Hull City vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Preview, Lineups and Betting Odds & Angles

25 Min Read
22Hull City
Sat 23 May 202615:30
Middlesbrough7
ChampionshipWembley StadiumUpdated by MyFootballPicks Data Engine
Match previewHull City vs Middlesbrough

Hull City face Middlesbrough in the Championship, with kick-off listed for 15:30 on Sat 23 May 2026.

80%top angle
Live match dataLast checked 00:01:54

Refresh Live Data

Live Score

Final ScoreHull City 1-0 MiddlesbroughFull Time
Goals
22Hull CityOliver McBurnie 90+5'

Live Prediction Based on Live Stats & Data

Final read from match dataHull City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Live Stats & Data

Match stats
Corners
221 – 37
Free kicks
225 – 77
Shots on target
222 – 07
Fouls
226 – 27
Possession
2232% – 68%7
Saves
220 – 17
Offsides
221 – 37
Yellow cards
221 – 07
Red cards
220 – 07

Live Commentary

Match Timeline

90'+14
Shot

Matty Crooks has a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.

Update

Match ends with a score of 1-0.

90'+8
Update

John Lundstram comes on for Regan Slater.

90'+8
Substitution

John Lundstram replaces Regan Slater.

90'+7
Update

Patrick McNair comes on for Lewie Coyle.

90'+7
Substitution

Jeremy Sarmiento replaces Alan Browne.

90'+5
Goal

Oliver McBurnie takes a left-footed shot and scores.

90'+6
Yellow card

Oliver McBurnie receives a yellow card.

90'+5
Goal

Goal! Oliver McBurnie scores to make it 1-0.

90'
Shot

Morgan Whittaker takes a left-footed shot but misses.

89'
Shot

Aidan Morris takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.

82'
Shot

Joe Gelhardt takes a left-footed shot but misses.

77'
Shot

Luke Ayling attempts a header but misses the shot.

77'
Substitution

Cody Drameh replaces Belloumi.

76'
Update

Yu Hirakawa is on, and Ryan John Giles is off.

76'
Substitution

Sontje Hansen replaces Riley McGree.

70'
Substitution

Hayden Hackney replaces David Strelec.

63'
Update

Joe Gelhardt comes on for Liam Millar.

61'
Save

Belloumi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.

61'
Shot

David Strelec's right-footed shot is blocked.

52'
Shot

Matty Crooks attempts a header but misses the shot.

48'
Shot

Dael Fry attempts a header but misses the shot.

47'
Shot

Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot is blocked.

45'+3
Shot

David Strelec takes a left-footed shot but misses.

Update

The first half ends with a score of 0-0.

45'
Shot

Oliver McBurnie takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.

42'
Shot

Belloumi takes a left-footed shot but misses.

42'
Shot

David Strelec takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.

41'
Save

Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot is saved.

37'
Shot

Alan Browne takes a shot with his head but misses.

24'
Shot

Ryan John Giles takes a left-footed shot but misses.

24'
Save

Lewie Coyle's header is saved.

19'
Shot

David Strelec takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.

15'
Shot

Aidan Morris takes a right-footed shot but misses.

1'
Shot

Morgan Whittaker's left-footed shot is blocked.

Live Final Data Read

Final data read: The match has finished at Hull City 1-0 Middlesbrough.

Live prediction based on the latest score, match stats and available live odds: Hull City 1-0 Middlesbrough.

Original pre-match prediction: Hull City 1-1 Middlesbrough.

Key live signals: Corners 1 – 3 · Shots on target 2 – 0 · Fouls 6 – 2 · Possession 32% – 68%.

Official Lineups

Predicted lineups switch to official team news automatically once the MyFootballPicks Data Engine receives the update.

Official LineupsHull City vs Middlesbrough

OFFICIAL

22
Hull CityFormation: 3-4-2-1

Official team news

7
MiddlesbroughFormation: 3-4-2-1

Official team news

1.Ivor PandurGoalkeeper
2.Lewie CoyleMidfielder
3.Ryan GilesMidfielder
4.Charlie HughesDefender
5.Semi AjayiDefender
6.Liam MillarAttacker
7.Oliver McBurnieAttacker
8.Mohamed BelloumiAttacker
9.John EganDefender
10.Matt CrooksMidfielder
11.Regan SlaterMidfielder
1.Callum BrittainMidfielder
2.Matt TargettMidfielder
3.Dael FryDefender
4.Riley McGreeAttacker
5.Morgan WhittakerAttacker
6.Luke AylingDefender
7.David StrelecAttacker
8.Alan BrowneMidfielder
9.Aidan MorrisMidfielder
10.Adilson MalandaDefender
11.Sol BrynnGoalkeeper
Official lineups detected and updated by the MyFootballPicks Data Engine.

Hull City Official Lineup

Formation

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Ivor Pandur, Lewie Coyle, Ryan Giles, Charlie Hughes, Semi Ajayi, Liam Millar, Oliver McBurnie, Mohamed Belloumi, John Egan, Matt Crooks, Regan Slater

Substitutes

John Lundstram, Dillon Phillips, Yu Hirakawa, Cody Drameh, Amir Hadziahmetovic, Joe Gelhardt, Kieran Dowell, Lewis Koumas, Patrick James Coleman McNair

Middlesbrough Official Lineup

Formation

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Callum Brittain, Matt Targett, Dael Fry, Riley McGree, Morgan Whittaker, Luke Ayling, David Strelec, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Adilson Malanda, Sol Brynn

Substitutes

Hayden Hackney, Alex Gilbert, Sam Silvera, Leo Castledine, George Edmundson, Sontje Hansen, Joe Wildsmith, Cruz Ibeh, Jeremy Sarmiento

Quick Stats

Predicted score0-1Main scoreline from the xG and form model
Top angleOver 1.5 total goals80% confidence signal
Lineup statusOfficialTeam news is confirmed
Kick-offSat 23 May 2026 15:30Local fixture time from the MyFootballPicks Data Engine

Original Predicted Score

Predicted scoreHull City 1-1 Middlesbrough
82%model confidence
Hull City xG estimate0.97
Middlesbrough xG estimate1.06
Other likely scorelines
1-1 13.5%0-0 13.3%1-0 12.8%
Why this prediction?

Expected goals: Hull City 0.97 vs Middlesbrough 1.06.

The model sees a tight match shape.

Last-4 team form now has a stronger impact on the scoreline, including goals scored and conceded.

Last 3 head-to-head scores are included for score shape, BTTS and total-goals direction.

Odds are used to correct winner/draw direction, not as the only prediction source.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Correct Score and use 1-1 as the main small-stakes scoreline. Check the alternative scorelines if you want cover.

Best Data Angle

Over 1.5 total goals

Match Preview

The match preview is built from the latest MyFootballPicks Data Engine data, including form, H2H, xG, market signals and player-level indicators.

Best Football Insights

The strongest data-led angles are split by confidence so readers can scan the safer options, balanced picks and higher-risk plays without digging through a wall of text.

Very Likely

Safer data-led angles with the strongest confidence profile.

3 angles

Goals80%

Over 1.5 total goals

Shots, chances, xG and player attacking output support the total-goals angle.

What to add on the betting siteOver 1.5 total goals
Corners70%

Over 9.5 total corners

Uses last-4 match corner data, H2H context where available, crosses, key passes and blocked shots to set a usable corner line.

What to add on the betting siteOver 9.5 total corners
Match result68%

Middlesbrough to win

Direct match-result pick based on ranking edge, home/away context, attacking output, xG and available odds probability.

What to add on the betting siteMiddlesbrough to win
Likely

Balanced options where the data is positive but the risk is a little higher.

3 angles

Player shots57%

David Strelec shot on target angle

Player shot volume and xG/xGoT data make this a player-prop shortlist.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Player Shots / Shots On Target and select the named player and line shown.
First goalscorer59%

Riley McGree first goalscorer / anytime scorer

The strongest player-level scoring signal from goals, shots, shots on target, xG and chances created.

What to add on the betting siteRiley McGree first goalscorer / anytime scorer
Both teams to score66%

BTTS check

Uses both teams attacking output and whether each side has enough xG/shot pressure.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Both Teams To Score and choose Yes or No exactly as shown in the pick.
Higher-Risk Angles

Bigger-variance options to treat more cautiously.

3 angles

Draw angle43%

Draw

Used as a higher-variance direct draw angle when win probabilities are close or the draw price has enough implied support.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Full-time Result / Match Result and select Draw.
Half-time36%

Cagey first-half / half-time draw check

A variance angle built from lower attacking pressure, draw probability and the chance of a slower first half.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Half-time Result / First Half market and choose the half-time outcome shown.
Correct score30%

Small-stakes correct-score shortlist

High-risk angle only. It uses expected-goal shape, favourite strength and match balance to flag scoreline markets without treating them as safe.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Correct Score and choose a small-stakes scoreline from the shortlist.

Markets to Approach with Caution

Higher-variance markets such as correct score and first goalscorer should be treated cautiously unless the data and price both support the selection.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head

The recent form and head-to-head tables below show the last five available matches or meetings returned by the MyFootballPicks Data Engine.

Last 5 Matches Form

Hull City Last 5 Matches

Swipe / scroll sideways to see all data →
Date Fixture Score Competition
Sat 4 Oct 2025 Hull City vs Sheffield United 1-0 Championship
Tue 30 Sep 2025 Hull City vs Preston North End 2-2 Championship
Sat 27 Sep 2025 Watford vs Hull City 2-1 Championship
Sat 20 Sep 2025 Hull City vs Southampton 3-1 Championship

Middlesbrough Last 5 Matches

Swipe / scroll sideways to see all data →
Date Fixture Score Competition
Fri 17 Oct 2025 Middlesbrough vs Ipswich Town 2-1 Championship
Sat 4 Oct 2025 Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough 1-0 Championship
Tue 30 Sep 2025 Middlesbrough vs Stoke City 0-0 Championship
Sat 27 Sep 2025 Southampton vs Middlesbrough 1-1 Championship

Last 5 Head-to-Head Meetings

Swipe / scroll sideways to see all data →
Date Fixture Score Competition
Sat 23 May 2026 Hull City vs Middlesbrough 1-0 Championship
Mon 29 Dec 2025 Middlesbrough vs Hull City 0-1 Championship
Fri 5 Dec 2025 Hull City vs Middlesbrough 1-4 Championship

Team News Impact

Official team-news updateUpdated 00:01, 24 May 2026

When official lineups are available, this section reflects how the starting XIs change the betting view.

Hull CityFormation: 3-4-2-1

Ivor Pandur, Lewie Coyle, Ryan Giles, Charlie Hughes

MiddlesbroughFormation: 3-4-2-1

Callum Brittain, Matt Targett, Dael Fry, Riley McGree

When official lineups are detected, this same post is updated rather than duplicated, and this team-news section is refreshed with the latest MyFootballPicks Data Engine view.

Tactical Setup

The tactical setup is based on the likely personnel, recent match pattern and available player data.

Players to Watch

The players to watch are taken from recent output, attacking contribution and market/player-prop signals.

Player watch

4746
Oliver McBurnieHull City

78%

Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, assist signal

last-4 scorer signalassist signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter442 mins5 goals9 shots6 SOT2.53 xG3.25 xGoT3 key passes3 chances1 assists4 tackles
25188269
Hayden HackneyMiddlesbrough

77%

Middlesbrough · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

last-4 scorer signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter374 mins7 shots2 SOT0.43 xG0.37 xGoT8 key passes8 chances18 crosses10 tackles1 yellow cards5 fouls
14338473
Ryan GilesHull City

73%

Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, assist signal

last-4 scorer signalassist signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter444 mins2 shots0.02 xG7 key passes7 chances3 assists32 crosses5 tackles2 yellow cards2 fouls
2951
Adam Armstronglast-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

70%

last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

last-4 scorer signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter117 mins2 goals9 shots4 SOT0.64 xG1.76 xGoT1 key passes1 chances1 crosses5 tackles1 yellow cards
1387
Matt TargettMiddlesbrough

69%

Middlesbrough · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

last-4 scorer signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter444 mins4 shots0.18 xG0 xGoT6 key passes6 chances31 crosses3 tackles1 yellow cards6 fouls3 fouls won
3876535
Imrân Louzalast-4 scorer signal, assist signal

69%

last-4 scorer signal, assist signal

last-4 scorer signalassist signallikely starter90 mins1 goals3 shots1 SOT0.53 xG0.46 xGoT6 key passes6 chances1 assists11 crosses3 tackles
3262
John LundstramHull City

67%

Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

last-4 scorer signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter272 mins1 goals4 shots2 SOT0.57 xG0.63 xGoT1 key passes6 tackles2 yellow cards5 fouls1 fouls won
21762788
Joe GelhardtHull City

66%

Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

last-4 scorer signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter288 mins6 shots2 SOT0.54 xG0.53 xGoT3 key passes3 chances2 crosses4 tackles2 fouls3 fouls won
25548700
Aidan MorrisMiddlesbrough

65%

Middlesbrough · last-4 scorer signal, subbed-off trend

last-4 scorer signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter338 mins7 shots1 SOT0.52 xG0.09 xGoT4 key passes4 chances4 crosses14 tackles7 fouls7 fouls won
6572
Lewie CoyleHull City

62%

Hull City · last-4 scorer signal, assist signal

last-4 scorer signalassist signalsubbed-off trendlikely starter450 mins2 shots1 SOT0.08 xG0.03 xGoT4 key passes4 chances1 assists15 crosses6 tackles

Match Angle Ideas

Bet builder ideas should be treated as combinations of data-led angles, not guaranteed outcomes.

VERY LIKELYSafer result + match events builder

67%

  1. Middlesbrough to win68% · Match result
  2. Over 1.5 total goals80% · Goals
  3. Under 11 total corners74% · Corners
  4. Under 4.5 total cards78% · Cards

Direct result or goals angle mixed with corners/cards. No double chance and no duplicate market families.

VERY LIKELYSafer team-goal + corners/cards builder

67%

  1. Middlesbrough67% · Team to score first
  2. Over 9.5 total corners70% · Corners
  3. Over 2.5 total cards68% · Cards
  4. Under 22.5 fouls78% · Fouls

Uses team scoring pressure with realistic corners, cards and fouls lines so the builder is not just another result bet.

LIKELYBalanced scorer + totals builder

45%

  1. Ryan Giles66% · Anytime player to score
  2. BTTS check66% · Both teams to score
  3. Enis Destan62% · Player to be subbed off
  4. Oliver McBurnie62% · Player to score first

Uses one player scorer angle only, then mixes it with totals, corners and cards.

LIKELYBalanced match-event builder

45%

  1. Draw45% · Draw angle
  2. Riley McGree first goalscorer / anytime scorer59% · First goalscorer
  3. David Strelec shot on target angle57% · Player shots
  4. Correct score 0-145% · Correct score

A different middle-risk builder using match result/BTTS plus realistic fouls/cards lines where data supports them.

UNLIKELYHigher-risk player events builder

20%

  1. Oliver McBurnie44% · Player to score first
  2. Enis Destan44% · Player to be subbed off
  3. Under 11 total corners44% · Corners
  4. Under 4.5 total cards44% · Cards

First goalscorer or subbed-off angle combined with corners/cards for a higher-variance builder.

UNLIKELYHigher-risk score and discipline builder

18%

  1. Correct score 0-130% · Correct score
  2. Under 22.5 fouls44% · Fouls
  3. Under 4.5 total cards44% · Cards
  4. Over 1.5 total goals44% · Goals

Uses draw/correct-score style risk with realistic fouls/cards lines where the data points to a bigger price.

Special Markets to Consider

Corners, cards, fouls and goalscorer markets are included where the dashboard data supports them.

More market variety before the main odds boardThis section uses realistic corner, card, foul and player lines from last-4 match data, avoiding silly low lines such as over 0.5 corners or tiny-return markets.
Corners

Corners prediction

74%

Predicted pickUnder 11 total cornersOdds 1.66 · implied 60.24%

Uses last-4 corner totals, H2H context where available, crosses, blocked shots, key passes and corner xG to set the corner line.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Corners / Total Corners and select Over 9.5 total corners.
Fouls

Fouls prediction

78%

Predicted pickUnder 22.5 foulsLine estimated from recent data · compare odds before adding it

Uses last-4 foul pressure, referee-style data where available, tackles, duels and card pressure to set a realistic fouls line.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Fouls if offered and select Under 22.5 fouls.
Cards

Cards prediction

78%

Predicted pickUnder 4.5 total cardsOdds 1.71 · implied 58.48%

Uses last-4 cards, H2H context where available, fouls, tackles and defensive duel pressure to set the card line.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Cards / Bookings and select Over 2.5 total cards.
Team to score first

Team to score first

52%

Predicted pickMiddlesbroughOdds 1.66 · implied 60.02%

The first-goal team is driven by attacking output, xG, shots-on-target and last-4 player event signals.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Team To Score First / First Team To Score and select the team shown.
Player to score first

First goalscorer prediction

62%

Predicted pickOliver McBurnieOdds TBC · compare the named player in the bookmaker market

First-goalscorer is higher risk. This pick is ranked from last-4 goal and penalty events first, then player goal, shot and xG data where returned.

What to add on the betting siteOpen First Goalscorer and choose the player shown. Keep this as a higher-risk small-stake angle.
Anytime player to score

Anytime scorer prediction

74%

Predicted pickRyan GilesOdds TBC · compare the named player in the bookmaker market

Anytime scorer is ranked from last-4 goal events plus goals, xG, shots on target and chance involvement where returned.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Anytime Goalscorer / Player To Score and choose the player shown. Compare the odds before adding it.
Player to be subbed off

Likely player subbed off

62%

Predicted pickEnis DestanOdds TBC · compare the named player in the bookmaker market

Subbed-off prediction uses last-4 substitution events first, then starter/minutes/rating signals where lineup data is returned.

What to add on the betting siteOpen Player To Be Subbed Off / Player Substitution markets if your bookmaker offers them and choose the named player.

The Data-Led View

The data-led view brings together the score prediction, best angle, form trend, H2H pattern and lineup status.

Data-Led Match Analysis

Form and Match Context

Hull City's Recent Run

Hull City come into this Championship fixture with Beat Sheffield United 1-0 as part of the recent form read. The important point is what that says about their confidence and control, because a side that starts well here can make the preview feel very different from the first whistle.

Middlesbrough's Recent Run

Middlesbrough arrive with Beat Ipswich Town 2-1 shaping the away-side context. That matters because their result pattern gives the best steer on whether they can travel with belief or whether this becomes a test of defensive concentration.

What the Form Means for This Fixture

The form angle points to a game that should be judged through momentum, territory and how quickly either team settles. If the early stages become stretched, the side with the cleaner final-third detail should get the better chances.

Attacking Threats

How Hull City Can Create Chances

Hull City can make this awkward if Oliver McBurnie, Ryan Giles, Adam Armstrong are brought into the game early. Their route to chances is about turning pressure into useful balls around the box rather than letting possession become harmless.

How Middlesbrough Can Create Chances

Middlesbrough need Hayden Hackney, Adam Armstrong, Matt Targett to give them a reliable outlet. That matters because an away side that carries a threat on transition can stop Hull City from pushing too many players forward.

Players Who Could Decide the Final Third

The decisive moments are likely to come from the players who can either finish quickly or create one clean chance when the game opens up. If the match is tight, one well-timed run, cross or set-piece delivery could swing the preview.

Defensive Pressure Points

Where Hull City Need to Be Careful

Hull City have to manage the space behind their attacks. That is important because chasing the game too early, or leaving gaps after turnovers, would give Middlesbrough a clearer route than the home side would want.

Where Middlesbrough Need to Be Careful

Middlesbrough cannot allow the match to become a long spell of pressure around their own box. If they defend too deep, second balls, corners and loose clearances can turn into the kind of moments that change a tight fixture.

Fouls, Cards and Set-Piece Risk

Set pieces and discipline matter because they can break the rhythm of the match. In a close preview, cheap fouls near the box or early cards can be just as important as open-play chances.

Head-to-Head Clues

Recent Meetings

The recent meetings sample currently gives 3 matches of context. That should guide the tone of the preview, but the current form, lineups and match tempo still matter more than history alone.

Goals, BTTS and Over 2.5 Pattern

The goals pattern is useful when it supports what both teams are showing now. If the game starts openly, the score projection of 0-1 becomes more relevant because both sides may have enough routes to create chances.

Corners and Cards Pattern

Corners and cards are the clues that show pressure and frustration. If one team spends long spells defending wide areas, those smaller trends can build into a real match factor.

Tactical Match-Up

Hull City's Likely Approach

Hull City are likely to look for a positive home performance without letting the match become too open. The balance is important because their attacking push only helps if they stay protected behind the ball.

Middlesbrough's Likely Approach

Middlesbrough should try to stay compact, protect central areas and use their attacking players when the game stretches. That approach gives them a way into the match without relying on long spells of possession.

Key Player Duels

The key duels should come in wide areas, midfield second balls and the battle between the main forwards and centre-backs. Those individual contests matter because they decide whether the tactical plan turns into real chances.

Editor's Data Verdict

Strongest Match Read

Over 1.5 total goals is the strongest match read, but this should not be treated as a simple certainty. The better editorial view is that the prediction leans one way while still leaving room for the match state to change quickly.

What Could Change the Game

The obvious risks are an early goal, a red card, unexpected team news or one side losing control of the midfield. Any of those would change the way the pre-match read plays out on the pitch.

Hull City vs Middlesbrough FAQs

What is the predicted score?

The current predicted score is 0-1.

Are the lineups confirmed?

The lineup status is updated automatically when official team news is returned by the MyFootballPicks Data Engine.

What are the best football insights?

The best football insights are shown in the Very Likely, Likely and Higher-Risk sections above.

Where can I watch Hull City vs Middlesbrough?

The MyFootballPicks Data Engine lists the following broadcast or streaming options for this fixture: Sky Ultra HD (Republic of Ireland), Sky Ultra HD (England), SKY GO Extra (Republic of Ireland), SKY GO Extra (England), Sky Sports Main Event (Republic of Ireland), Sky Sports Main Event (England), BBC Radio 5 Live (Republic of Ireland), BBC Radio 5 Live (England). Availability can vary by country, subscription and local rights, so check the broadcaster in your region before kick-off.

Use The Data Responsibly

Betting should be treated as entertainment, not a way to make money. Never stake more than you can afford to lose, and avoid chasing losses.

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