Liverpool vs Chelsea: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Liverpool vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 12:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Liverpool vs Chelsea
Competition Premier League
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 12:30 BST
Venue Anfield

Match Prediction: Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Liverpool55.48%
Chelsea23.98%
Draw20.55%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes65.07%
No34.93%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes67.77%
No32.23%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 04 Oct 2025 18Chelsea vs 8Liverpool 2 – 1 Stamford Bridge
Premier League 04 May 2025 18Chelsea vs 8Liverpool 3 – 1 Stamford Bridge
Premier League 20 Oct 2024 8Liverpool vs 18Chelsea 2 – 1 Anfield
Premier League 31 Jan 2024 8Liverpool vs 18Chelsea 4 – 1 Anfield
Premier League 13 Aug 2023 18Chelsea vs 8Liverpool 1 – 1 Stamford Bridge

Liverpool come into this at Anfield with a much stronger recent league return than Chelsea, and that alone points towards the home side having the clearer edge. Liverpool have won three of their last five league matches, while Chelsea have lost all five of theirs, so the form book is firmly against the visitors. With no xG data available, the safest read is that Liverpool should have more control of the game and more reliable attacking output.

Chelsea’s best route is likely to be keeping the game tight and leaning on transitions, but their recent results suggest they have struggled to do that consistently. Liverpool’s recent wins over Crystal Palace, Everton and Fulham show they can get results against different types of opposition, even if the loss at Manchester United was a reminder they are not flawless. Match Prediction: Liverpool 2-0 Chelsea

Form Guide & Team Overview

Liverpool

Liverpool’s league form is still positive overall, with three wins from their last five. They beat Crystal Palace 3-1 at home, Everton 2-1 away and Fulham 2-0 at home, which suggests they have been able to find enough goals to get over the line.

There has been a setback in the 2-3 loss at Manchester United, and the 1-2 defeat at Brighton & Hove Albion shows they can be exposed away from home. Even so, the recent pattern is still much stronger than Chelsea’s, and Liverpool arrive with a better points return and more momentum.

Liverpool Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 3 May 2026 14Manchester United vs 8Liverpool 3 – 2 L Old Trafford
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 8Liverpool vs 51Crystal Palace 3 – 1 W Anfield
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 13Everton vs 8Liverpool 1 – 2 W Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 11 Apr 2026 8Liverpool vs 11Fulham 2 – 0 W Anfield
Premier League 21 Mar 2026 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 8Liverpool 2 – 1 L The American Express Community Stadium

Chelsea

Chelsea’s league form is poor, with five defeats in a row. They have lost 1-3 to Nottingham Forest, 0-3 to Brighton & Hove Albion, 0-1 to Manchester United, 0-3 to Manchester City and 0-3 to Everton, which is a run that offers very little encouragement.

The all-competitions picture is only slightly better because it includes a 1-0 FA Cup win over Leeds United, but that does not change the broader trend. Chelsea have been struggling for goals and have also been conceding heavily, so they come into Anfield under clear pressure.

Chelsea Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 4 May 2026 18Chelsea vs 63Nottingham Forest 1 – 3 L Stamford Bridge
Premier League 21 Apr 2026 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 18Chelsea 3 – 0 L The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 14Manchester United 0 – 1 L Stamford Bridge
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 9Manchester City 0 – 3 L Stamford Bridge
Premier League 21 Mar 2026 13Everton vs 18Chelsea 3 – 0 L Hill Dickinson Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Liverpool

  • Alexander Isak (Groin Injury)

Chelsea

  • Alejandro Garnacho (Unknown Injury)
  • Pedro Neto (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Liverpool vs Chelsea predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Liverpool (4-2-2-2)

Predicted lineup: Freddie Woodman (Goalkeeper), Andrew Robertson (Defender), Curtis Jones (Defender), Ibrahima Konaté (Defender), Virgil van Dijk (Defender), Alexis Mac Allister (Midfielder), Cody Gakpo (Midfielder), Jeremie Frimpong (Midfielder), Ryan Gravenberch (Midfielder), Dominik Szoboszlai (Attacker), Florian Wirtz (Attacker)

Liverpool’s predicted 4-2-2-2 should give them a compact base in midfield while still leaving enough bodies close to the forwards to press Chelsea high. The shape also looks suited to quick combinations through the centre and into the channels, with Dominik Szoboszlai and Florian Wirtz likely to be important between the lines.

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Robert Sánchez (Goalkeeper), Malo Gusto (Defender), Marc Cucurella (Defender), Tosin Adarabioyo (Defender), Trevoh Chalobah (Defender), Cole Palmer (Midfielder), Enzo Fernández (Midfielder), Jesse Derry (Midfielder), Moisés Caicedo (Midfielder), Roméo Lavia (Midfielder), João Pedro (Attacker)

Chelsea’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a natural platform to protect the centre and feed attacks through the three behind the striker. With Cole Palmer and João Pedro in advanced roles, they should have some threat on the break if they can win the ball and move it quickly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Liverpool Chelsea Text
Liverpool Chelsea Dominik Szoboszlai against Malo Gusto could be decisive if Liverpool can use that side to create space and carry the ball into dangerous areas.
Liverpool Chelsea Alexis Mac Allister against Cole Palmer is a key midfield contest because both can influence tempo and help their side control possession.
Liverpool Chelsea Dominik Szoboszlai is key for Liverpool because his role between midfield and attack can link play and help Liverpool turn pressure into chances.
Liverpool Chelsea João Pedro is key for Chelsea because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and Chelsea need him to make their forward play count.

FAQs

How to watch Liverpool vs Chelsea

Fans in the UK are able to watch Liverpool vs Chelsea on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 12:30 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea in this match.

Can you bet on Liverpool vs Chelsea?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Liverpool vs Chelsea.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.63%
No 54.37%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.65%
No 15.35%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.77%
No 65.23%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.78%
No 86.22%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.26%
No 69.74%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Liverpool 76.03%
Draw / Chelsea 44.53%
Liverpool / Chelsea 79.46%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 16.02%
2-1 9.66%
1-1 8.70%
2-0 6.84%
1-0 6.79%
3-1 6.47%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.98%
No 38.02%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Liverpool 61.62%
Chelsea 35.20%
Draw 3.18%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 60.31%
No 39.69%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.40%
No 83.60%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.43%
No 1.41%
Equal 2.16%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.47%
No 3.57%
Equal 3.96%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.29%
No 7.53%
Equal 6.18%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.82%
No 13.71%
Equal 8.47%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.47%
No 22.18%
Equal 10.34%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.06%
No 32.53%
Equal 11.41%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.56%
No 43.94%
Equal 11.50%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.56%
No 55.44%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Liverpool / Liverpool 38.52%
Liverpool / Chelsea 2.56%
Liverpool / Draw 4.95%
Chelsea / Liverpool 4.14%
Chelsea / Chelsea 11.69%
Chelsea / Draw 3.82%
Draw / Draw 10.96%
Draw / Liverpool 16.31%
Draw / Chelsea 7.04%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Liverpool 46.58%
Chelsea 19.21%
Draw 34.21%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 86.03%
No 13.97%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.15%
No 66.85%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.57%
No 95.43%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.88%
No 55.44%
Equal 10.68%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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