favour.
Rayo Vallecano Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 3 May 2026 | Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano |
0 – 2 | W | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad |
3 – 3 | D | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 23 Apr 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs  Espanyol |
1 – 0 | W | Estadio de Vallecas |
| La Liga | 12 Apr 2026 |  Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano |
3 – 0 | L | Estadi Mallorca Son Moix |
| La Liga | 3 Apr 2026 | Rayo Vallecano vs  Elche |
1 – 0 | W | Estadio de Vallecas |
Team News & Injury Report
Getafe
- Allan Nyom (Unknown Injury)
- Mauro Arambarri (Unknown Injury)
Rayo Vallecano
- Isi Palazón (Suspension Through Sports Court)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Getafe (5-3-2)
Predicted lineup: David Soria (Goalkeeper), Abdel Abqar (Defender), Davinchi (Defender), Domingos Duarte (Defender), Juan Iglesias (Defender), Kiko Femenía (Defender), Adrián Liso (Midfielder), Luis Milla (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Luis Vázquez (Attacker), Martín Satriano (Attacker)
Getafe’s expected 5-3-2 should give them a compact defensive base, with the wing-backs helping to protect the flanks and keep Rayo’s wide players in check. In possession, the shape points towards direct play into the front two, with Luis Vázquez and Martín Satriano likely to be the main outlets.
Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Augusto Batalla (Goalkeeper), Florian Lejeune (Defender), Iván Balliu (Defender), Jozhua Vertrouwd (Defender), Nobel Mendy (Defender), Alfonso Espino (Midfielder), Gerard Gumbau (Midfielder), Jorge de Frutos (Midfielder), Pathé Ciss (Midfielder), Sergio Camello (Midfielder), Alexandre Zurawski (Attacker)
Rayo Vallecano’s expected 4-2-3-1 gives them a balanced structure, with the double pivot helping them stay secure while the attacking midfield line supports the lone striker. That setup should allow Alexandre Zurawski to stay central and give Rayo a clear reference point when they move forward.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | Luis Vázquez will need to work hard against Florian Lejeune, because Getafe’s direct attacks may depend on him finding space and holding the ball up. |
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | Adrián Liso against Alfonso Espino could be important on Getafe’s left side, especially if they try to create from wide areas. |
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | Luis Vázquez is key for Getafe because the recent data shows they have struggled for goals, so his movement and finishing could decide whether they threaten enough. |
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | Alexandre Zurawski is key for Rayo Vallecano because the away side have been efficient in tight games, and he is the main attacking reference in their 4-2-3-1. |
FAQs
For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
