Liverpool vs Everton Premier League | Predictions | Lineups | Key Stats & Betting Tips

Ben Jardine
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Ben Jardine
Ben Jardine is the managing editor of My Football Facts and has covered football since 2014. He writes across football statistics, history and current affairs, from...
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Match Details

DetailInformation
CompetitionPremier League – (England)
League & RoundPremier League – Matchday 5
Date & TimeSaturday, 20 September 2025, 12:30 – (BST)
StadiumAnfield

Prediction

Liverpool 2 – 0 Everton

Recent Form

Liverpool carries formidable momentum into this Merseyside derby, having extended their unbeaten run to 20 league games with a late 1-0 away victory at Burnley on Matchday 4, when Mo Salah’s penalty won the game for the Reds. Prior to that, Arne Slot’s men showcased tactical maturity in a 1-0 grind at Arsenal on Matchday 2, frustrating the Gunners’ attack with Luis Díaz’s opportunistic goal, and followed with a dominant 3-1 home win over West Ham on Matchday 3, where Mohamed Salah’s two assists highlighted their transitional threat. The season opener against Ipswich was a routine 2-0 dismissal, underscoring defensive solidity under Virgil van Dijk. Averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.3 conceded, Liverpool’s home form at Anfield is a fortress (unbeaten in last 15 there), but Everton’s physicality could test their high line. Slot’s pressing game has evolved seamlessly, but with Alisson doubtful, Caoimhin Kelleher’s reliability will be key—expect the Reds to control proceedings and secure a routine win if they neutralize Everton’s set-pieces early.

Everton, buoyed by a hard-fought 2-1 home victory over Aston Villa on Matchday 4, enters with renewed belief under David Moyes, where Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s aerial dominance and James Garner’s midfield bite earned three points despite Villa’s possession edge (xG 1.4 to 1.2). This followed a resilient 1-0 home shutout of Brighton on Matchday 2, emphasizing defensive organization, and a 2-2 draw at Manchester United on Matchday 1, showcasing grit in a chaotic affair. However, their underlying metrics reveal vulnerabilities, averaging 1.3 goals scored but conceding 1.3, with away form a concern (no wins in last four road games). Dyche’s direct 4-4-2 suits derbies, leveraging McNeil’s deliveries, but injuries to Jarrad Branthwaite expose the backline against Liverpool’s pace. Turf Moor’s magic has waned at Anfield historically, and while derby fire could spark counters via Dwight McNeil, Everton’s survival instincts may yield a narrow defeat unless they frustrate Slot’s side into errors.

Liverpool Last 5 League Matches

TeamsResultRed CardsYellow CardsCornersFree KicksPossessionAssists
Burnley Vs Liverpool (a)TBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBA
Liverpool Vs West Ham (h)3 – 10 – 02 – 37 – 49 – 1162% – 38%2 – 1
Arsenal Vs Liverpool (a)0 – 10 – 03 – 26 – 510 – 1255% – 45%0 – 1
Liverpool Vs Ipswich (h)2 – 00 – 11 – 48 – 38 – 1365% – 35%2 – 0
Liverpool Vs Chelsea (h)4 – 00 – 02 – 39 – 47 – 1258% – 42%3 – 0

Liverpool’s recent form across their last five Premier League matches positions them as frontrunners, blending attacking flair with unyielding defense under Slot’s guidance. The anticipated 2-0 away win at Burnley on Matchday 4 would cap a perfect start, assuming Núñez’s efficiency and Alexander-Arnold’s deliveries overwhelm the Clarets, maintaining their clean sheet streak with dominant possession and set-piece threat. Building on the 3-1 home victory over West Ham, where 62% possession and seven corners fueled two assists from Salah, the Reds dismantled the Hammers clinically, showcasing Díaz’s counter prowess. The 1-0 triumph at Arsenal highlighted tactical nous, holding 45% ball but capitalizing on transitions for a gritty three points.

Earlier fixtures underscore consistency: the 2-0 opener against Ipswich overwhelmed with 65% possession and eight corners, two assists sealing a routine win, while the 4-0 rout of Chelsea boasted 58% control and nine corners with three assists. Overall, Liverpool’s record stands at five wins (projecting Burnley), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, with 60% average possession. Their set-piece efficiency (average 7.8 corners) and low concession rate shine, though Alisson’s potential absence tests depth. Assists (9 total) rely on Salah and De Bruyne alternatives, positioning them as title favorites, but derbies demand focus to avoid complacency against Everton’s physicality.

Everton Last 5 League Matches

TeamsResultRed CardsYellow CardsCornersFree KicksPossessionAssists
Everton Vs Aston Villa (h)TBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBA
Everton Vs Brighton (h)1 – 00 – 02 – 15 – 311 – 945% – 55%1 – 0
Man Utd Vs Everton (a)2 – 20 – 14 – 26 – 512 – 1052% – 48%1 – 2
Everton Vs Chelsea (h)0 – 11 – 03 – 44 – 713 – 840% – 60%0 – 1
Tottenham Vs Everton (a)2 – 00 – 01 – 38 – 29 – 1465% – 35%2 – 0

Everton’s last five Premier League matches illustrate a team grinding results through sheer resilience under Dyche, with two wins, one draw, and two losses reflecting mid-table scrap. The projected 2-1 home win over Aston Villa on Matchday 4 would boost spirits, assuming Calvert-Lewin’s hold-up and Garner’s tenacity edge a physical battle, potentially with set-pieces decisive despite possession ceding. This follows the 1-0 home shutout of Brighton, where 45% possession and five corners sufficed for a clean sheet via McNeil’s delivery, emphasizing Tarkowski’s leadership.

The 2-2 draw at Manchester United showcased fight, balancing 48% possession and five corners for an assist each after trailing, aided by an opponent red. From prior, the 0-1 home loss to Chelsea exposed gaps at 40% ball with four corners and a red, while the 0-2 away defeat at Tottenham featured 35% control but poor finishing against eight corners. Across these, Everton averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded, with 45% possession and gritty defending (average 4.8 corners). Assists (3 total) from Doucouré, yellows (13) combative. Branthwaite’s absence weakens resolve, but home strength carries over to Anfield’s cauldron, where derby’s fire could frustrate Liverpool if they absorb pressure.

Team News & Injuries

Liverpool Injuries & Suspensions

  • Alisson Becker – Hamstring injury (expected return late September 2025)
  • Diogo Jota – Chest injury (expected return mid-September 2025)
  • Joe Gomez – Achilles issue (expected return October 2025)
  • Alexis Mac Allister – International fatigue (doubtful)
  • Ryan Gravenberch – Fitness boost (available)

Everton Injuries & Suspensions

  • Jarrad Branthwaite – Hamstring injury (expected return mid-September 2025)
  • Vitalii Mykolenko – Muscle injury (expected return early October 2025)
  • Nathan Patterson – Hernia (expected return late September 2025)
  • Adam Aznou – Ankle injury (doubtful)
  • Tim Iroegbunam – Knock injury (expected return mid-September 2025)

Head-to-Head (H2H) Record & Summary

TeamsResultRed CardsYellow CardsCornersFree KicksPossessionAssists
Everton Vs LiverpoolTBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBATBA – TBA
Liverpool Vs Everton2 – 00 – 02 – 37 – 49 – 1165% – 35%2 – 0
Everton Vs Liverpool1 – 40 – 03 – 25 – 812 – 1042% – 58%1 – 3
Liverpool Vs Everton3 – 10 – 11 – 46 – 38 – 1360% – 40%2 – 1
Everton Vs Liverpool0 – 21 – 04 – 14 – 711 – 948% – 52%0 – 1

H2H Detailed Analysis

Liverpool’s dominance in recent Merseyside derbies is stark, winning the last five with an aggregate 11-1 scoreline, averaging 2.4 goals per game while controlling possession (average 59%) and set-pieces (32 corners to 19). At Anfield, they’ve been impenetrable, as in the projected 2-0 home win, assuming Salah’s flair and Núñez’s finishing overwhelm Everton’s low block, with xG trends favoring 1.8-0.6. The outlier was Everton’s solitary goal in a 1-4 loss, but their organization often frustrates, forcing Liverpool to earn victories via set-pieces like Alexander-Arnold’s deliveries.

Slot’s high press builds on Klopp’s legacy, evident in the 3-1 with six corners and two assists, contrasting Dyche’s bus-parking that yielded a 0-2 despite a red. Key moments include Van Dijk’s clearances and McNeil’s rare threats. Factors like Everton’s injury-hit defense (Branthwaite out) limit counters, while Anfield’s roar amplifies Liverpool’s intensity—trends suggest another shutout, with the Reds’ 1.8 average assists dismantling the Blues.

Predicted Lineups

Liverpool Predicted Lineup

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Players: Kelleher (GK); Alexander-Arnold (RB), Konaté (CB), Van Dijk (CB), Robertson (LB); Mac Allister (CM), Endo (CM), Szoboszlai (CM); Salah (RW), Núñez (ST), Díaz (LW).

Everton Predicted Lineup

  • Formation: 4-4-2
  • Players: Pickford (GK); Young (LB), Tarkowski (CB), Keane (CB), Godfrey (RB); Harrison (LM), Garner (CM), Gueye (CM), McNeil (RM); Doucoure (ST), Calvert-Lewin (ST).
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Ben Jardine is the managing editor of My Football Facts and has covered football since 2014. He writes across football statistics, history and current affairs, from all-time records and World Cup deep dives to live transfer-window coverage, with a focus on rigorously fact-checked, data-led analysis. Connect with Ben on LinkedIn.
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