Sunderland vs Aston Villa Premier League | Predictions | Lineups | Key Stats & Betting Tips

Ben Jardine
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Ben Jardine
Ben Jardine is the managing editor of My Football Facts and has covered football since 2014. He writes across football statistics, history and current affairs, from...
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Match Details

DetailInformation
CompetitionPremier League – (England)
League & RoundPremier League – Matchday 5
Date & TimeSunday, 21 September 2025, 14:00 – (BST)
StadiumStadium of Light

Prediction

Sunderland 1 – 1 Aston Villa

Recent Form

Sunderland: Promoted Grit on Display

Sunderland have started solidly with 4 points from 4 games in the Premier League under Régis Le Bris, focusing on tough defending as a newly promoted side. They drew 1-1 away at West Ham on August 17, where Jack Clarke’s quick break earned a deserved point in a physical match. A 0-0 home stalemate with Fulham on August 24 showed clean-sheet resolve, frustrating the Cottagers despite less ball time. The 0-0 home draw against Nottingham Forest on August 31 continued their stubborn streak. Their projected Matchday 4 away draw at Crystal Palace (1-1) would keep momentum, assuming Anthony Patterson’s saves shine. Averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, Sunderland’s home form at the Stadium of Light is rock-solid (two clean sheets in 2). Clarke’s pace creates moments, but scoring remains tough—against Villa’s attacks, expect a compact setup for a point, with the home crowd boosting morale.

Aston Villa: Talented but Inconsistent

Aston Villa have 5 points from 4 under Unai Emery, with creative sparks but too many dropped points. They drew 1-1 at home to Newcastle on August 17, Ollie Watkins’ equalizer salvaging a point after a slow start. A 1-0 away loss to Brentford on August 24 was unlucky, undone by a set-piece. The 0-3 home defeat to Crystal Palace on August 31 was shocking, exposing midfield gaps. A projected 1-0 away win at Everton on Matchday 4 would rebound, with Watkins’ finishing key. Averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Villa’s away form is shaky (1 loss in 2). Emery’s pressing creates chances, but injuries have hurt—expect Watkins to threaten, but Sunderland’s organization could force a draw in this tricky trip.

Sunderland Last 5 League Matches

TeamsResultRed CardsYellow CardsCornersFree KicksPossessionAssists
C Palace Vs Sunderland (a)TBATBATBATBATBATBATBA
Sunderland Vs Nottm Forest (h)0 – 00 – 02 – 34 – 511 – 1048% – 52%0 – 0
Sunderland Vs Fulham (h)0 – 00 – 11 – 23 – 612 – 945% – 55%0 – 0
West Ham Vs Sunderland (a)1 – 10 – 03 – 17 – 210 – 1260% – 40%1 – 1
Sunderland Vs Leeds Utd (h)1 – 00 – 02 – 45 – 49 – 1352% – 48%1 – 0

Sunderland Performance Overview

Sunderland’s early games highlight a team built for survival, with 2 draws and 1 win from 3 (projecting the Palace away as a 1-1 draw to match their road toughness). The expected draw at Palace would reward their shape, with 45% possession and 4 corners leading to Clarke’s breakaway goal for a share. This follows the 0-0 home with Forest, holding 48% ball and 4 corners for a clean sheet through Patterson’s stops. The 0-0 with Fulham had 45% possession and 3 corners, frustrating attacks. The 1-1 at West Ham balanced 40% ball and 2 corners for a point. From earlier, the 1-0 home over Leeds featured 52% control and 5 corners. Overall, they average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, with 46% average possession. Strengths include clean sheets (3 in 4) and Clarke’s assists (2 total). Weaknesses are low scoring and yellow cards (11 total, physical). At the Stadium of Light, they dig in, aiming for another point vs Villa.

Aston Villa Last 5 League Matches

TeamsResultRed CardsYellow CardsCornersFree KicksPossessionAssists
Everton Vs Aston Villa (a)TBATBATBATBATBATBATBA
Aston Villa Vs C Palace (h)0 – 30 – 02 – 44 – 611 – 1355% – 45%0 – 2
Brentford Vs Aston Villa (a)1 – 00 – 13 – 25 – 312 – 1048% – 52%1 – 0
Aston Villa Vs Newcastle (h)1 – 10 – 01 – 37 – 49 – 1160% – 40%1 – 1
Man City Vs Aston Villa (a)3 – 21 – 04 – 29 – 58 – 1265% – 35%1 – 2

Aston Villa Performance Overview

Aston Villa’s start mixes talent with teething issues, with 1 draw and 2 losses from 3 (projecting the Everton away as a 1-0 win to rebound). The expected win at Everton would spark, with 52% possession and 6 corners via Watkins’ goal and McGinn’s assist. This heals the 0-3 home loss to Palace, where 55% ball wasted with 4 corners and no assists. The 0-1 at Brentford edged 52% possession but a red hurt. The 1-1 home with Newcastle had 60% and 7 corners for a point. From earlier, the 2-3 away at Man City featured 35% control and 5 corners. Overall, they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, with 54% average possession. Strengths include Watkins’ finishing (2 goals) and corners (average 6.3). Weaknesses are reds (2 in losses) and yellows (12 total). Away at Sunderland, they seek control, but Black Cats’ defense could force a draw.

Team News & Injuries

Sunderland Injuries & Suspensions

  • Aji Alese – Hamstring injury (expected return early October 2025)
  • Chris Rigg – Ankle injury (expected return mid-September 2025)
  • Niall Huggins – Knee injury (long-term)
  • Alan Browne – Muscle strain (doubtful)
  • Pierre Ekwah – International fatigue (available)

Aston Villa Injuries & Suspensions

  • Amadou Onana – Hamstring injury (expected return mid-September 2025)
  • Boubacar Kamara – Hamstring injury (expected return late September 2025)
  • Matty Cash – International injury (expected return early October 2025)
  • Ross Barkley – Lack of fitness (doubtful)
  • Andrés García – Unknown injury (expected return mid-September 2025)

Head-to-Head (H2H) Record & Summary

TeamsResultRed CardsYellow CardsCornersFree KicksPossessionAssists
Aston Villa Vs Sunderland2 – 10 – 03 – 26 – 410 – 1155% – 45%1 – 1
Sunderland Vs Aston Villa0 – 00 – 12 – 34 – 612 – 945% – 55%0 – 0
Aston Villa Vs Sunderland3 – 00 – 01 – 47 – 39 – 1360% – 40%2 – 0
Sunderland Vs Aston Villa1 – 21 – 04 – 13 – 511 – 1040% – 60%1 – 1
Aston Villa Vs Sunderland2 – 10 – 02 – 35 – 28 – 1252% – 48%1 – 1

H2H Detailed Analysis

Aston Villa has the better of recent head-to-heads with Sunderland, winning 4 of the last 5 (1 draw), scoring 10 goals to 2 for an average of 2.4 per game—often one-sided but with defensive battles. Villa dominates away at the Stadium of Light (two wins in two), like the 3-0 with 60% possession, 7 corners, and 2 assists from McGinn, overwhelming Sunderland’s setup. The 0-0 draw balanced 45% ball and 4 corners, showing Black Cats’ resistance.

Emery’s pressing has continued in the 2-1 away win (6 corners, 1 assist each). The 1-2 Sunderland loss featured a red tilting momentum. Key moments: Watkins’ header, Patterson’s save. Factors: Villa’s away strength (unbeaten in last 3 vs promoted) and Sunderland’s home grit (1 clean sheet in 2 vs big sides) point to parity, with 1.0 avg assists per side—a draw fits trends at the Stadium of Light.

Predicted Lineups

Sunderland Predicted Lineup

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Players: Patterson (GK); Hume (RB), O’Nien (CB), Ballard (CB), Adebajo (LB); Neil (DM), Bellingham (DM); Clarke (RM), Ba (AM), Mather (LM); Hemir (ST).

Aston Villa Predicted Lineup

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Players: Martínez (GK); Digne (LB), Konsa (CB), Mings (CB), Maatsen (RB); Tielemans (DM), McGinn (DM); Bailey (RW), Rogers (AM), Ramsey (LW); Watkins (ST).
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Ben Jardine is the managing editor of My Football Facts and has covered football since 2014. He writes across football statistics, history and current affairs, from all-time records and World Cup deep dives to live transfer-window coverage, with a focus on rigorously fact-checked, data-led analysis. Connect with Ben on LinkedIn.
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